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曾金策9月14日:下周黄金价格走势分析、黄金操作策略解套建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-13 18:14
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that weak U.S. employment data and rising initial jobless claims strengthen expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut, supporting gold prices. However, a rebound in the U.S. dollar and bond yields limits the price increase. Geopolitical tensions, such as Israel's attack on Qatar and Poland shooting down a drone, elevate risk aversion, which is bullish for gold [1] Group 2 - From a technical perspective, on the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are expanding, with gold prices near the upper band. The MACD indicator shows a bullish crossover, while the RSI is in an overbought state, indicating a potential pullback in gold prices [2] - On the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with gold prices near the middle band. The MACD indicator shows a bearish crossover, and the RSI indicates a pullback from overbought conditions [2] - On the 1-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are also narrowing, with gold prices near the middle band. The MACD indicator shows a bearish crossover, and the RSI indicates a rebound from oversold conditions, suggesting a slowdown in upward momentum for gold prices [2] Group 3 - For future gold trading strategies, aggressive traders may consider buying near the support level of $3,350 per ounce, while more cautious traders may wait for a stabilization around $3,300 per ounce before entering long positions. For short positions, aggressive traders may look to sell near the resistance level of $3,660 per ounce, while cautious traders may consider selling around $3,700 per ounce [3] - In terms of futures trading recommendations, the Shanghai gold futures market is expected to maintain a bullish trend influenced by the Fed's rate cut expectations and geopolitical factors. A pullback to ¥830-831 per gram may present a buying opportunity, targeting ¥835-840 per gram [3] - The Rontong gold market is expected to follow international gold prices, with a potential buying opportunity if prices drop to ¥825-826 per gram. The accumulation gold market is supported by multiple favorable factors, with a buying opportunity if prices retreat to ¥820-822 per gram [3] - The gold T+D market is expected to rise with spot gold prices, with a buying opportunity if prices drop to ¥825-826 per gram, while strict position control is advised due to leverage risks [3]