德国对美出口连续5个月下滑 中新社柏林10月9日电 (记者 马秀秀)根据德国联邦统计局9日公布的初步数据，2025年8月德国对美国出 口额环比下降2.5%，连续第五个月下滑。分析人士指出，美国加征关税政策正日益成为以出口为导向 的德国经济的沉重负担。 数据显示，德国8月对美出口额同比下降20.1%。经日历与季节性调整后，当月德国对美出口额为109亿 欧元，创下自2021年11月以来的最低水平。 来源：中国新闻网 总体来看，德国8月出口总额为1297亿欧元，环比下降0.5%。在其他主要出口市场中，德国对中国出口 额为68亿欧元，环比增长5.4%。 经济学家预计，德国对美出口的下滑趋势短期内仍将持续。尽管慕尼黑伊弗经济研究所9月最新景气调 查显示，德国出口行业的景气状况较8月有所改善，但该研究所调查主管克劳斯·沃尔拉贝指出，持续性 的复苏尚未出现。 宏观经济与经济周期研究所科学主管塞巴斯蒂安·杜利恩表示，与近期公布的德国工业新订单和生产数 据类似，8月出口数据同样反映出美国关税政策的负面影响。他指出，未来几个月，德国经济难以像以 往复苏阶段那样依靠出口走出困境。(完) 本文为转载内容，授权事宜请联系原著作权人 中 ...

Economic Outlook - The recent downgrade of the US sovereign credit rating by Moody's reflects concerns over increasing government debt and interest expenditures, with the federal debt exceeding $36 trillion and a projected deficit of $1.8 trillion for 2024, which is 6.4% of GDP [1][2] - Moody's predicts that if the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act is extended, the federal deficit could increase by approximately $4 trillion over the next decade, raising the debt-to-GDP ratio from 98% in 2024 to 134% by 2035 [1] Consumer Confidence - The University of Michigan reported a decline in the US consumer confidence index to 50.8% in May, marking the lowest level since June 2022 and a continuous drop for five months [2] - Consumer inflation expectations for the next year rose to 7.3%, an increase of 0.8 percentage points from April [2] Economic Performance - The US economy contracted by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2023, the worst quarterly performance since 2022, attributed largely to the impact of increased tariffs [2][3] - Personal consumption expenditure, which accounts for about 70% of the US economy, grew by 1.8%, showing a significant slowdown compared to previous quarters [3] Retail Sector Impact - Retail sales in April increased by only 0.1% month-over-month, significantly lower than the growth rate in March, indicating weakened consumer spending [3] - Major retailers like Walmart and Best Buy are planning to raise prices on imported goods to offset increased costs due to tariffs, despite warnings from President Trump against passing costs onto consumers [3] Tourism Industry - The number of international visitors to the US decreased by 11.6% year-over-year in March, negatively impacting the tourism sector, which contributes approximately 9% to the US economy [3] - The World Travel and Tourism Council forecasts a 7% decline in tourism revenue for the US by 2025 [3] Federal Reserve Policy - President Trump has urged the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates to stimulate the economy, but the Fed has opted to maintain current rates, marking the third consecutive meeting without a change [3] Trade Policy Concerns - Analysts express that the high tariff levels, despite recent adjustments, will continue to exert negative effects on the US economy, potentially leading to high inflation, high unemployment, and economic recession in the long term [4] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the US economy may enter a period characterized by more frequent and persistent supply shocks [4]