能量饮料全国化

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东鹏饮料(605499):补水啦高速增长,果之茶表现可期
Xinda Securities· 2025-07-29 07:40
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 10.737 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 36.37%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.375 billion yuan, up 37.22% year-on-year [1] - The company continues to perform well in the beverage market, particularly with its "Water Boost" product line, which saw significant growth in revenue [4] - The company is expected to maintain good growth in the energy drink market nationwide, driven by its competitive pricing and channel advantages [4] Financial Summary - The total revenue for 2023 is projected at 11.263 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 32.4% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is estimated at 2.040 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 41.6% [3] - The gross profit margin is expected to be 43.1% in 2023, with a gradual increase to 47.7% by 2027 [3] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is projected at 3.92 yuan, increasing to 15.19 yuan by 2027 [3] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 73.98 in 2023 to 19.11 in 2027, indicating improving valuation [3]
东鹏饮料:补水啦高速增长,盈利能力提升-20250420
Xinda Securities· 2025-04-20 08:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 4.848 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 39.23%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 980 million yuan, up 47.61% year-on-year [2][5] - The company continues to deepen its market presence in Guangdong while optimizing its distribution system and business team outside the province, indicating strong growth potential for its energy drinks nationwide [5] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023A: 11.263 billion yuan - 2024A: 15.839 billion yuan - 2025E: 21.527 billion yuan - 2026E: 27.832 billion yuan - 2027E: 35.390 billion yuan - Year-on-year growth rates for total revenue are projected at: - 2023A: 32.4% - 2024A: 40.6% - 2025E: 35.9% - 2026E: 29.3% - 2027E: 27.2% [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected as follows: - 2023A: 2.040 billion yuan - 2024A: 3.327 billion yuan - 2025E: 4.636 billion yuan - 2026E: 6.231 billion yuan - 2027E: 8.229 billion yuan - Year-on-year growth rates for net profit are projected at: - 2023A: 41.6% - 2024A: 63.1% - 2025E: 39.4% - 2026E: 34.4% - 2027E: 32.1% [4] - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 43.1% in 2023A to 48.2% in 2027E [4] Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Valuation Metrics - Projected EPS for the company is as follows: - 2025E: 8.92 yuan - 2026E: 11.98 yuan - 2027E: 15.82 yuan - Corresponding P/E ratios based on the closing price of 280.8 yuan per share on April 18, 2025, are projected at: - 2025E: 31.49 - 2026E: 23.44 - 2027E: 17.75 [5][4]
东鹏饮料(605499):补水啦高速增长,盈利能力提升
Xinda Securities· 2025-04-20 07:28
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][5] Core Views - The company has shown strong revenue growth, achieving a revenue of 4.848 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 39.23%. The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 980 million yuan, up 47.61% year-on-year [2][5] - The company is expected to maintain good growth in the energy drink market nationwide, supported by its pricing and channel advantages [5] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023A: 11.263 billion yuan - 2024A: 15.839 billion yuan - 2025E: 21.527 billion yuan - 2026E: 27.832 billion yuan - 2027E: 35.390 billion yuan - Year-on-year growth rates for total revenue are projected at: - 2023A: 32.4% - 2024A: 40.6% - 2025E: 35.9% - 2026E: 29.3% - 2027E: 27.2% [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is projected as follows: - 2023A: 2.040 billion yuan - 2024A: 3.327 billion yuan - 2025E: 4.636 billion yuan - 2026E: 6.231 billion yuan - 2027E: 8.229 billion yuan - Year-on-year growth rates for net profit are projected at: - 2023A: 41.6% - 2024A: 63.1% - 2025E: 39.4% - 2026E: 34.4% - 2027E: 32.1% [4] Profitability Metrics - The gross margin is expected to improve from 43.1% in 2023A to 48.2% in 2027E [4] - Return on Equity (ROE) is projected to increase from 32.3% in 2023A to 60.4% in 2027E [4] - Earnings per Share (EPS) projections are as follows: - 2023A: 3.92 yuan - 2024A: 6.40 yuan - 2025E: 8.92 yuan - 2026E: 11.98 yuan - 2027E: 15.82 yuan [4] Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to continue contributing to revenue growth based on its competitive advantages in pricing and distribution channels. The projected PE ratios for 2025 are 31, 23, and 18 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5]