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[12月18日]指数估值数据(A股现在是分红市还是融资市呢;红利指数估值表更新)
银行螺丝钉· 2025-12-18 14:05
文 | 银行螺丝钉 (转载请注明出处) 今天大盘略微下跌,中证全指下跌0.39%,波动不大,还在4.2星。 沪深300下跌多一些,中小盘股微跌。 最近市场风格轮动比较厉害。 今天创业板等成长风格下跌超2%。 前几天低迷的价值风格,今天普遍上涨。 红利、价值等指数表现比较坚挺。 月薪宝 (点击查看)等含红利类品种多的组合,今天也普遍上涨。 港股波动不大。 港股科技股下跌略多。 昨晚美股下跌,带动今天全球市场也波动,不过人民币资产受影响相对较小。 1. 有朋友问,A股现在是分红市还是融资市呢? 这两天看到一个新闻。 A股2025年到12月中旬,分红总额,超过2024年,达到2.56万亿。 创下历史新高,也是连续第5年分红金额提升。 这几年A股有个比较显著的变化,就是鼓励上市公司提高分红比例。 分红比例是说上市公司把多少比例的盈利,拿出来分红。 如果简单计算,用股息率*市盈率,可以大致推算出分红比例。 以前A股很多公司,把盈利的30-40%拿出来分红。 这两年能提升到40-50%。 2. 分红、回购,都是上市公司回馈投资者的方式。 IPO、增发等,是上市公司从市场募资的方式。 一般牛市的时候,募资金额会大幅提升。 ...
市值为什么不是越高越好?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-20 10:00
Core Concept - The concept of "market value management" is undergoing a significant transformation in the A-share market, shifting from a negative perception to a recognized necessity for corporate value enhancement [2][3]. Group 1: Market Value Management Evolution - The introduction of the "New National Nine Articles" in April 2024 marks a pivotal moment for market value management, emphasizing the need for guidelines and integrating it into corporate evaluation systems [2]. - The release of the "Regulatory Guidelines for Listed Companies No. 10 - Market Value Management" in November 2024 signifies the institutionalization and standardization of market value management [2][3]. - The historical context shows that market value management has been a recurring theme in China's capital market development over the past 30 years, evolving through three distinct phases [10][11]. Group 2: Value Management vs. Price Management - Market value management is fundamentally about value management rather than merely managing stock prices, focusing on sustainable development and long-term investor returns [3][8]. - The distinction between genuine market value management and "pseudo market value management" is crucial, with the latter often involving manipulative practices that harm broader stakeholder interests [14][15]. Group 3: Importance of Value Creation - Value creation is central to market value management, emphasizing the need for companies to enhance their ability to generate free cash flow and ensure the sustainability of their value over time [16][19]. - Effective capital allocation and the management of free cash flow are critical for maintaining and enhancing company value [18][19]. Group 4: Value Communication - Value communication is essential for connecting companies with investors, ensuring that the intrinsic value created is accurately reflected in the market [20][21]. - Companies must prioritize transparent information disclosure and engage in effective investor relations to enhance market perception and value recognition [21]. Group 5: Value Management Tools - Companies should utilize various tools for value management, including reasonable refinancing, mergers and acquisitions, and strategic share buybacks, to optimize their market positioning [23][24]. - It is important to view share reductions not as negative actions but as potential tools for managing market expectations and stabilizing stock prices [24][25]. Group 6: Structural Challenges in A-share Market - The A-share market faces structural challenges, including the need for larger, stronger companies and the lack of distinctive characteristics among smaller firms [30][31]. - Despite significant growth in the number of listed companies and total market capitalization, there remains substantial room for improvement in terms of market efficiency and the quality of listed entities [27][30]. Group 7: Transition to Equity Era - The Chinese economy is transitioning from a real estate-driven model to an equity-driven model, necessitating a shift in capital market focus from financing to investment [37][40]. - This transition requires companies to prioritize investor returns and stable dividends, reflecting a broader change in market dynamics and expectations [39][41]. Group 8: Regulatory Implications - The "New National Nine Articles" and related guidelines emphasize the importance of market value management for all listed companies, particularly state-owned enterprises, to ensure asset preservation and value enhancement [45][46]. - Companies must recognize the critical role of market value in securing capital support and maintaining their listing status in the evolving capital market landscape [46][47].