美国国会的无党派机构就发布了最新预测，响应特斯拉CEO马斯克的警告，预计特朗普政府的大规模支 出法案将导致美国政府的赤字未来十年再扩大2.4万亿美元。不过，共和党的领袖暗示，马斯克出尔反 尔，刚承诺支持共和党，就掉过头来猛喷特朗普和共和党力推的法案。 美东时间6月4日周三，美国国会预算办公室（CBO）公布预测结果显示，相比基准预测，到2034年、 即未来十年内，名为"大漂亮法案"的共和党减税和支出法案会让美国联邦政府的收入减少3.67万亿美 元，同时政府支出会减少1.25万亿美元，联邦政府的预算赤字由此净增加2.42万亿美元。 不过，有评论指出，上述估算数字并未考虑该法案可能带给经济的提振，那些潜在的提振可能会抵消部 分政府收入的损失。 CBO此前的预测已显示，美国的债务危机可能比预期来得更快、更猛。5月CBO曾预计，大漂亮法案可 能使美国政府的预算赤字未来十年再增加2.3万亿美元。 CBO最新预测公布一天前，华尔街见闻提到，马斯克在社交媒体公开抨击该法案，称它"让人厌恶"、支 持它的议员"可耻"。当时马斯克发帖称，该法案将使本已巨大的美国政府预算赤字激增到2.5万亿美 元，让美国国民背负难以承受的负债，"国 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the criticism from Elon Musk regarding President Trump's large-scale tax and spending bill, which Musk describes as absurd and politically manipulated, warning that it could significantly increase the budget deficit to $2.5 trillion and burden American citizens with debt [1]. Group 1: Tax and Spending Bill - The large-scale tax and spending bill, referred to as the "beautiful bill," has been passed by the House of Representatives and is set for Senate review [1][6]. - The bill plans to reduce taxes by $4 trillion over the next decade while cutting at least $1.5 trillion in spending [1][6]. - Critics argue that the bill will severely impact healthcare policies and significantly increase federal debt [1][6]. Group 2: Elon Musk's Criticism - Musk expressed disappointment that the "beautiful bill" contradicts the efforts of the Office of Government Efficiency, which aims to reduce costs [4]. - He stated that the Office of Government Efficiency has become a scapegoat for all layoffs, indicating a disconnect between government actions and accountability [3][4]. - Musk humorously questioned whether a bill can be both "big" and "beautiful," highlighting skepticism about the bill's effectiveness [4]. Group 3: Political Reactions - Senator Joni Ernst faced backlash during a town hall meeting for her comments regarding cuts to healthcare subsidies, which some audience members claimed would lead to deaths [5][6]. - Ernst's subsequent apology was perceived as sarcastic, reflecting the contentious nature of the bill and its implications for public health [6].

Group 1 - US Treasury bonds rose ahead of the inflation data release, reversing the sharp decline following the US-China trade consensus, which reduced the likelihood of a global economic recession and diminished market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut [1] - The two-year Treasury yield fell three basis points to 3.98%, outperforming European counterparts, while the ten-year yield traded at 4.45%, significantly higher than the month's low of 4.12% [2] - Economists predict that the US April CPI year-on-year growth will remain at 2.4%, with core CPI growth expected to hold steady at 2.8% [1][2] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs now expects the Federal Reserve to begin cutting rates in December rather than July, with the probability of a recession reduced to 35% from 45% [2] - Deutsche Bank economists estimate that the final tax plan could keep the US deficit as a percentage of GDP around 6.5% in the coming years [3] - Market participants are uncertain about the feasibility of extending the 2017 tax cuts without exacerbating the US deficit, with discussions set to begin in the House of Representatives [3]