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PNC's Yung-Yu Ma: Market will key off what the Fed emphasizes in its messaging
Youtube· 2025-12-10 17:00
Joining us here at Post 9 this morning is PNC Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist Young Yuma. Welcome back. It's good to see you.>> Thanks, Col. Great to be here. >> Um, we've been talking about how built in the consensus view is about this afternoon.Any reason to think there might be surprises. >> Well, the consensus view on a hawkish cut is pretty well established, but it's interesting sometimes when you get actually the result of the consensus. So, if the Fed delivers that hawkish cut, sometimes ...
三大股指高位波动加剧,11月将如何演绎
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-11-02 05:28
Group 1: Market Overview - Optimism from trade negotiations and a significant rise in Amazon's stock price contributed to a strong performance of major U.S. indices, marking a robust end to October for Wall Street [1] - The market remains cautious regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, which may suppress risk appetite in the upcoming week [1] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The U.S. Conference Board's consumer confidence index fell from a revised 95.6 in September to 94.6, the lowest level since April [2] - The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model maintains a fourth-quarter GDP growth forecast of 3.9% [2] Group 3: Federal Reserve Insights - The recent FOMC meeting indicated a hawkish stance, with some members opposing further rate cuts, reflecting strong divisions among committee members [2][3] - The market's expectations for potential rate cuts in 2025 have been adjusted downwards, with the probability of a rate cut dropping from 95% to around 60% [3] Group 4: Stock Performance - The "Magnificent 7" tech companies had mixed earnings reports, with Amazon's stock rising by 8.9% and Meta's stock dropping over 12% due to AI-related capital expenditure plans [5] - Berkshire Hathaway's latest earnings report showed a cautious market outlook, with cash reserves reaching a record $381.7 billion [5] Group 5: Market Volatility - The VIX index has risen for five consecutive days, indicating increased demand for hedging against risks through put options on the S&P 500 [6] - The upcoming week will continue to see earnings reports, with a focus on the sustainability of capital expenditures in the AI sector [6]