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稀土行业景气度提升
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北方稀土(600111):25年三季报业绩点评:稀土行业Q3景气度持续上行,公司实现量价齐升
Western Securities· 2025-11-06 12:04
Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [6][11]. Core Views - The rare earth industry has seen a significant increase in prosperity in Q3 2025, with the company achieving both volume and price growth [1][2]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 30.292 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.50%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.541 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 280.27% [1][3]. - The substantial growth in Q3 performance is primarily attributed to a significant rise in rare earth prices [1][3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 11.425 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.32% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 19.27% [1][2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was 610 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 69.48% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21.84% [1][2]. - The non-recurring net profit for Q3 was 466 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 85.91% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.8% [1][2]. Production and Sales - The production of rare earth oxides reached 22,000 tons in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 93.45% [2]. - The production of rare earth salts was 109,800 tons, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%, and rare earth metals reached 36,300 tons, a year-on-year increase of 26.67% [2]. - In Q3 2025, the production of rare earth magnetic materials was 19,700 tons, a year-on-year increase of 15.68% [2]. Price Trends - The market price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide in Q3 2025 was 540,000 yuan per ton, a year-on-year increase of 39.10% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 24.96% [3]. - The average market price for the first three quarters of 2025 was 467,300 yuan per ton, a year-on-year increase of 21.81% [3]. Earnings Forecast - The company is expected to have EPS of 0.67, 0.86, and 1.10 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 71.9, 56.0, and 43.6 [3][4].