Workflow
超買
icon
Search documents
華虹半導體:正股進入高位震盪期,認購證部署宜審慎選擇槓桿與溢價配置
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-25 04:21
華虹半導體(01347.HK)近期股價大幅波動,在短時間內累積可觀升幅,引起市場廣泛關注。6月24日收報34.05港元,雖然當日下跌0.44%,但整體仍處於 短期升勢的相對高位區。根據技術分析指標顯示,該股目前已進入超買狀態,市場動能雖強,但亦逐步出現獲利回吐與調整的風險,這使得交易策略須由 「追漲」轉向「等待回調再進場」。 觀察股價與移動平均線的關係,目前股價遠高於10日線31.61港元、30日線31.35港元與60日線32.40港元,三線略呈糾結但整體向上,顯示長中短期趨勢並未 轉弱。然而如此乖離幅度亦說明短期上漲幅度過快,尤其過去五個交易日振幅高達14%,價格波動明顯加劇,投資者情緒明顯升溫,這在技術面上往往代表 修正在即。 技術指標方面,RSI達62,雖未進入極端區,但接近70的壓力邊界,表明市場動能偏多但亦略顯過熱。同時,威廉指標與隨機震盪指標同步出現「超買狀態 並發出賣出訊號」,反映當前股價短期可能已偏離基本節奏。MACD仍維持買入信號,但動能柱出現收縮,須警惕轉勢訊號。布林帶方面亦顯示股價接近上 軌運行,通常意味價格偏高,且未來可能回測中軌支撐。 從阻力與支撐角度看,35.8港元為首要阻力位,若 ...
中國人壽(02628.HK):強勢走高技術面全線轉多,唯高位背離風險不可忽視
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-11 02:25
Core Viewpoint - China Life Insurance (02628.HK) is experiencing a strong upward trend in its stock price, currently at 17.16 HKD, reflecting a 1.06% increase, following a rebound from a short-term support level of 16.2 HKD [1] Technical Analysis - The stock price has surpassed all major technical moving averages, including the 10-day moving average at 16.4 HKD, the 30-day moving average at 15.63 HKD, and the 60-day moving average at 15.23 HKD, indicating a bullish structure [1] - The stock is approaching the first resistance level at 17.3 HKD, with a potential target of 18.3 HKD if this level is breached [2] - The recent volatility is reflected in a 6.8% fluctuation over five days, with an RSI index at 72, indicating a technical overbought condition [3] - The overall technical indicators are rated as "strong buy," with a signal strength of 16 points, supported by bullish momentum across all categories [3] - The MACD has completed a golden cross and maintains an expanding trend, supporting a continued upward pattern [3] - The price has successfully broken through the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting further upward potential in the coming weeks [3] Derivative Products Performance - On June 6, China Life's related structured products performed well, with a 2.76% increase in the underlying stock, leading to significant gains in derivatives [4] - The Societe Generale bull certificate (53998) led with a 15% increase, outperforming the underlying stock, showcasing the leverage advantage of bull certificates in rising markets [4] Investment Options - Current market conditions provide diverse investment options through China Life's related structured products, with call options offering a leverage of 4.1 times [7] - Bull certificates from HSBC (53706) and JPMorgan (53835) offer over 5 times actual leverage, with a buyback price set at 14 HKD [7] - For bearish strategies, Citigroup's bear certificate (56865) offers a leverage of 4.7 times, with a buyback price set at 20 HKD, providing a favorable risk-reward ratio [7] Summary - China Life is in a healthy upward phase with strong volume-price support and trend indicator resonance, but caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions and divergence risks [10]
港交所(00388)突破在即?關鍵技術位與高槓桿機會全解析
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-04 10:25
看空的投資者可考慮滙豐認沽證16951,槓桿9.4倍,行使價333.68元,溢價和引伸波幅均為最低;瑞銀認沽證16913槓桿9倍,行使價333.68元,引伸波幅相 對較低。熊證方面,瑞銀熊證52551實際槓桿16.2倍,收回價420元,溢價最低;摩通熊證53686實際槓桿15.9倍,收回價420元,槓桿較高,適合看跌市場時 使用。 | 14:29 | | | | | | | | 14:29 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ( | | | | | Al > | > t3 O | | | | | | | | | | | 国表 鹽嶺 | | 部品 | 資訊 | | | | 简表 | | 動詞 | 評論 | 資訊 | | | | | | 16951 港交匯豐五九沽A.P | | | | | | | | | 16913 港交瑞銀五九洁B.P | | | | | | | | 交易中 06/04 13:55:34 | | | ...
港交所關鍵時刻:技術指標超買警訊 vs 強勢買入信號
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-28 18:19
港股今日走勢震盪,港交所(00388)在下午15點05分報390.6元,下跌1.91%。目前維持在日線圖的中線上方橫行,走勢偏震蕩。不過從周線圖看,走勢相對理想,連續 七週上升,目前貼近周線圖的保利加通道頂部(400.65元)。 從技術面觀察,港交所當前價位正處於關鍵分歧點:雖然多條移動平均線呈現「強力買入」訊號,MACD與一目均衡表也同步看漲,但RSI已達77超買區 域,保力加通道上軌壓力明顯。值得關注的是,從關鍵位階分析,下方380元已由阻力轉為強勁支撐,而上方406-415元區間將是多方下個挑戰目標。 昨日盤後點評【港股Podcast】提到:港交所 (00388):有投資者問是否400元有阻力?同時有投資者考慮在400元開空。窩輪市場上,有投資者者 早前入手的牛證,考慮在400元的時候獲利離場。 Simon: 全日收398.2元。走勢維持向上的趨勢。市場上的投資者對400元比較關注。首先從數據系統分析看,參考日線圖的保利加通道頂部在 406.5元,同時數據系統的阻力位在409元。兩個關鍵位給投資者參考。同時通過港交所的列子,也可以看到,當股價一路升的時候,投資者會考 慮慢慢離場;或當股價升到某個重要位置 ...