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国泰海通|策略:私募积极加仓,外资重回中国市场
Core Insights - The A-share market is experiencing a rebound in activity, with private equity increasing positions and retail investor participation rising, while southbound capital inflow is slowing down [3][4]. Market Pricing Status - Market sentiment has improved slightly, with average daily trading volume in the A-share market rising to 25 trillion yuan, and turnover rates for the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 increasing to the 95th and 93rd percentiles respectively [3]. - The proportion of stocks that are rising has decreased to 32.0%, and the median weekly return for A-share stocks has dropped to -1.66% [3]. - Industry trading concentration is on the rise, with 19 industries having turnover rates above the 90th percentile, particularly in the automotive sector [3]. A-share Capital Flow - Public funds saw new issuance scale increase to 23.58 billion yuan, while stock positions were reduced [4]. - Private equity confidence index slightly rebounded, with positions surpassing 78%, nearing the highest point of the year [4]. - Foreign capital inflow amounted to 920 million USD, with northbound trading accounting for 10.0% of total transactions [4]. - The IPO fundraising reached 200 million yuan, with a private placement scale of 800 million yuan and a lock-up release scale of 61.34 billion yuan [4]. - Retail investor activity showed marginal improvement [4]. A-share Industry Allocation - Foreign capital is flowing into the financial and technology sectors, while financing funds are increasing allocations to non-TMT sectors [5]. - The electronics sector saw a net inflow of 14.99 billion yuan, while non-bank financials had a net inflow of 6.6 billion yuan [5]. - ETF flows indicate significant passive capital movement, with non-bank financials and non-ferrous metals leading in net inflows [5]. Hong Kong and Global Capital Flow - Southbound capital inflow decreased to 36.85 billion yuan, representing the 89th percentile since 2022 [6]. - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.6%, with global markets mostly up, particularly in Indonesia and Brazil [6]. - Foreign capital inflow into the Hong Kong market reached 1.73 billion USD, while developed markets saw a net outflow of 5.2 billion USD [6]. - Emerging markets experienced a net inflow of 7.71 billion USD, with China and the US leading in inflow amounts [6].
百亿私募大幅加仓至八成 创下年内单周最大加仓
8月22日,股票私募连续两周加仓。私募排排网数据显示,截至上周,股票私募仓位指数为74.86%,较 前一周上涨0.64%。其中,百亿私募大幅加仓。百亿私募仓位指数为82.29%,较前一周大幅上涨 8.16%,创下年内单周最大加仓。 同时,经过这次加仓之后,百亿私募仓位指数时隔4周之后再度重回80%上方。此外,中等仓位百亿私 募占比则从53.25%大幅下降至31.06%,低仓和空仓百亿私募占比分别降至5.71%和1.26%。 (编辑:夏欣 审核:何莎莎 校对:颜京宁) 中经实习记者 孙小琴 记者 夏欣 北京报道 ...