Core Viewpoint - The company reported a healthy growth in retail sales for its main brand and children's clothing, with significant increases in both offline and online channels during Q3 2025 [1][2]. Group 1: Q3 2025 Performance - In Q3 2025, the main brand's offline retail sales increased by 10% year-on-year, while the children's clothing brand also saw a 10% increase in offline retail sales [1]. - The e-commerce platform experienced a 20% year-on-year growth in retail sales [1]. - The company anticipates steady growth in offline retail sales during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday period [1]. Group 2: Product and Market Strategy - The running category is expected to continue leading sales growth, with the company increasing its focus on the marathon sector [1]. - The company debuted its "Feiran 5" and "Feiran 5 FUTURE" products at the 2025 Berlin Marathon and became a top partner for the 2025 Tangshan Marathon and an honorary sponsor for the 2025 Taishan Marathon [1]. Group 3: Operational Metrics - The average retail discount for new products in Q3 2025 was approximately 30%, with inventory turnover maintained at 4.5 to 5 months [2]. - The company announced partnerships with Meituan for rapid delivery services, achieving an average delivery time of 30 minutes [2]. - As of September 30, 2025, the company operated 93 super stores nationwide, with expectations to exceed 100 by year-end [2]. Group 4: Investment Outlook - The company is positioned well in the competitive domestic sportswear market, leveraging high-quality products and rapid expansion of super stores to achieve healthy growth in both offline and online retail sales [2]. - Earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 0.62, 0.69, and 0.76 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of approximately 8.7, 7.8, and 7.1 times based on the closing price on October 13 [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company 361 Degrees (01361.HK) [1][6] Core Insights - The company has demonstrated healthy growth in retail sales across both offline and online channels, with a notable 10% year-on-year increase in retail sales for its main brand and children's clothing in Q3 2025, and a 20% increase in e-commerce sales [3][4][6] - The company is expanding its premium store count, reaching 93 stores by the end of Q3 2025, and aims to exceed 100 stores by year-end [5][6] - The company is actively participating in the marathon sector, becoming a top partner for the 2025 Tangshan Marathon and a sponsor for the 2025 Taishan Marathon, which is expected to drive sales growth in the running category [4][6] Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2025, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 11,367 million HKD, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.8% [10][11] - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 1,285 million HKD, with a year-on-year growth of 11.9% [10][11] - The company's EPS is forecasted to be 0.62 HKD for 2025, with corresponding P/E ratios of approximately 8.7, 7.8, and 7.1 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6][10]

Core Viewpoint - Three squirrels (300783.SZ) has initiated its IPO process in Hong Kong after its revenue returned to over 10 billion RMB, aiming to strengthen its position in the snack market through global supply chain enhancement, channel expansion, digital capability improvement, and strategic investments [1][2]. Company Overview - Founded in 2012, Three Squirrels has grown from a single nut product to the largest Chinese snack company, with revenue increasing from 924 million RMB in 2014 to 10.17 billion RMB in 2019, achieving a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 57.2% [2]. - The company faced a decline in revenue from 2020 to 2023, dropping to 7.115 billion RMB due to rising customer acquisition costs and challenges in offline expansion [2][3]. - In 2024, Three Squirrels' revenue rebounded to 10.622 billion RMB, marking a historical high, with a net profit of 408 million RMB [2][3]. Market Position - As of 2024, Three Squirrels ranks as the fourth largest snack company in China, with a retail revenue of 13.98 billion RMB and a market share of 3.2% [4][6]. - The company has the fastest CAGR among the top five snack companies in China, at 18.86% from 2022 to 2024 [4]. Industry Trends - The Chinese snack market is projected to grow from 1.0816 trillion RMB in 2019 to 1.344 trillion RMB in 2024, with a CAGR of 4.4% [7]. - Consumer demand is shifting towards healthier, personalized snacks, with increasing interest in low-sugar, low-fat, and high-protein options [11]. Competitive Landscape - The snack market is highly fragmented, with the top five companies holding only 5.9% of the total market share, necessitating strong brand influence and product competitiveness for success [12]. - Three Squirrels has implemented a "high-end cost-performance" strategy to enhance product competitiveness and market share, but faces challenges in balancing cost control and pricing strategies [12][13]. Product and Pricing Strategy - In 2024, the average selling prices of core products such as nuts and baked goods decreased significantly, which may compress profit margins if low pricing is maintained [13]. - The company is exploring multi-brand and new product categories to diversify risks and identify new growth points, although some brands are still in the incubation stage [15]. Future Outlook - The IPO is a critical decision for Three Squirrels, presenting both opportunities and challenges. The company must effectively utilize the raised funds to address strategic, channel, and product innovation issues to enhance brand competitiveness and market adaptability [15].