美国就业市场走软
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美国就业市场走软新迹象!企业招聘意愿降至2009年来最低8月水平 裁员人数大幅攀升
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-04 12:25
Group 1 - The hiring plans of U.S. companies have dropped to the weakest level for August on record, with only 1,494 new job announcements, the lowest since 2009 [1] - Announced layoffs have significantly increased to nearly 85,980, marking a 39% month-over-month increase and a 13% year-over-year increase, the highest for August since 2020 [1] - The report indicates a slowdown in the labor market as many companies are pausing expansion plans amid economic uncertainty [1] Group 2 - The U.S. labor market is showing signs of weakness, with the Federal Reserve closely monitoring employment data for any concerning trends [2] - Market expectations are leaning towards a potential 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in response to labor market and economic growth pressures [2] - The upcoming non-farm payroll report is anticipated to reflect the ongoing softening of the job market [2]
不能一直等待!美联储戴利:降息时机已临近,预计年内次或超两次
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-08-05 03:27
Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is nearing a decision on interest rate cuts due to signs of a softening job market and a lack of sustained inflation driven by tariffs [1][3] - Mary Daly indicated that while the Fed's short-term borrowing cost remains at 4.25%-4.50%, future meetings may consider policy adjustments, with a possibility of more than two rate cuts if the labor market continues to weaken [3][4] - Recent labor data showed only 73,000 new jobs added in July, with significant downward revisions to previous months, indicating potential challenges in the employment sector [3][4] Group 2 - The unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.2% in July, but Daly emphasized that this does not reflect extreme weakness in the job market [4] - There is no evidence that tariff-induced price increases are broadly affecting inflation, and the Fed may risk acting too late if it waits too long to ensure this is the case [4] - Daly expressed that the current policy may increasingly misalign with economic conditions, suggesting a need for adjustments to maintain downward pressure on inflation while ensuring sustainable employment [4]