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保险券商均获增配,非银板块整体仍处欠配状态,全市场唯一港股通非银ETF(513750)午后涨超2%,连续8日净流入近23亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-29 06:29
消息面上,中国平安上周增持中国人寿1420万股H股,持股比例突破9%,为近年罕见的大额同业增持 动作。此举在长端利率低位震荡、险资配置压力加大的背景下,释放出对保险行业基本面筑底、估值修 复空间打开的强烈信心信号,亦反映头部险企对行业长期价值的共识正在凝聚。 东海证券指出,受存款搬家催化,以及权益市场提振带动分红险保险竞争力提升,2026保险"开门红"销 售火热,头部险企新单保费增速亮眼。预计在居民稳健理财需求持续释放、银保渠道产能进一步兑现的 支撑下,"开门红"期间行业整体保费规模将保持高增态势,头部险企凭借渠道与产品优势,保费增长动 能将持续领先行业。 数据显示,四季度市场上涨带动机构增配券商板块,公募基金(剔除被动指数基金)持仓比例由0.85% 提升至1.08%,板块仍欠配2.30PCT。保险板块配置比例从1.03%升至2.13%,欠配0.33PCT,四季度保险 指数上涨23.42%。个股方面,中国人寿持仓市值比例从0.019%提升至0.020%,中国平安、中国太保获 超配。 国泰海通非银团队认为,非银板块仍处于欠配状态,总体欠配3.08PCT。中长期增量资金加速入市,看 好四类投资机会:1)看好居民资 ...
国泰海通:保险券商均获增配,看好居民资金入市下的非银机会
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-26 01:55
Group 1 - The brokerage sector has been upgraded, with public fund holdings (excluding passive index funds) increasing from 0.85% to 1.08%, still under-allocated by 2.30 percentage points [1][2] - The insurance sector's allocation ratio rose significantly from 1.03% to 2.13%, under-allocated by 0.33%, with the insurance index increasing by 23.42% in Q4 [1][3] - The overall non-bank sector holdings have increased but remain under-allocated by 3.08 percentage points, with expectations of improved profitability and low valuations attracting resident funds [1][4] Group 2 - The increase in the brokerage sector's allocation is driven by a 0.97% rise in the Wind All A Index and a high trading volume of 2.45 trillion yuan in Q4, despite a 3% quarter-on-quarter decline [2] - Individual stocks such as CITIC Securities and Huatai Securities saw their market value ratios increase, indicating a shift towards equity asset allocation by residents [2] - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from continued capital inflows and a focus on undervalued assets, with specific recommendations for China Life, Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance [3] Group 3 - The multi-financial and fintech sectors saw a decrease in public fund holdings from 0.204% to 0.145%, with specific stocks like Lakala and Yuexiu Financial Holdings receiving increased allocations [3] - The investment outlook includes opportunities in financial technology and brokerage due to increased resident capital inflows, valuation recovery in the insurance sector, and expansion of digital RMB scenarios [4] - The company remains optimistic about the growth of third-party payment companies and the broadening exit channels for equity investment institutions due to an increase in IPOs [4]