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金属周报 | 流动性紧缩,金银的韧性与铜的疲态
对冲研投· 2025-11-10 07:08
Group 1 - The article discusses the impact of the prolonged U.S. government shutdown on market liquidity, particularly the tightening of dollar liquidity, with expectations for the government to potentially reopen by November 17 [2][7]. - Gold and silver prices experienced slight declines, with COMEX gold down 0.14% and silver down 0.05%, while copper prices saw a more significant drop of -3.05% on COMEX [5][8]. - The copper market is under pressure due to reduced domestic consumption and increased inventory levels, with SHFE copper prices returning to around 85,000 yuan per ton [9][10]. Group 2 - The article notes that the gold price is expected to have limited downside potential in the medium to long term, supported by factors such as U.S. sovereign credit risk and geopolitical tensions [8][56]. - The copper concentrate TC weekly index increased slightly to -42.1 USD/dry ton, indicating ongoing negotiations and price fluctuations in the copper concentrate market [14]. - COMEX copper inventory has increased significantly, surpassing 360,000 tons, reflecting a continued accumulation since mid-March [10][11]. Group 3 - The article highlights that the financial liquidity risks are brewing due to the government shutdown, leading to a significant pullback in U.S. stocks and Bitcoin, which are sensitive to liquidity changes [7][8]. - The article mentions that the domestic market for electrolytic copper has seen an increase in inventory, with a total of 202,600 tons, indicating a slight rise in supply amid weak demand [21]. - The SPDR gold ETF holdings increased by 2.9 tons to 1,042 tons, while SLV silver ETF holdings decreased by 1.01 tons to 15,089 tons, reflecting shifts in investor sentiment [48].