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每日钉一下(为啥市场一定会在熊市牛市之间来回切换?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-11-20 12:54
Group 1 - The article discusses the cyclical nature of the stock market, highlighting that it oscillates between bull and bear markets due to economic cycles [7][11] - Three main cycles affecting the stock market are identified: fundamental cycle, liquidity cycle, and sentiment cycle [7][11] - The fundamental cycle refers to the growth rate of corporate earnings, which has been slow from 2022 to 2024, with a potential recovery in 2025 for certain sectors like technology and military [8][11] Group 2 - The liquidity cycle is influenced by the availability of capital, particularly affected by interest rate changes, with a significant rise in A-shares and Hong Kong stocks following the Federal Reserve's rate cuts in September 2024 [9] - The sentiment cycle reflects investor emotions, where optimism peaks during market rises and pessimism during declines, impacting investment decisions [10][11] - The interplay of these cycles can lead to simultaneous peaks or troughs, resulting in pronounced bull or bear markets [11]
每日钉一下(什么是通货膨胀?如何衡量呢?)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-07-19 10:19
Group 1 - The article highlights that most investors are familiar with stock index funds but have limited knowledge about bond index funds and their investment strategies [1]. - A free course is offered to educate investors on how to invest in bond index funds [1][2]. Group 2 - The course includes additional resources such as course notes and mind maps to facilitate efficient learning [2]. - There is a call to action for readers to add a course assistant and reply with "bonds" to access the course [2].