Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. Core Views - The long - and short - end of US Treasury yields continued to decline last week, and the long - end briefly fell below 4%, suggesting an increased market bet on US economic recession. The gold price correction on Friday raised concerns about changing market bets. Global liquidity is shifting more firmly towards easing, which will fuel the further bubble of AI themes, strengthen market structuring, benefit the technology sector in the short - term, and be negative for precious metals [1][43][44]. - China's ChiNext and STAR Market weakened with a strong wait - and - see sentiment, and convertible bonds followed suit. Low - price, large - cap, and high - rating convertible bonds were relatively resilient. The high - low rotation in the convertible bond market preceded that in the equity market, possibly due to factors such as the amplification effect of convertible bond valuation, large - scale redemptions of high - standard bonds, and the low risk appetite of convertible bond investors [1][44]. - Considering both external and domestic factors, the main logic of technology computing power and electricity remains valid. With the approaching earnings season, it is recommended to focus on sectors with relatively certain earnings improvement, such as new energy and some chemical fields. Convertible bonds like Pingmei, Yuguang, Xingfa, Aidi, Saite, and Shouhua are recommended for their defensive properties [1]. - The top ten convertible bonds with the highest probability of downward revision next week are Ziyin, Lanfan, Dongshi, Baolai, Longda, Jiangong, Wanqing, Jidong, Shanlu, and Aojia Convertible Bonds [1][44]. - The top ten high - rating, medium - low - price convertible bonds with the greatest potential for par premium rate repair next week are Sheng24, Changji, Pufa, Chunqiu, Ying19, Xiwang, Liqun, Wentai, Liuyao, and Jieneng Convertible Bonds [1][44]. Summary by Directory 1. Week - on - Week Market Review 1.1 Equity Market Declined Overall - From October 13th to 17th, the equity market declined. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.47% to 3839.76 points, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped 4.99% to 12688.94 points, the ChiNext Index decreased 5.71% to 2935.37 points, and the CSI 300 Index declined 2.22% to 4514.23 points. The average daily trading volume of the two markets decreased by about 2039.56 billion yuan to 21766.30 billion yuan, a week - on - week decline of 8.57% [6][10]. - Among the 31 Shenwan primary industries, 4 industries rose, with 2 industries rising more than 2%. Banking, coal, food and beverage, and transportation led the gains, rising 4.89%, 4.17%, 0.86%, and 0.37% respectively. Electronics, media, automobiles, communications, and machinery led the losses, with declines of 7.14%, 6.27%, 5.99%, 5.92%, and 5.84% respectively [13]. 1.2 Convertible Bond Market Declined Overall - From October 13th to 17th, the CSI Convertible Bond Index fell 2.35% to 474.22 points. Among the 29 Shenwan primary industries, only the banking industry rose 0.93%. Electronics, communications, national defense and military industry, non - ferrous metals, and computers led the losses, falling 6.45%, 5.71%, 5.25%, 5.13%, and 4.59% respectively [16]. - The average daily trading volume of the convertible bond market was 709.50 billion yuan, a significant decrease of 54.72 billion yuan, a week - on - week change of - 7.16%. The top ten convertible bonds in terms of trading volume were Yuguang, Guanzhong, Huicheng, Wentai, Jingxing, Wujin, Saili, Yiwei, Luwei, and Outong Convertible Bonds [16]. - Approximately 10.66% of convertible bond issues rose, about 6.64% had a gain between 0 - 1%, and 1.66% had a gain of over 2% [16]. 1.3 Comparison of Stock and Bond Market Sentiments - From October 13th to 17th, the weekly weighted average and median of convertible bond and underlying stock returns were negative, and the underlying stocks had a larger decline. In terms of trading volume, the convertible bond market's trading volume increased 16.05% week - on - week, at the 66.60% quantile since 2022, while the underlying stock market's trading volume increased 11.91% week - on - week, at the 94.70% quantile since 2022. About 10.85% of convertible bonds and 17.46% of underlying stocks rose, and about 66.84% of convertible bonds had a higher return than their underlying stocks. Overall, the trading sentiment in the convertible bond market was better [40]. - On specific trading days, the convertible bond market had better trading sentiment on October 13th, 16th, and 17th, while the underlying stock market had better trading sentiment on October 14th and 15th [41]. 2. Outlook and Investment Strategy - The main logic of technology computing power and electricity remains valid, and relevant catalysts have both short - term intermittency and long - term sustainability. Near the earnings season, it is recommended to focus on sectors with relatively certain earnings improvement, such as new energy and some chemical fields. Convertible bonds like Pingmei, Yuguang, Xingfa, Aidi, Saite, and Shouhua are recommended [1][44]. - The top ten convertible bonds with the highest probability of downward revision next week are Ziyin, Lanfan, Dongshi, Baolai, Longda, Jiangong, Wanqing, Jidong, Shanlu, and Aojia Convertible Bonds [1][44][45]. - The top ten high - rating, medium - low - price convertible bonds with the greatest potential for par premium rate repair next week are Sheng24, Changji, Pufa, Chunqiu, Ying19, Xiwang, Liqun, Wentai, Liuyao, and Jieneng Convertible Bonds [1][44][46].