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上一轮牛市买的主动权益基金 为何还有四成未回本?
YOUNG财经 漾财经· 2025-11-13 14:35
Core Insights - The article discusses the performance of actively managed equity funds in the context of the recent bull market, highlighting that 38% of these funds remain in a loss position over the past five years despite a significant number achieving positive returns since 2025 [2][3][4]. Performance Overview - As of November 10, 2023, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 19.42% since 2025, with 97.45% of actively managed equity funds reporting positive returns this year [4]. - However, 1,019 actively managed equity funds are still in a loss position over the past five years, with 302 funds having reduced their maximum drawdown to less than 10% [5][6]. Reasons for Underperformance - The article identifies three main reasons for the underperformance of many funds: high-level accumulation, frequent trading, and reliance on specific sectors [7][8]. - Funds that experienced negative returns had an average stock position of 84.22% during peak market periods, indicating a tendency to increase exposure during high valuations [7]. Trading Behavior - The average turnover rate for actively managed equity funds from 2021 to 2024 was 460.71%, with funds losing over 30% seeing an even higher turnover rate of 508.45% [8]. - Some funds, such as Tianzhi New Consumption and Guodu Innovation Drive, reported turnover rates exceeding 1,000%, indicating excessive trading activity [8]. Sector Dependence - Many funds have shown a heavy reliance on traditional sectors despite being marketed as focusing on new or innovative sectors, leading to performance discrepancies [10][11]. - For instance, funds like Tianzhi New Consumption and Invesco Great Wall New Growth have maintained significant positions in traditional consumer stocks, which have not performed well recently [10][11]. Market Outlook - The article notes a resurgence in investor interest in actively managed funds, with 1,354 new funds launched in 2023, reflecting a doubling in issuance compared to the previous year [12]. - Fund managers are advised to focus on sectors with long-term growth potential, such as high-end manufacturing and innovative pharmaceuticals, while being cautious of market volatility [13][14].
上一轮牛市买的主动权益基金,近40%未回本
21世纪经济报道· 2025-11-12 13:40
Core Insights - The article discusses the performance of actively managed equity funds in the context of the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4000 points for the first time in ten years, revealing that over 38% of these funds have not achieved positive returns over the past five years [1][2]. Performance Overview - As of November 10, 2023, the Shanghai Composite Index has risen by 19.42% since 2025, with 97.45% of 4679 actively managed equity funds achieving positive returns this year, including 33 funds that have doubled their value [3][4]. - However, nearly 40% of actively managed equity funds have not made profits over the last five years, with significant losses recorded by some well-known funds [4][5]. Key Reasons for Underperformance - The article identifies three main reasons for the underperformance of actively managed funds: high-level accumulation, frequent trading, and reliance on specific sectors [7]. - Funds that experienced negative returns had higher average stock positions during market peaks, indicating poor timing decisions [8]. - The average turnover rate for funds with over 30% losses was 508.45%, with some funds exceeding 1000%, suggesting that excessive trading negatively impacted performance [9]. Sector Dependence and Strategy Issues - Many funds have shown over-reliance on traditional sectors despite their names suggesting a focus on new or emerging sectors, leading to underperformance [11]. - The article highlights that some funds have not adapted their strategies effectively, resulting in inconsistent performance and a lack of coherent investment direction [9][10]. Future Investment Strategies - In light of the current market conditions, fund managers are advised to focus on sectors with long-term growth potential, such as high-end manufacturing and new consumption trends [14][15]. - The article suggests that a balanced approach, considering macroeconomic data and industry cycles, will be crucial for future investment success [13][14].
上一轮牛市买的主动权益基金,为何还有4成未回本?
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-11-12 12:13
Core Insights - The article highlights the performance of active equity funds in the context of the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4000 points for the first time in a decade, revealing that over 97% of these funds achieved positive returns since 2025, yet 38% remain in losses over the past five years [1][2][3] - Key reasons for the underperformance of many active funds include high-level accumulation, frequent trading, and reliance on specific sectors, which have eroded fund values [1][5][6] Performance Overview - As of November 10, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4018 points, marking a significant recovery, with major indices like the Shenzhen Composite and ChiNext Index showing gains of 27.6% and 46.35% respectively since 2025 [2] - Despite a high percentage of active equity funds showing positive returns in 2023, the long-term performance reveals a stark contrast, with many investors experiencing losses since entering the market around the end of 2020 [2][3] Fund Performance Analysis - Among the 2695 active equity funds with over five years of existence, 1676 have achieved positive returns, while nearly 40% remain unprofitable, with some funds experiencing drawdowns exceeding 50% [3][4] - Notable underperformers include funds managed by well-known managers, indicating that even established names are not immune to market challenges [4] Causes of Underperformance - High-level accumulation during market peaks has been identified as a significant factor contributing to the long-term underperformance of active equity funds [5][6] - Frequent trading has also negatively impacted fund performance, with average turnover rates for underperforming funds significantly higher than the market average [7][8] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The article notes a shift in investor sentiment towards active management products, with a notable increase in the number of newly established funds and a doubling of issuance scale compared to the previous year [11] - Fund managers are advised to focus on sectors with long-term growth potential, such as high-end manufacturing and new consumption, while being cautious of over-reliance on specific themes or sectors [12]