Core Viewpoint - The Royal Bank of Canada anticipates that the Bank of Canada will maintain interest rates unchanged in the upcoming meeting due to sticky inflation, a resilient economy, and stronger fiscal spending [1] Economic Conditions - Trade tensions are escalating, and Canadian economic data remains weak [1] - The labor market showed signs of bottoming out in June, with a partial recovery in the confidence index that had plummeted in March [1] - The USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement) allows most Canadian exports to enter the US duty-free, which is crucial for Canada [1] Inflation and Monetary Policy - Recent inflation reports have unexpectedly risen, primarily driven by pressures from the domestic service sector [1] - The combination of sticky inflation data, a weak yet relatively resilient economic backdrop, and the prospect of increased fiscal spending are reasons why the Bank of Canada is unlikely to cut rates again in this cycle [1]

美联储理事库格勒：第一季度GDP显示了经济的真实一面是具有弹性的。 ...

惠誉：非农报告展示出经济弹性而不是经济衰退 美联储将继续袖手旁观 金十数据5月2日讯，惠誉评级惠誉评级Olu Sonola表示，这是一份不错的就业报告。本报告中劳动力市 场展示的"R"字是弹性（resilience），当然不是衰退（recession）。目前，鉴于贸易政策可能会拖累经 济，我们应该抑制对未来的热情。从本周的整体数据中得出的关键信息是，美国经济在4月的第一周基 本面强劲，但前景仍然非常不确定。美联储将继续袖手旁观，直到劳动力市场出现真正的疲软。 ...