Simon：大家好呀，又到了我們的港股回顧時間。首先，我們還是先來看一下恆指數的走勢。 1、恆指：投資者表示壓低指數入牛證，過幾日準備拉升，收回價25500的牛證；也有看跌投資者認為日線穿頭破，26100企不穩都要繼續跌。 Simon：相信今天（8日）恆指的表現會讓不少投資者感到些許失望，因為今天恆指確實跌得比較多。上周五的時候，恆指曾經回升到保利加通道中線的位 置，但今天最終出現了較大幅度的下跌，又回落了下來。其實觀察近期走勢就能發現，恆指好幾次都嘗試衝擊保利加通道中線，但每次觸及中線後，都會出 現調整回落的情況，今天的走勢也是如此。上周五恆指的高位已經接近保利加通道中線，今天盤中高位同樣挨近甚至觸及了中線位置，但收盤時卻收在了 25765點，沒能站穩中線，稍微觸碰後就又跌了下來。 對於後續走勢，有投資者表示依然會繼續看好，會選擇買入牛證；也有投資者認為可能還會再跌一點，打算等後續再買入牛證，因為他們覺得市場或許還存 在一些調整空間；當然，也有投資者持看跌態度，這很正常，市場上總有看漲和看跌的分歧。看跌的投資者認為，如果當前的下跌走勢持續下去，後續市場 大概率還是以看跌為主。 賣出信號 信號總結 中立信號 ...

中芯國際(00981)的股價近期在關鍵技術位附近展開爭持。目前股價於69.2元水平交投，與10天線(68.45元)幾乎重合，但明顯低於30天線(72.92元)及60天線(73.49元)， 顯示中期趨勢仍面臨下行壓力。然而，技術指標的信號並非全然悲觀。儘管多項趨勢指標如MACD顯示「賣出」，但動量震盪指標卻提示「賣方進入萎縮期，買 入」，而隨機震盪指標亦發出「買入信號」。這種多空信號的混合，往往出現在趨勢動能減弱、市場可能醞釀轉變的階段。在當前節點，投資者應如何解讀這些矛盾 的信號？是將其視為下跌趨勢中的技術性反彈警示，還是潛在的築底前兆？ 清晰的關鍵位置為判斷提供了地圖。上方阻力方面，首個需要克服的關口位於72.2元，若能突破，下一目標將指向75.8元。下方的支撐則更為關鍵，65.4元 是近期的首道防線，而61元則是更為堅固的技術支持區域。考慮到股價正處於短期均線附近且多空指標拉鋸，你認為中芯是更可能向上挑戰72.2元阻力以扭 轉頹勢，還是會再次下探65.4元支持以確認底部？ 衍生工具市場的動向，敏銳地捕捉了正股的波動與方向。回顧12月1日的行情，當中芯正股下跌3.24%時，相關看淡工具表現強勁。其中，滙豐熊 ...

關鍵位爭持：瑞聲面臨41.5元阻力，突破還是回落？ 瑞聲科技(02018)的股價近期展現出令人矚目的動能，在週二錄得超過5%的單日升幅後，目前徘徊於39.66元水平，成交額3.5億。這波強勢拉升，究竟是新一 輪上升趨勢的開端，還是僅僅是觸及阻力前的技術性反彈？ 從技術圖表進行剖析，當前股價已成功站上10天線(約37.55元)及30天線(約39元)，顯示短期動能轉強。然而，上方41.5元的第一阻力位，以及42.6元的第二 阻力位，與60天線(約41.50元)位置接近，預料將構成關鍵的技術性賣壓區。下方的支持區域則相對清晰，首個支持位在37.9元，而更為堅實的支持位於37.2 元水平。目前，反映動能的MACD信號已轉為「買入」，但值得警惕的是，隨機震盪指標已進入「超買狀態，賣出」的區域，這種背馳現象往往預示短期可 能出現整理或回調。 | | | 鑒於正股波動性加劇，衍生工具市場的活躍度亦隨之提升。對於希望順勢捕捉潛在升浪的投資者，可以關注槓桿效應顯著的認購證。例如，中銀認購證 (29109) 提供約4.11倍槓桿，其最大的特點是市場上溢價最低的產品之一，這意味著投資者為時間價值支付的成本相對較小，若正股能延續升勢 ...

Core Viewpoint - AIA Group Limited (01299) has shown a significant increase in stock price, closing at HKD 75.45, up 3.07% with a trading volume of HKD 34.11 billion, indicating renewed buying interest in the stock [1]. Stock Performance - The stock price reached a peak of HKD 76.8 on October 31, breaking through a short-term upward channel, although it slightly retreated by the end of the trading day [1]. - Investors speculate that AIA could test the resistance level of HKD 77, with a long-term target of HKD 90, although achieving this target may take time [1]. - The immediate resistance level is at HKD 78.7, and if surpassed, the next target would be HKD 80.3. The primary support level is at HKD 72.7, with a critical defense line at HKD 70.6 [1]. Technical Analysis - The short-term moving averages for AIA are showing a slight upward trend, with a technical signal strength of 8 and a 53% probability of an upward movement [1]. - The 5-day volatility is approximately 8%, indicating a need to monitor risk levels [1]. - The RSI indicator is at 62, suggesting a balanced state between bullish and bearish forces [1]. Derivative Products Performance - AIA-related derivative products have performed well, with HSBC's bull certificate (61902) and UBS's bull certificate (61825) rising by 13% and 11% respectively, while HSBC's call option (29501) increased by 16% [3]. - The performance of these derivatives indicates that selecting the right instruments can yield greater profit potential in a volatile market compared to trading the underlying stock [3]. Options and Certificates - For those anticipating a breakout above HKD 78.7, the BNP Paribas call option (17948) with a strike price of HKD 86 offers a high leverage of 15.4 times and the lowest premium among similar products [5]. - UBS's call option (18410) also presents a favorable option with a strike price of HKD 86.05 and a leverage of 15.5 times, suitable for investors looking to balance risk and return [5]. - For bearish investors, the Bank of China put option (18984) and UBS put option (19351) are viable choices, both with a strike price of HKD 66.94 and leverage of 3.7 and 3.8 times respectively [5]. Bull and Bear Certificates - For bullish investors, UBS's bull certificate (61825) and HSBC's bull certificate (61902) are recommended, both with a redemption price of HKD 66, providing a safe margin from the current stock price of HKD 75 [6]. - UBS's bull certificate has an actual leverage of 7.1 times, while HSBC's offers a leverage of 7 times, both with low premiums [6]. - For bearish strategies, UBS's bear certificate (52557) and JPMorgan's bear certificate (54614) are also good options, with redemption prices set at HKD 90, which is unlikely to be reached in the short term [6].

Group 1 - The stock price of Sunny Optical Technology (02382) reached a high of 88.35 HKD, successfully breaking through key resistance levels at 81.79 HKD (10-day moving average) and 80.87 HKD (30-day moving average), indicating a bullish trend [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 61, suggesting it is not yet in the overbought territory, while other indicators like the stochastic oscillator and MACD are signaling buy opportunities [1] - The stock has shown significant volatility with a 5-day price fluctuation of 9.8%, presenting both opportunities and risks for short-term traders [2] Group 2 - Recent market performance of related products has been strong, with UBS warrants (64956) surging 40% in two days due to a 6.29% increase in the underlying stock, indicating investor optimism in the optical sector [4] - Current resistance levels for Sunny Optical are at 92.4 HKD and 93.9 HKD, while support is seen at 81 HKD, with potential downside to 79.2 HKD if the support is breached [2] - Investors are advised to consider various warrant strategies, with UBS call warrants (15320) offering a leverage of 5.6 times and a strike price of 95.93 HKD, suitable for those expecting further price increases [4][6]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,344 points, with short-term technical signals indicating a "buy" but not a "strong buy" [1] - Resistance levels are identified at 26,840 points and 27,500 points, while support levels are at 25,700 points and 25,000 points [1] - Investors are advised to consider the premium levels of products, as high premiums can affect purchase prices [1] Group 2: Company Analysis - Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) - Sunny Optical's stock rose to a high of 87.7 HKD, closing at 87 HKD, breaking through the upper Bollinger Band [3] - Current technical signals suggest a "sell" with slight bearish sentiment, and the first resistance level is at 91.2 HKD [3] - Investors are encouraged to compare options with a 2%-3% out-of-the-money range for better leverage [3] Group 3: Company Analysis - Shandong Gold (01787.HK) - Shandong Gold's stock closed at 38.26 HKD, showing significant gains over the past two days [6] - Current technical signals indicate a "sell," with resistance levels at 40.6 HKD and 43.1 HKD, and support levels at 33.4 HKD and 30.6 HKD [6] Group 4: Company Analysis - SMIC (00981.HK) - SMIC's stock reached a high of 74.05 HKD, with current technical signals summarizing as "sell" [9] - Support levels are noted at 64.7 HKD and 58.6 HKD, with a recommendation for safer options around 58-59 HKD [9] Group 5: Company Analysis - WuXi Biologics (02269.HK) - WuXi Biologics' stock peaked at 40.2 HKD, closing at 40.08 HKD, with short-term technical signals indicating a "sell" [12] - Resistance levels are at 42.1 HKD and 43.8 HKD, while support levels are at 36.8 HKD and 33.6 HKD [12] Group 6: Company Analysis - Lenovo Group (00992.HK) - Lenovo's stock closed at 12.2 HKD, with technical signals summarizing as "sell" and short-term outlook being pessimistic [15] - Resistance levels are at 12.6 HKD and 13.4 HKD, with support levels at 11.5 HKD and 11 HKD [15]

Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) - Investors remain optimistic about the Hang Seng Index, expecting it to challenge 26,000 next week, with a buyback price of 24,800 for bull certificates [1] - Short-term technical signals indicate a "sell" recommendation, with bearish signals prevailing; support at 25,000 and resistance at 25,700 and 26,100 [1] - Cautious investors are advised to choose products with a buyback price below the second support level of 24,733 [1] Group 2: Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) - The stock price closed at 47.58, with investors holding call options with an exercise price of 48; short-term signals indicate a "buy" [7] - Resistance levels are identified at 52.8 and 56.6, with a recommendation to consider options with an exercise price of 50, which is slightly out of the money [7] Group 3: Meituan-W (03690.HK) - The stock price has been trading between 98 and 104 for two weeks, with a closing price of 103; the recommendation is a "buy" [9] - Resistance levels are at 118.9 and 119.1; caution is advised for investors holding options with an exercise price of 158, as it is significantly out of the money [9] Group 4: BYD Company (01211.HK) - The stock is viewed as a strong buy, with potential for a rebound; support levels are at 102.3 and 95.9 [14] - Investors are considering bullish certificates with a target of 100 [14] Group 5: China Shenhua Energy (01088.HK) - The stock has closed above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, but the overall signal is a "sell" [18] - Support levels are at 35.2 and 34.5, which investors should consider [18] Group 6: Sunny Optical Technology (02382.HK) - The stock is below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands; the recommendation is a "buy" [24] - Resistance levels are at 83.4 and 87.6, with short-term support at 75.9 and 71.2 [24]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is expected to open higher next Monday, with predictions of a rise between 300 to 500 points, aiming to challenge the 26,000 mark [1] - Current resistance level for HSI is at 25,578 points, and if broken, it could test 25,995 points [1] - The closing index is at 25,339 points, which is close to the day's high of 25,349 points, indicating a positive trend [1] Group 2 - ZTE Corporation (00763.HK) shows strong momentum, with a recent price of 36.06 HKD, and a potential resistance at 39.9 HKD and 43 HKD [8] - Investors holding a call option with an exercise price of 40 HKD are seeing a 12% out-of-the-money level based on current prices [8] Group 3 - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) closed at 56 HKD, with a buy signal despite a significant price increase, and resistance at 63.4 HKD [10] - Support levels are identified at 47.1 HKD and 43.1 HKD [10] Group 4 - Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) closed at 52.55 HKD, below the Bollinger channel, indicating a sell signal [17] - Support levels are at 50.8 HKD and 49.2 HKD, with resistance at 54.6 HKD [17] Group 5 - Kuaishou Technology (01024.HK) fluctuated between 69.2 HKD and 75.3 HKD, with a buy signal but not reaching a strong buy position [20] - Support levels are at 70.5 HKD and 67 HKD [20] Group 6 - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388.HK) closed at 448 HKD, with a buy signal and a first resistance level at 456 HKD [28] - Support levels are at 436 HKD and 426 HKD [28]

Core Viewpoint - ZTE Corporation (00763) has emerged as a standout stock in the Hong Kong telecommunications equipment sector, with a significant price increase driven by market news and technical analysis [1][3]. Technical Analysis - ZTE's stock price surged to HKD 34.1, marking a 6.59% increase, before closing at HKD 31.36 [1]. - The stock has broken through multiple key technical levels, with the 10-day moving average at HKD 27.42 acting as initial support, while the 30-day and 60-day moving averages are at HKD 26.14 and HKD 24.79, respectively [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reached 79, indicating an overbought condition, yet technical indicators still signal a "buy" with a strength of 11 [1]. - The stock's volatility over the past five trading days was 25.4%, suggesting active market sentiment and potential trading opportunities [3]. Support and Resistance Levels - ZTE's first support level is at HKD 28.3, with a second support at HKD 25.6. The first resistance level is at HKD 35.8, and the second resistance is at HKD 37.8 [3]. - A breakthrough above HKD 35.8 could open up new upward potential, while a retreat at resistance would require monitoring of support levels [3]. Market Sentiment and Capital Flow - Increased trading volume indicates significant institutional investment, although there are signs of profit-taking from northbound capital [3]. - The current upward probability is estimated at 52%, reflecting a balance between bullish and bearish forces in the market [3]. Investment Products - Various investment products are available, such as the BOCHK call warrant with an exercise price of HKD 38.93, offering 1.9 times leverage, suitable for short-term investors [4]. - The JPMorgan call warrant has a higher leverage of 3.9 times, targeting more aggressive investors, while another product offers a longer expiration date for medium-term strategies [4].

Group 1: Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 24,858 points, with bearish investors indicating a target drop to 24,500 points next week [1] - Technical signals for the index are neutral, with 9 sell signals, 4 buy signals, and 10 neutral signals [1] - Key support and resistance levels are identified at 24,395 points and 25,355 points respectively [1] Group 2: China Mobile (00941.HK) - China Mobile's stock price closed at HKD 89.6, breaking through the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [3] - The stock has resistance levels at HKD 90.1 and HKD 93.4, with a neutral technical analysis signal [3] Group 3: Conch Cement (00914.HK) - Conch Cement's stock price closed at HKD 23.86, showing a significant upward movement and stabilizing above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [6] - The stock has 2 sell signals, 10 buy signals, and 11 neutral signals, with a resistance level at HKD 24.9 [6] Group 4: Ganfeng Lithium (01772.HK) - Ganfeng Lithium's stock price has broken through the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, with a current buy signal [9] - The stock has resistance levels at HKD 30.5 and HKD 32.3, indicating potential to break above HKD 32 [9] Group 5: Meituan-W (03690.HK) - Meituan's stock price closed at HKD 120.8, showing a downward trend from a high of HKD 136.1 [12] - The technical signal is a sell, with 11 sell signals and 1 buy signal, and support levels at HKD 111.6 and HKD 110.7 [12] Group 6: Luoyang Molybdenum (03993.HK) - Luoyang Molybdenum's stock is viewed positively, with a current buy signal and resistance levels at HKD 10.4 and HKD 10.84 [14] - Investors are optimistic about reaching HKD 11 with call options at that strike price [14]