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贸易紧张局势再次升温 美债收益率周二下跌
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-14 12:42
Group 1 - Investors are seeking safe-haven assets due to escalating trade tensions, leading to increased buying in the U.S. Treasury market, resulting in a decline in bond yields [1] - As of October 14, the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield fell by 3.7 basis points to 3.485%, the 10-year yield decreased by 3.4 basis points to a one-month low of 4.017%, and the 30-year yield dropped by 2.6 basis points to 4.608% [3] - The Philadelphia Fed President, Harker, indicated that risks in the U.S. labor market are rising, suggesting that the Federal Reserve should consider further rate cuts, while the impact of tariffs on inflation may be less significant than previously expected [3] Group 2 - In Europe, major government bond yields are declining, with the 10-year German bond yield down by 2.8 basis points to 2.602% and the 10-year Italian bond yield down by 2 basis points to 3.439% [4] - The Bank of England's MPC member, Green, stated that interest rates may further decline, but there are risks that inflation pressures in the UK could slow down [4] - In the Asia-Pacific market, the Tokyo stock market saw significant declines, with the Nikkei average dropping over 700 yen at one point, while the Japanese bond market exhibited mixed results [6] Group 3 - The U.S. Treasury Department appears to be reducing the frequency of bond issuances due to the government shutdown, with plans to issue three types of bonds on October 14, including $86 billion in 13-week and $77 billion in 26-week bills [6] - Japan's Ministry of Finance announced plans to issue a 10-year climate transition bond worth 300 billion yen on October 21 [6]
投资者展望关键就业数据 美债收益率周一走低
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-29 13:45
Group 1 - The market is focused on the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll data for September, with expectations of 59,000 new jobs and an unemployment rate stable at 4.3% [1] - The release of the employment report is contingent on avoiding a government shutdown, with ongoing disagreements between Democrats and Republicans on federal funding [1] - The Federal Reserve is facing challenges in balancing inflation control and job protection, with inflation expected to remain above the target until late 2027 or early 2028 [2] Group 2 - European bond yields are declining, with the 10-year German bond yield down 1.6 basis points to 2.729% and the 10-year Italian bond yield down 2.4 basis points to 3.587% [2] - The UK Chancellor did not disclose where spending cuts will occur in the upcoming budget but emphasized the need to address long-term youth unemployment [3] - Japanese bond yields are also trending down, with the 2-year yield falling to 0.928% and the 10-year yield at 1.642% [3]
英国8月通胀率高位徘徊 英债收益率全线下行
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-09-17 08:34
Group 1 - The UK's annual inflation rate remained stable at 3.8% in August, marking the highest level in 19 months, aligning with market expectations [1] - The UK government is under pressure due to persistent inflation, which is above the Bank of England's target of 2%, leading to increased borrowing costs linked to inflation rates [3] - The Bank of England is closely monitoring inflation data, with predictions that the consumer price index may peak at 4% in September before declining in the first half of 2026 [3] Group 2 - Food prices have risen for the fifth consecutive month, with slight increases in the prices of vegetables, cheese, and fish [2] - The core inflation rate, excluding volatile items like energy and food, was reported at 3.6% in August, down from 3.8% in July [2] - Market expectations indicate a low probability of interest rate cuts in the near term, with only a 36% chance of rate reductions in the remaining three meetings of the year [4]