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加皇银行:粘性通胀、有弹性的经济及更强劲的财政支出将使加拿大央行再次按兵不动
news flash· 2025-07-28 04:00
Core Viewpoint - The Royal Bank of Canada anticipates that the Bank of Canada will maintain interest rates unchanged in the upcoming meeting due to sticky inflation, a resilient economy, and stronger fiscal spending [1] Economic Conditions - Trade tensions are escalating, and Canadian economic data remains weak [1] - The labor market showed signs of bottoming out in June, with a partial recovery in the confidence index that had plummeted in March [1] - The USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement) allows most Canadian exports to enter the US duty-free, which is crucial for Canada [1] Inflation and Monetary Policy - Recent inflation reports have unexpectedly risen, primarily driven by pressures from the domestic service sector [1] - The combination of sticky inflation data, a weak yet relatively resilient economic backdrop, and the prospect of increased fiscal spending are reasons why the Bank of Canada is unlikely to cut rates again in this cycle [1]
美联储理事库格勒:第一季度GDP显示了经济的真实一面是具有弹性的。
news flash· 2025-05-09 11:27
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve Governor, Christopher Waller, stated that the first quarter GDP reflects the true resilience of the economy [1] Group 1 - The first quarter GDP data indicates a robust economic performance, showcasing resilience despite potential challenges [1]
惠誉:非农报告展示出经济弹性而不是经济衰退 美联储将继续袖手旁观
news flash· 2025-05-02 13:35
Core Insights - The non-farm payroll report indicates economic resilience rather than recession [1] - The labor market remains strong, but future economic outlook is uncertain [1] - The Federal Reserve is expected to remain passive until there is significant weakness in the labor market [1] Economic Indicators - The employment report is characterized as a good one, showcasing resilience in the labor market [1] - Overall data from the week suggests a strong economic foundation for the U.S. in early April [1] - Trade policies may pose a risk to economic growth, warranting caution regarding future optimism [1]