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美欧关税战若升级 德国或面临2500亿欧元损失
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-05-25 02:10
Group 1: Economic Impact on Germany - The proposed 50% tariff on EU imports could lead to a cumulative loss of €200 billion for the German economy from 2025 to 2028, potentially increasing to €250 billion if the EU retaliates [3][4] - The German GDP is expected to decline by 0.1% this year due to the tariffs [3] - The automotive industry, a key sector in Germany, is particularly vulnerable, with 13.1% of new car exports going to the US in 2024 [7] Group 2: Industry-Specific Concerns - The automotive sector may face significant challenges, with companies like Porsche potentially increasing prices to offset tariffs, risking losses [7] - The French cognac industry, which relies on the US market for 50% of its global sales, could be severely impacted if tariffs are implemented [7] - Other European industries, including machinery, aerospace, chemicals, and pharmaceuticals, are also expected to suffer heavy losses due to high tariffs [11] Group 3: EU Response and Trade Relations - The EU has expressed strong dissatisfaction with the proposed tariffs, emphasizing the need for mutual respect in trade agreements [8] - EU officials have indicated that they will not make concessions on key issues and are prepared to respond to US tariffs [8] - The ongoing trade tensions are likely to create further uncertainty in the global economy, with potential negative impacts on both US and EU markets [9][11]