每经AI快讯，中原证券表示，政策面形成多重利好叠加，为市场提供强劲支撑；居民储蓄正在加速向 资本市场转移，形成持续的增量资金来源。2025年A股上市公司整体盈利增速预期由负转正，其中科技 创新领域盈利弹性最为显著。美联储释放降息信号，全球流动性预期宽松。美元走弱利于外资回流A 股。中长期来看，居民储蓄转移、政策红利释放及盈利周期回升三大动力依然稳固，中期慢涨格局有望 延续。预计短期市场以稳步震荡上行为主，仍需密切关注政策面、资金面以及外盘的变化情况。短线建 议关注有色金属、食品饮料、房地产以及航天航空等行业的投资机会。 ...

港股科技股在科技资产中具备估值性价比 截至2025/08/21，一方面，纵向比较看，当前恒生指数、恒生 科技PE（TTM）分别为11.5倍，21.4倍，较两者2021年估值高点仍有较大提升空间；横向比较看，当前 恒生指数、恒生科技PE自2005年以来的历史分位数分别为58%、20%，仍低于标普500（93%）、德国 DAX指数（79%）、英国富时100（78%）等，可见与全球主流指数相比，港股估值并不算高。 【港股科技ETF】 互联网龙头、AI应用端——恒生互联网ETF（513330）。 由于过去几年外资持续流出港股，市场对外资的预期一直较低。今年5月至7月末港股外资实际已出现阶 段性改善的迹象，其中长线稳定型外资累计流入约677亿港元，短线灵活型外资流入约162亿港元。 科技全产业链——恒生科技指数ETF（513180） 伴随近期美国通胀、就业数据不及预期，降息预期再度升温，后续美联储如期降息，流动性环境转松， 中美贸易关系继续趋稳，外资延续企稳改善或有望超预期，同样助于推动港股行情向上。 每日经济新闻 ...

策 略 研 究 投资要点： 风险提示：增长政策落地进度不及预期，国内经济修复不及预期。 年内继续看好港股的三大理由 [Table_Authors] 本报告导读： ①近期 AH 溢价创近六年新低反映港股市场流动性无虞，近期股指走弱主要受互联 网权重板块结构性拖累。②展望未来，我们认为年内需重视港股三大因素：AI 领域 技术突破催化科技成长、美联储降息背景下外资可能超预期，南下增配力量仍有较 大空间。③受益于资产稀缺性优势，港股市场望持续吸引增量资金入市助推行情向 上，结构上重视本轮产业周期中弹性更大的恒生科技。 [Table_Report] 策略研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.08.23 2025-08-24 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 策 略 研 究 海 外 证 券 研 究 报 告 [Table_Summary] 6 月以来港股指数表现弱于 A 股，但 AH 溢价指数创近六年新低。6 月中旬以来在 A 股指数不断向上创新高之际，港股行情表现却偏震 荡。尽管港股指数表现弱于 A 股，但我们观察到恒生 AH 股溢价指 数较 6/19 的 131.54 进一步下行至 8/15 的低点 122.6， ...

Market Overview - On August 20, the A-share market opened lower but experienced a slight upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index facing resistance around 3739 points[2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3766.21 points, up 1.04%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.89% to 11926.74 points[7] - Total trading volume for both markets was 24,489 billion yuan, slightly lower than the previous trading day[3] Sector Performance - Semiconductor, liquor, banking, and optical electronics sectors performed well, while power equipment, pharmaceuticals, shipbuilding, and diversified financial sectors lagged[3] - Over 70% of stocks in the two markets rose, with notable gains in chemical fiber, liquor, and semiconductor industries[7] Valuation Metrics - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 15.25 times and 45.20 times, respectively, indicating a mid-level valuation compared to the past three years[3] - The overall profit growth forecast for A-share listed companies is expected to turn positive in 2025, ending a four-year decline, particularly in the technology innovation sector[3] Investment Strategy - The market is expected to maintain a steady upward trend in the short term, with a focus on semiconductor, liquor, communication equipment, and computer equipment sectors for investment opportunities[3] - Key drivers for the market include the transfer of household savings to capital markets, policy support, and a recovery in the profit cycle[3] Risk Factors - Potential risks include unexpected overseas economic downturns, domestic policy and economic recovery delays, and international relations affecting the economic environment[4]

Market Overview - On August 19, the A-share market experienced slight fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index facing resistance around 3746 points[3] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3727.29 points, down 0.02%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 11821.63 points, down 0.12%[8] - Total trading volume for both markets was 26,413 billion yuan, slightly lower than the previous trading day[8] Sector Performance - Strong performers included the home appliance, liquor, pharmaceutical, and banking sectors, while insurance, electronic chemicals, shipbuilding, and securities sectors lagged[4] - Over 60% of stocks in the two markets rose, with notable gains in automotive services, liquor, real estate services, and decoration industries[8] Valuation Metrics - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 15.26 times and 45.19 times, respectively, indicating a mid-level valuation compared to the past three years[4] - The market is deemed suitable for medium to long-term investment strategies based on current P/E ratios[4] Future Outlook - The overall profit growth rate for A-share listed companies is expected to turn positive in 2025, ending a four-year decline, particularly in the technology innovation sector[4] - Key drivers for the market include the transfer of household savings to capital markets, policy benefits, and a recovery in the profit cycle, suggesting a continued upward trend in the medium term[4] Investment Recommendations - Short-term investment opportunities are recommended in the home appliance, liquor, pharmaceutical, and banking sectors[4] - Investors are advised to closely monitor changes in policy, capital flow, and external market conditions[4]

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index (SSE) broke through the previous high of 3674.4 points from October 8, 2022, reaching a new high of 3683.46 points, marking the highest level in nearly four years [1][7] - The SSE rose by 0.48%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.76%, and the ChiNext Index surged by 3.62% [1][3] - Over 2700 stocks in the market rose, with total trading volume reaching 2.15 trillion yuan, an increase of 269.4 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1][3] Sector Performance - Sectors such as non-ferrous metals, PEEK materials, CPO, and photolithography equipment saw significant gains, while coal, banking, ports, and logistics sectors experienced declines [1] - The financial sector, particularly brokerage firms, played a crucial role in driving the index higher, with notable performances from Guosheng Financial Holdings and Changcheng Securities [9][11] Market Sentiment and Outlook - Market sentiment fluctuated after the index reached its previous high, but was quickly supported by increased trading volume [5] - Analysts suggest that the current "slow bull" market may still have considerable upward potential, although there are resistance levels around 3700 points that could lead to short-term fluctuations [7][12] - The recent surge in new A-share accounts, which increased by 71% year-on-year to 1.96 million in July, indicates a growing market participation that could benefit the securities industry [11] Investment Strategy - Recommendations include overweighting financial sectors due to the active market sentiment and potential policy support for non-bank financial and securities industries [11][12] - The market is characterized by significant liquidity, with various investor types, including ETFs and retail investors, actively participating [12]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing significant inflows from southbound capital, with a year-to-date increase of nearly 28% in the Hang Seng Index, driven by foreign investors reassessing the value of Chinese assets [1][3][4]. Group 1: Foreign Capital Reassessment - Foreign capital is returning to China, with a net increase of $10.1 billion in domestic stocks and funds in the first half of the year, reversing a two-year trend of net selling [3]. - South Korean investors have traded over $5.4 billion in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks this year, making China their second-largest overseas investment destination after the U.S. [3]. - The shift in global capital allocation is influenced by uncertainties in U.S. trade policies and rising debt burdens, prompting investors to move funds from traditional safe-haven assets to Asian markets [4]. Group 2: Southbound Capital Inflows - Southbound capital has reached a net inflow of approximately 7998.45 billion HKD this year, nearing the total for the entire year of 2024 [6]. - Since the launch of the Stock Connect program, cumulative net inflows from southbound capital into the Hong Kong market have approached 4.5 trillion HKD [6]. - The increasing demand from mainland investors for Hong Kong stocks is supported by narratives around AI, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals [6]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Performance - The Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng Tech Index, and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index have recorded year-to-date increases of 27.95%, 28.53%, and 26.99%, respectively [11]. - Key sectors such as healthcare, finance, and communication services have seen significant gains, with increases of 62.10%, 51.28%, and 48.01% respectively [11]. - Individual stocks like China Biologic Products and Chow Tai Fook have surged over 100% this year, indicating strong market performance [13]. Group 4: Future Market Outlook - Analysts suggest that despite the current gains, many companies in the Hong Kong market still exhibit low price-to-book (PB) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, indicating potential for further growth [13]. - The influx of capital, supportive policies, and a strong "profit-making effect" are expected to drive the market upward [14]. - Potential opportunities in the second half of the year include sectors focused on domestic demand, technological innovation, and industries with strong comparative advantages in exports [14].

Group 1 - The recent announcement of a tax credit policy for foreign investors in China aims to reduce their tax burden and optimize the investment environment, potentially leading to a trend of foreign capital returning to the country [1][2] - The tax credit policy is expected to enhance China's attractiveness for foreign direct investment (FDI) by lowering the overall tax burden on foreign investors, thus promoting sustained inflows of FDI [2][3] - The policy specifically encourages foreign investors to engage in direct investments in real enterprises and the primary market, rather than the secondary stock market, to prevent short-term speculative activities [2][3] Group 2 - The influx of foreign capital is seen as a significant variable for the A-share market, with the movement of northbound capital having a notable impact on market performance [3][4] - The bond market is also expected to benefit from the trend of increased foreign investment, with foreign institutions continuing to increase their holdings of RMB-denominated bonds [3][4] - The policy is anticipated to inject new momentum into the internationalization of the RMB, enhancing its use in international capital markets amid a trend of "de-dollarization" [3][4] Group 3 - Since September 2024, foreign capital has begun to trend back into China, supported by various policies aimed at boosting market confidence [4][5] - Foreign investors are showing improved sentiment towards Chinese assets, with a growing willingness to diversify their investment portfolios to include Chinese stocks [4][5] - Future foreign investment is expected to be selective, focusing on sectors where China has competitive advantages, such as advanced manufacturing, new energy, and innovative pharmaceuticals [5][6]

Group 1 - The article highlights the "magnetic effect" of the Chinese market, attracting foreign personnel and investment, with Shenzhen's Huaqiangbei receiving over 7,000 foreign visitors daily [1][15][17] - Foreign investment in China is on the rise, with 24,000 new foreign-invested enterprises established from January to May, a year-on-year increase of 10.4% [12][19] - The manufacturing sector is seeing significant foreign interest, exemplified by Henkel's new factory in Jiangsu and Tesla's Shanghai energy factory, which has a planned annual production capacity of 10,000 Megapacks [4][9][11] Group 2 - The financial sector is also experiencing a surge in foreign investment, with institutions like Temasek and AIA establishing operations in China, benefiting from the country's financial openness [11][22] - The article notes that foreign companies are increasingly recognizing China's potential for consumption upgrades and its complete supply chain system, which enhances its competitive advantage [12][14] - Visa facilitation policies have improved the ease of doing business for foreign nationals, contributing to a 33.4% year-on-year increase in foreign visitors [19][20] Group 3 - The article discusses the strategic importance of Hong Kong as a gateway for foreign investment into China, with a notable increase in foreign capital inflow despite geopolitical tensions [22][23] - Recent data indicates that foreign investors are increasingly interested in long-term strategic investments in China, moving beyond mere financial investments [25][26] - The article emphasizes that China's ongoing economic transformation is expected to create numerous new development opportunities, further attracting global capital [26]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the approval of Qatar Holdings becoming a significant shareholder of Huaxia Fund, acquiring a 10% stake, which reflects the increasing interest of foreign capital in the Chinese capital market [1][2][4] - Huaxia Fund's largest shareholder is CITIC Securities with a 62.2% stake, followed by Mackenzie Financial Corporation with 27.8%, and after the transfer, Qatar Holdings will become the third-largest shareholder [2] - The transfer of the 10% stake was initiated three years ago, with the initial transfer price set at no less than $490 million, and CITIC Securities had previously waived its right of first refusal [4][5] Group 2 - As of the first quarter of this year, Huaxia Fund manages 471 products with a total net asset value of 1.91 trillion yuan, ranking second in the industry [5][6] - Despite market pressures, Huaxia Fund's revenue increased by 9.61% year-on-year to 8.031 billion yuan, and net profit rose by 7.2% to 2.158 billion yuan, indicating a recovery trend [6] - Foreign capital is increasingly focusing on the Chinese market, with significant investments from sovereign wealth funds from the Middle East, which are actively participating in the A-share market through QFII channels [7][8] Group 3 - The trend of foreign capital inflow is expected to be a key trading logic in the coming quarters, driven by factors such as tariff negotiations and innovations in various sectors like pharmaceuticals and AI [9] - The valuation of the Chinese stock market is perceived to be lower compared to other markets, suggesting potential for growth, especially in the Hong Kong stock market [9]