Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The short - term correction of stock indices indicates that the market has basically digested the previous policy benefits, and capital sentiment has turned cautious [3]. - The divergence of tariff policy expectations in the short - and long - term dimensions has led to increased fluctuations in small and medium - cap stocks [3]. - Supported by the continuous manifestation of the policy support effect and the trend of capital re - allocation, the large - cap stock index still has continuous upward momentum [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - **Domestic Policy**: The State Council held a work promotion meeting to strengthen the domestic large - cycle. The Premier emphasized focusing on strengthening the domestic large - cycle to achieve high - quality development [1]. - **Overseas Situation**: In April, the US PPI unexpectedly fell 0.5% month - on - month, with service prices dropping 0.7%, the largest single - month decline since 2009. The number of initial jobless claims last week was flat at 229,000, in line with market expectations [1]. - **Stock Index Performance**: A - share major indices closed down. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.68% to 3380.82 points, and the ChiNext Index fell 1.92%. Most sector indices declined, with only beauty care, coal, public utilities, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sectors rising. Computer, communication, electronics, and media sectors led the decline. The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets dropped to 1.15 billion yuan [2]. - **Overseas Market**: Powell said the Fed is considering adjusting the core of the monetary policy guidance framework. The US may enter a period of more frequent supply shocks and more unstable inflation, and long - term interest rates may rise. The three major US stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow rising 0.65% to 42322.75 points [2]. - **Futures Market**: Today is the delivery day of the current - month futures contracts of stock index futures, and the basis has basically converged. Both trading volume and open - interest in stock index futures decreased [2]. Strategy The short - term correction of stock indices shows that the market has digested previous policy benefits, and capital sentiment is cautious. The divergence of tariff policy expectations causes increased fluctuations in small and medium - cap stocks. Large - cap stock indices still have upward momentum due to policy support and capital re - allocation [3]. Chart Summaries - **Macro - economic Charts**: Include relationships between the US dollar index and A - share trends, US Treasury yields and A - share trends, RMB exchange rates and A - share trends, and US Treasury yields and A - share style trends [6][11][10]. - **Spot Market Tracking Charts**: Provide daily performance of major domestic stock indices. For example, on May 15, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3380.82, down 0.68%; the Shenzhen Component Index was at 10186.45, down 1.62%; and the ChiNext Index was at 2043.25, down 1.91% [13]. - **Stock Index Futures Tracking Charts**: - **Trading Volume and Open - interest**: The trading volume and open - interest of IF, IH, and IC contracts decreased. For example, the trading volume of IF was 99,618, a decrease of 39,806, and the open - interest was 250,422, a decrease of 23,251 [15]. - **Basis**: The basis data of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts for different contract periods are provided, showing changes in basis values [35]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: The inter - period spreads between different contract periods (such as next - month - current - month, next - season - current - month, etc.) of IF, IH, IC, and IM contracts are presented, along with their changes [40].