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【策略】春季行情持续与科技风潮扩散——2025年3月策略观点(张宇生/郭磊/王国兴)
光大证券研究· 2025-03-02 13:12
Group 1 - The A-share market showed a good overall performance in February, with an increase in the profitability effect, driven mainly by a technology growth style and non-institutional investors [2][5] - The technology sector remains the core focus of the market since mid-January, with potential for a new round of prosperity driven by rising capital expenditures, although the trading congestion in this sector has reached historically high levels [3][5] - The spring market trend may exhibit dual main lines, with technology and consumption as key areas of focus, particularly benefiting from policies like the old-for-new replacement and service consumption [4][5] Group 2 - The driving factors for the spring market have not fundamentally changed, and it is expected to continue under the influence of policies and economic data, with a focus on growth and broad consumption [5][6] - The Hong Kong stock market has shown strong elasticity recently, with continued inflows from both southbound and overseas funds, indicating potential for valuation recovery despite the lack of significant changes in earnings expectations [6]
【光大研究每日速递】20250303
光大证券研究· 2025-03-02 13:12
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes that the spring market trend is expected to continue, driven by policy and economic data catalysts, with a focus on growth and consumer sectors [4] - The A-share market has experienced significant volatility, with major indices declining, particularly the ChiNext Index, while growth stocks and small-cap stocks are expected to outperform [5] - The oil and chemical sectors are poised for recovery due to easing geopolitical tensions, benefiting downstream refining companies from reduced cost pressures [7][8] Group 2 - The low-altitude economy is projected to reach a market size of 1.5 trillion yuan in 2025, with significant growth in the humanoid robot market, expected to grow from approximately 1.19 million units to 60.57 million units by 2030 [9] - The Hong Kong stock market has seen increased trading activity since September 2024, leading to record financial performance, with anticipated boosts from mainland China's stimulus policies [10]