2026 年 02 月 27 日 聚氨酯涨价风起，万华化学核心受益 买入(维持) 事件 | 分析师：卢昊 | S1050526020001 | | --- | --- | | luhao@cfsc.com.cn | | | 联系人：高铭谦 | S1050124080006 | | gaomq@cfsc.com.cn | | | 基本数据 | 2026-02-27 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 93 | | 总市值（亿元） | 2911 | | 总股本（百万股） | 3130 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 3130 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 52.53-93 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 2163.09 | 市场表现 1、《万华化学（600309）：业绩短 期承压，多元化布局提升竞争力》 2025-08-15 2、《万华化学（600309）：聚氨酯 龙头产销持续增长，盈利能力下滑 拖累业绩》2025-04-25 3、《万华化学（600309）：公司 Q3 业绩承压，迈入国际化新篇章》 2024-11-12 —万华化学（600309.SH）公司事件点评报告 根据百川盈孚， ...

2026 年 02 月 27 日 聚氨酯涨价风起，万华化学核心受益 买入(维持) 事件 | 分析师：卢昊 | S1050526020001 | | --- | --- | | luhao@cfsc.com.cn | | | 联系人：高铭谦 | S1050124080006 | | gaomq@cfsc.com.cn | | | 基本数据 | 2026-02-27 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价（元） | 93 | | 总市值（亿元） | 2911 | | 总股本（百万股） | 3130 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 3130 | | 52 周价格范围（元） | 52.53-93 | | 日均成交额（百万元） | 2163.09 | 市场表现 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 (%) 万华化学 沪深300 资料来源：Wind，华鑫证券研究 相关研究 1、《万华化学（600309）：业绩短 期承压，多元化布局提升竞争力》 2025-08-15 2、《万华化学（600309）：聚氨酯 龙头产销持续增长，盈利能力下滑 拖累业绩》2025-04-25 3、《万华化学（600309）：公 ...

同时，科思创宣布自2026年3月1日起，或根据合同规定，科思创上调北美地区MDI系列产品价格涨幅为 0.10美元/磅(等同于220美元/吨)，此次提价在此前已实施的产品价格调整基础上进行。在此之前2月17 日，亨斯迈宣布，对美国市场的MDI产品涨价260美元/吨，聚醚产品涨价110美元/吨。涨价自即日起生 效，或按既定合同执行。 据了解，每年2月前后是聚氨酯产品的传统涨价节点之一，这主要是由于聚氨酯的主要消费市场比如中 国大陆、中国台湾、越南等东南亚国家和地区处于春节假期。此外，中东市场处于斋月期，节日备货需 求提升，使得MDI和聚醚等聚氨酯厂家顺利出货，库存降至低位。截至2月24日，国内聚合MDI价格 1.39万元/吨，纯MDI价格1.75万元/吨，均与春节前持平；TDI价格1.49万元/吨，较春节前上涨275元/ 吨。海外装置低负荷叠加不可抗力，聚氨酯节后或显现涨价动能MDI方面，截至2026年2月12日，全球 MDI产能1155万吨，海外工厂共194万吨MDI产能处于低负荷运行状态。截至2024年末，万华化学拥有 380万吨MDI产能。TDI方面，据相关数据显示，截至2026年2月12日，德国科思创TD ...

Price Increases in MDI Products - Huntsman announced a price increase of $260 per ton for MDI products in the U.S. market effective immediately, and a $110 per ton increase for polyether products [2] - Wanhua Chemical will raise prices for polymer MDI and pure MDI products in Southeast Asia and South Asia by $200 per ton starting December 1, 2025 [2] - BASF has already increased prices for MDI products in South Asia by $200 per ton as of November 20 [2] - The global MDI market is highly concentrated, with the top five companies (Wanhua Chemical, BASF, Covestro, Huntsman, and Dow) holding approximately 90% market share [2] Seasonal Price Trends - February is traditionally a price increase period for polyurethane products due to the Lunar New Year holidays in major consuming markets like China and Southeast Asia [2] - The Middle East market experiences increased demand during Ramadan, contributing to lower inventory levels for MDI and polyether manufacturers [2] - Last year's production shutdowns and maintenance periods exacerbated the global supply-demand tension for MDI [2] Nylon Industry Conference - The "2026 Advanced Nylon Industry Innovation and Application Development Conference" will be held on March 19-20, 2026, in Guangzhou, focusing on the latest advancements in nylon monomers, polymers, and modifications [5][7] - The global nylon market is expected to exceed $47 billion, with applications expanding into sectors such as new energy vehicles, electronics, and robotics [7] - The conference aims to address challenges and strategies in technology innovation, cost reduction, and market expansion within the nylon industry [7] Conference Highlights - The conference will gather over 300 domestic and international nylon enterprises and industry leaders for effective resource matching [9] - More than 20 experts and industry leaders will share insights on innovation paths in the nylon sector [9] - Special activities will include themed salons, company visits, and demand matching sessions to meet industry needs [9] Conference Agenda - Day 1 will feature a supply-demand exchange meeting [10] - Day 2 will cover new trends, resins, materials, additives, processes, and equipment [10] - Day 3 will focus on new directions, applications, and scenarios, including a visit to Xiaopeng Motors [10] Topics of Discussion - Innovations and challenges of nylon in automotive and electronics industries [11] - Development and application cases of nylon materials for low-altitude aircraft and robotics [11] - Development of nylon elastomers and flame-retardant systems [12]