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乖宝宠物(301498):2025三季报点评:品牌直销拓展稳步推进,毛利率维持同比改善趋势
Guoxin Securities· 2025-10-26 13:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5] Core Views - The company has achieved a revenue of 4.737 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 29.03%. The third quarter alone contributed 1.517 billion yuan, showing a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 12.88% but a year-on-year increase of 21.85% [1][8] - The company's gross profit margin has improved, reaching 42.83% for the first three quarters of 2025, up 0.85 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin, however, has been under pressure due to increased marketing expenses, standing at 10.84%, down 2.01 percentage points year-on-year [2][10] - The company is actively transitioning from a distribution model to a direct sales model, which is expected to enhance profitability. Direct sales revenue from platforms like Tmall, JD.com, and Douyin reached 1.21 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 39.72% [3][17] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a net profit of 513 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.05%. The third quarter's net profit was 135 million yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 22.35% and a year-on-year decrease of 16.65% [1][8] - The sales expenses for the first three quarters were 1.034 billion yuan, up 48.86% year-on-year, leading to a sales expense ratio of 21.82% [2][10] Profitability Metrics - The overall sales gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 42.83%, with the third quarter gross profit margin at 42.92% [2][10] - The company’s net profit margin for the first three quarters was 10.84%, with the third quarter net profit margin at 8.91% [2][10] Future Outlook - The company maintains profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 740 million, 940 million, and 1.19 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.9, 2.4, and 3.0 yuan [3][17] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from the expansion of high-margin direct sales and premium brands, supporting strong growth in both volume and profit [3][17]
乖宝宠物(301498):2025 三季报点评:品牌直销拓展稳步推进,毛利率维持同比改善趋势
Guoxin Securities· 2025-10-26 09:42
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][19]. Core Insights - The company has achieved a revenue of 4.737 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 29.03%. The third quarter alone contributed 1.517 billion yuan, showing a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 12.88% but a year-on-year increase of 21.85% [1][8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 513 million yuan, up 9.05% year-on-year, with the third quarter net profit at 135 million yuan, down 22.35% quarter-on-quarter and down 16.65% year-on-year [1][8]. - The company is focusing on expanding its self-owned brand and direct sales channels, which has led to a significant increase in sales expenses, impacting short-term profitability [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - The overall sales gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 42.83%, an increase of 0.85 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross margin for Q3 was 42.92%, up 1.08 percentage points year-on-year [2][13]. - The net profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 10.84%, a decrease of 2.01 percentage points year-on-year, with Q3 net profit margin at 8.91%, down 4.16 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased sales expenses [2][13]. - Sales expenses for the first three quarters of 2025 totaled 1.034 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.86%, leading to a sales expense ratio of 21.82% [2][13]. Business Strategy - The company is transitioning from a distribution model to a direct sales model, enhancing its profitability. The direct sales revenue from platforms like Tmall, JD.com, and Douyin reached 1.21 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 39.72%, accounting for 37.73% of total revenue [3][19]. - The company aims to continue strengthening its self-owned brand business and direct sales model, which is expected to drive further growth in both volume and profit margins [3][19]. Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts net profits attributable to the parent company for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 740 million yuan, 940 million yuan, and 1.187 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.9 yuan, 2.4 yuan, and 3.0 yuan [19][20].
乖宝宠物(301498):2025 三季报点评:品牌直销拓展稳步推进,毛利率维持同比善趋势
Guoxin Securities· 2025-10-26 06:29
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][19] Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in its proprietary brand business, with a revenue of 4.737 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 29.03%. The third quarter alone generated 1.517 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 12.88% but a year-on-year increase of 21.85% [1][8] - The gross margin has improved, maintaining a year-on-year upward trend at 42.83% for the first three quarters of 2025, an increase of 0.85 percentage points year-on-year. However, the net profit margin has been pressured due to increased marketing expenses, with a net profit margin of 10.84%, down 2.01 percentage points year-on-year [2][13] - The company is actively transitioning from a distribution model to a direct sales model, which is expected to enhance profitability. Direct sales revenue from platforms like Tmall, JD, and Douyin reached 1.21 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 39.72%, accounting for 37.73% of total revenue [3][19] Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a net profit of 513 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.05%, with Q3 net profit at 135 million yuan, down 22.35% quarter-on-quarter and down 16.65% year-on-year [1][8] - The sales expenses for the first three quarters of 2025 amounted to 1.034 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.86%, leading to a sales expense ratio of 21.82% [2][13] - The company forecasts net profits of 740 million yuan, 940 million yuan, and 1.19 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.9 yuan, 2.4 yuan, and 3.0 yuan [19][20]