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股指调整,房地产逆势反弹
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-09-10 07:48
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The current stock index is in a wide - range volatile adjustment phase, and the market is digesting the chip pressure through fluctuations, which may take a monthly - level time. Despite the intensified short - term fluctuations, based on the optimistic expectation of the medium - and long - term trend, the stock index is unlikely to have a large - scale downward space. Actively using derivative tools for risk hedging is a reasonable strategy choice during this period [2] Summary by Related Catalogs Market Analysis - Non - farm data was significantly revised. In China, the State Council Information Office held a series of theme press conferences on high - quality completion of the "14th Five - Year Plan", and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released the development achievements of the industrial and communication industries in the past five years. Overseas, the US government announced preliminary benchmark revision data, with the US non - farm employment number revised down by 911,000 from March this year, equivalent to an average monthly decrease of nearly 76,000, the largest downward revision since 2000 [1] - In the spot market, the three major A - share indexes adjusted. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.51% to close at 3807.29 points, and the ChiNext Index fell 2.23%. Most sector indexes declined, with real estate, banking, and non - ferrous metals leading the gains, and electronics, computer, communication, and pharmaceutical and biological industries leading the losses. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets dropped to 2.1 trillion yuan. Overseas, the three major US stock indexes closed slightly higher, all hitting new closing highs, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.43% to 45711.34 points [1] - In the futures market, the basis of stock index futures rebounded on that day. In terms of trading volume and open interest, the trading volumes of IH and IM increased, and only the open interest of IM rose [1] Strategy - During the current stock index adjustment phase, actively using derivative tools for risk hedging is a reasonable strategy [2] Macro - economic Charts - The charts include the relationship between the US dollar index and A - share trends, the relationship between US Treasury yields and A - share trends, the relationship between the RMB exchange rate and A - share trends, and the relationship between US Treasury yields and A - share style trends [5][9][8] Spot Market Tracking Charts - The daily performance of major domestic stock indexes on September 9, 2025, shows that the Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.51%, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 1.23%, the ChiNext Index fell 2.23%, the CSI 300 Index fell 0.70%, the SSE 50 Index fell 0.08%, the CSI 500 Index fell 0.90%, and the CSI 1000 Index fell 1.16% [11] - The charts also include the trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets and the margin trading balance [5][12] Futures Market Tracking Charts - The trading volume and open interest data of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts show that the trading volume of IH and IM increased, and only the open interest of IM rose [13] - The basis data of stock index futures show the basis and its changes of different contracts of IF, IH, IC, and IM [37] - The inter - period spread data of stock index futures show the spreads and their changes between different periods of IF, IH, IC, and IM [44][45]