1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The recent rally in polyolefin prices is mainly driven by geopolitical risks in the crude oil market, while the supply - demand structure has not changed substantially. With downstream industries entering the holiday season and weakening procurement, polyolefins have weak internal drivers, and there is a risk of price correction after the cost - driven sentiment fades. Attention should be paid to the development of the US - Iran situation. If crude oil prices strengthen further, it may support polyolefin prices at a high level [4]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Review and Outlook - L2605 opened higher, fluctuated during the session, and closed up at 6935 yuan/ton, up 80 yuan/ton (1.17%), with a trading volume of 610,000 lots and a decrease of 4043 lots in positions to 515,013 lots. PP2605 closed at 6737 yuan/ton, up 90 yuan (1.35%), with an increase of 22,200 lots in positions to 521,100 lots. The US's frequent threats of military intervention in the Iranian situation have disrupted crude oil supply, causing crude oil to rise by over 4% during the day, and polyolefins rebounded following the cost fluctuations. Polypropylene supply increased slightly due to fewer maintenance, but some supplies were still structurally tight. Polyethylene supply became more relaxed due to import arrivals and new production capacity expectations. High - priced raw materials generally suppressed downstream procurement, and although there was still rigid demand for stocking before the Spring Festival, overall operations were cautious, and some small and medium - sized factories had entered the holiday [4]. 3.2 Industry News - On January 26, 2026, the inventory level of major producers was 550,000 tons, a 50,000 - ton increase (10.00%) from the previous working day, compared to 450,000 tons in the same period last year. PE market prices mostly rose, with LLDPE prices in North China at 6750 - 7100 yuan/ton, in East China at 6830 - 7100 yuan/ton, and in South China at 6950 - 7150 yuan/ton. The mainstream price of propylene in the Shandong market was 6320 - 6380 yuan/ton, up 175 yuan/ton from the previous working day. Downstream factories' willingness to replenish inventory increased, and propylene producers' offers rose significantly, with some real - order auctions having premiums, and the overall market trading atmosphere was good. PP market prices also rose, with the mainstream price of drawn PP in North China at 6490 - 6590 yuan/ton, in East China at 6520 - 6680 yuan/ton, and in South China at 6470 - 6680 yuan/ton [5]. 3.3 Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts, including L basis, PP basis, L - PP spread, crude oil futures main contract settlement price, two - oil inventories, and two - oil inventory year - on - year increase/decrease rate, with data sources from Wind and Zhuochuang Information [7][9][13]

Report Information - Report Name: Polyolefin Daily Report [1] - Date: January 20, 2026 [2] Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoint - Polyolefins showed a weak correction due to the marginal weakening of cost support and their own supply - demand structure. Polypropylene's supply pressure was relieved due to increased temporary maintenance, but it would increase slightly next week. The overall supply pressure of plastics increased month - on - month. Downstream demand was weak, with high - price resistance increasing, and some small - scale enterprises might reduce production or start holidays early. [6] Summary by Directory 1. Market Review and Outlook - LianSu L2605 opened lower, fluctuated down during trading, and closed down at 6,667 yuan/ton, a decrease of 62 yuan/ton (-0.92%), with a trading volume of 410,000 lots and an increase in positions of 13,977 lots to 485,464 lots.PP2605 closed at 6,482 yuan/ton, a decrease of 54 yuan (-0.83%), with a decrease in positions of 15,239 lots to 470,500 lots. [6] 2. Industry News - On January 19, 2026, the inventory level of major producers was 560,000 tons, an increase of 70,000 tons (14.29%) compared with the previous working day. The inventory in the same period last year was 530,000 tons. [7] - Most PE market prices fell, and the PP market was running weakly. The mainstream price of propylene in the Shandong market remained unchanged at 6,120 - 6,170 yuan/ton compared with the previous working day. [7] 3. Data Overview - The report presented multiple data charts, including L basis, PP basis, L - PP spread, crude oil futures settlement price, two - oil inventory, and two - oil inventory year - on - year increase/decrease rate. [9][12][15]

Report 1: Polyolefin Industry Spot and Futures Daily Report Core Viewpoints - The supply and demand structure of polyolefins is loose, and the upside space of the 01 contract is limited. The prices of PP and PE are under pressure due to the weak macro - atmosphere, cost, and supply - demand performance [2]. Summary by Catalog - **Prices and Price Differences** - On October 17, the closing prices of L2601, L2509, PP2601, and PP2509 decreased compared to the previous day, with declines ranging from - 0.79% to - 1.04%. The differences between L2509 - 2601 and PP2509 - 2601 also changed, with L2509 - 2601 down 24.00% and PP2509 - 2601 up 12.33% [2]. - Spot prices of East China PP fiber and North China LDPE film decreased, with declines of - 0.62% and - 0.73% respectively. The basis of North China LL and East China PP also changed [2]. - Non - standard prices of PE and PP mostly decreased, such as the East China LDPE price down - 0.54% [2]. - **Inventory and Production** - PE enterprise inventory and social inventory increased by 27.67% and 4.02% respectively. PP enterprise inventory and trader inventory increased by 30.96% and 39.48% respectively [2]. - PE device operating rate decreased by 2.61%, while the downstream weighted operating rate increased by 1.26%. PP device operating rate increased by 0.6%, and the powder operating rate increased by 5.4% [2]. Report 2: Methanol Industry Spot and Futures Daily Report Core Viewpoints - In the methanol market, under the game of supply and demand, prices may continue to fluctuate. Attention should be paid to the stability of overseas device operation, the customs clearance efficiency of sanctioned vessels, and the actual arrival performance, as well as the port destocking rhythm and the implementation effect of overseas gas restriction expectations [4]. Summary by Catalog - **Prices and Price Differences** - On October 17, the closing prices of MA2601 and MA2605 decreased, with declines of - 2.03% and - 1.51% respectively. The MA15 spread increased by 200.00%, and the Taicang basis decreased by - 18.18% [4]. - Spot prices in Inner Mongolia's northern line, Henan Luoyang, and Taicang Port decreased, with declines ranging from - 0.35% to - 1.31% [4]. - **Inventory and Production** - Methanol enterprise inventory increased by 6.33%, while port inventory decreased by - 3.36%, and social inventory decreased by - 1.61% [4]. - The upstream domestic enterprise operating rate decreased by - 1.86%, and the overseas exchange and northwest enterprise sales - to - production ratio changed. Downstream, the operating rates of some devices such as acetic acid and MTBE decreased [4]. Report 3: Pure Benzene - Styrene Daily Report Core Viewpoints - The weekly supply - demand of pure benzene is weak, and the price drive is weak in October. The price of styrene is also under pressure in the short term due to the weak supply - demand and oil price expectations [6]. Summary by Catalog - **Upstream Prices and Price Differences** - On October 17, the prices of Brent crude oil, WTI crude oil, CFR Japan naphtha, etc. changed. The price differences between pure benzene - naphtha and ethylene - naphtha also changed [6]. - The spot price of pure benzene in East China decreased by - 0.7%, and the BZ futures 2603 decreased by - 1.4% [6]. - **Styrene - Related Prices and Price Differences** - The spot price of styrene in East China decreased by - 1.8%, and EB futures 2511 and 2512 also decreased [6]. - The EB basis (03) increased by 950.0%, and the styrene import profit increased by 114.6% [6]. - **Inventory and Production** - The port inventories of pure benzene and styrene in Jiangsu decreased by - 1.1% and - 2.7% respectively. The operating rates of some devices in the pure benzene and styrene industry chains changed [6]. Report 4: Polyester Industry Chain Daily Report Core Viewpoints - For PX, the supply - demand is repaired to some extent in the fourth quarter but remains weak overall, with limited short - term drive and mainly low - level fluctuations. PTA also has limited short - term drive and low - level fluctuations. Ethylene glycol is expected to accumulate inventory, and its price is under pressure. Short - fiber and bottle - chip prices also face different supply - demand situations [7]. Summary by Catalog - **Upstream Prices** - On October 17, the prices of Brent crude oil, WTI crude oil, CFR Japan naphtha, etc. changed. The exchange rate remained basically unchanged [7]. - **PX - Related Prices and Price Differences** - CFR China PX price decreased by - 0.4%. PX spot price in RMB decreased by - 1.6%, and PX futures 2511 and 2601 also decreased [7]. - **PTA - Related Prices and Price Differences** - PTA East China spot price decreased by - 0.3%, and TA futures 2601 and 2605 decreased [7]. - PTA basis (01) and TA01 - TA05 spread changed [7]. - **MEG - Related Prices and Price Differences** - MEG East China spot price decreased by - 0.1%, and EG futures 2601 and 2605 decreased [7]. - MEG basis (01) increased by 261.3%, and MEG import profit increased by - 48.5% [7]. - **Inventory and Production** - MEG port inventory increased by 6.7%, and the arrival expectation increased by 27.5%. The operating rates of various devices in the polyester industry chain changed, such as the PTA operating rate increasing by 2.3% [7].