英国央行利率决议
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本周,全球金融市场迎来“超级央行周”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 00:16
Group 1: U.S. Economic Indicators and Market Reactions - The unexpected lower-than-expected U.S. inflation data for August and ongoing weak employment figures have strengthened market expectations for an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [1] - Major U.S. stock indices collectively rose last week, with the Dow Jones increasing by 0.95%, the S&P 500 rising by 1.59%, and the Nasdaq up by 2.03% [1] Group 2: Oil Market Dynamics - International oil prices increased last week due to geopolitical tensions, including Israel's attack on Hamas and Russian drones entering Polish airspace, raising concerns about potential supply risks in the Middle East and Eastern Europe [2] - New York oil prices rose by 1.33%, while Brent crude prices increased by 2.27% [2] Group 3: Gold Market Performance - International gold prices saw a cumulative increase of 0.91% last week, supported by ongoing expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, with three trading days reaching historical closing highs [3] Group 4: Central Bank Decisions - The upcoming "Super Central Bank Week" will see major central banks, including the Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and Bank of Japan, announce their latest interest rate decisions, with diverging monetary policy directions expected [4][5] - The Federal Reserve is anticipated to announce a 25 basis point rate cut, influenced by signs of a weak labor market and inflation rebound [4] - The Bank of England faces a dilemma between maintaining rates to observe inflation trends or cutting rates to stimulate the economy, with expectations leaning towards keeping rates unchanged [4] - The Bank of Japan is likely to maintain its current interest rate, but there remains a possibility of a rate hike later this year, depending on inflation outlook statements from the central bank [5]
金都财神:8.7黄金行情走势分析及操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-07 02:36
Market Overview - The gold market is experiencing a complex situation due to multiple factors, including profit-taking leading to a slight decline in spot gold prices, heightened expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, and geopolitical tensions arising from tariff measures by the Trump administration against countries like India and Switzerland [1] - As of the early trading session on August 7, spot gold is trading around the 3370 level, with market participants awaiting key economic indicators such as initial jobless claims in the U.S., the Bank of England's interest rate decision, and comments from Federal Reserve officials [1] Gold Price Trends - In the previous trading day, gold prices rose to $3385.3 during the Asian session before declining to a low of $3358.1, where a rebound occurred. The daily chart shows a small bearish candle, with prices remaining above the mid-band, indicating a relatively bullish trend [3] - The hourly chart indicates that gold prices fell to $3364 before rising again, currently trading around $3380. The 5-day moving average is trending upwards, and both KDJ and MACD indicators suggest a bullish momentum [3] Trading Recommendations - A buy recommendation is suggested for gold around the $3367-$3370 range, with a stop loss at $3362 and a take profit target of $3385-$3390 [5] - A sell recommendation is advised for gold around the $3393-$3396 range, with a stop loss at $3401 and a take profit target of $3380 [5]