资源管制vs技术封锁
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中美全面开打,美国大规模下架中方产品,荷兰得令强抢中企资产
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-14 17:34
Group 1: Trade Conflict Overview - The trade conflict has escalated into a comprehensive competition for technological dominance, with the U.S. threatening to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese products and the Netherlands taking control of the Chinese company Nexperia [1][3] - The U.S. strategy appears confused, as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessenet indicated that the 100% tariffs may not necessarily occur despite President Trump's announcement [3] Group 2: Netherlands' Actions - The Netherlands has implemented a forced management order on Nexperia, freezing its global assets and appointing foreign directors, citing supply chain security risks without providing specific evidence [5] - Nexperia, acquired by Wingtech Technology in 2019, contributed approximately 14.7 billion yuan to Wingtech's revenue in 2024, accounting for one-sixth of its total revenue [5] Group 3: China's Strategic Response - China has announced export controls on rare earth technologies, requiring licenses for items containing over 0.1% Chinese rare earth components, directly impacting ASML's EUV lithography machine production [7] - This new regulation follows earlier restrictions on seven types of heavy rare earths, marking an escalation in China's technological countermeasures [7] Group 4: Semiconductor Industry Dynamics - The actions of the Netherlands and the U.S. against Chinese technology firms are interconnected, with the U.S. aiming to restrict all allies from selling semiconductor equipment to China [10] - The competition between China's rare earth controls and Western technology restrictions creates a closed-loop battle of resource control versus technology blockade, increasing cost pressures on global chip manufacturers [10] Group 5: Market Reactions and Impacts - The U.S. soybean industry is facing challenges due to the trade conflict, with no new orders from China for U.S. soybeans during the 2025 harvest season, despite previous significant purchases [8] - ASML has experienced delays in equipment delivery due to the rare earth controls, while the U.S. military's reliance on rare earth materials for F-35 fighter jets highlights the strategic importance of these resources [14] Group 6: Legal and Regulatory Frameworks - China's rare earth controls are based on the 2024 Rare Earth Management Regulations, which establish a comprehensive traceability system, contrasting with the Netherlands' application of the Commodity Supply Act against a Chinese company [15] - The differing legal approaches raise questions about the consistency of international trade regulations, particularly in the context of geopolitical tensions [15] Group 7: Global Supply Chain Pressures - The U.S. is attempting to restructure the rare earth supply chain through "friend-shoring," but a significant portion of rare earths mined in the U.S. still needs to be processed in China [17] - China's export controls have led to soaring international prices, prompting downstream industries to adopt strategies such as stockpiling and technological substitution, increasing cost pressures across electronics, automotive, and military sectors [17]