Core Viewpoint - Recent fluctuations in cherry prices are attributed to differences in variety, specifications, and supply-demand dynamics, with high-end varieties remaining stable while overall prices are expected to rebound before the Spring Festival [1] Group 1: Price Trends - Some cherry varieties have seen significant price drops, with platforms reporting declines of over 30% within a month [2] - Retail channels, including Hema and Dingdong, have also experienced similar trends, with prices for 2.5kg of 3J cherries dropping from 329 yuan to 148 yuan over 60 days [4] - The price of imported Chilean cherries decreased from 80 yuan/kg in mid-December 2025 to 55 yuan/kg by January 14, 2026 [4] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Chile's cherry production for the 2025/26 season was initially estimated at 655,000 tons but was later revised down to approximately 550,000 tons, a 12.1% decrease from the previous season due to adverse weather conditions [8] - The high supply of cherries in December 2025 led to lower wholesale prices, with reductions of 15%-25% compared to the previous year [9] - The upcoming Spring Festival is expected to increase demand significantly, leading to a predicted price surge, although prices may drop again after the holiday [5] Group 3: Market Strategies - Retailers are employing aggressive pricing strategies, including loss-leader tactics in e-commerce to attract customers, which may lead to temporary price fluctuations [5][10] - The speed of product turnover is crucial for fresh produce, and the current slower sales pace is contributing to the overall price decline [9] - Retailers are advised to ensure quality control to avoid misrepresenting lower-grade cherries as higher-quality ones [5]

Core Insights - The wholesale price of cherries has significantly decreased by 20% to 30% compared to the same period last year, leading to increased consumer purchasing willingness [2][3]. Price Trends - As of early January, cherries are prominently displayed in supermarkets, with prices ranging from 26.8 yuan to 35 yuan per pound, indicating a substantial drop from initial market prices [3]. - A specific example shows that the price of 5 pounds of Chilean cherries has decreased from 329 yuan to 159 yuan at a major retailer [3]. Market Dynamics - The reduction in logistics costs, attributed to shorter shipping times from 28 days to approximately 23 days, has contributed to the lower prices of cherries [5]. - The increase in consumer interest is noted, with prices being 10 to 20 yuan cheaper per item compared to the same period last year, leading to a rise in sales [4]. Supply Factors - The current season has seen a bumper harvest of Chilean cherries, which has further influenced the price drop [5]. - Chile is a major exporter of cherries to China, benefiting from a free trade agreement that has resulted in zero tariffs on cherries, contributing to a consistent annual growth of about 30% in exports [5].

转自：大湾区之声 每年的11月至次年2月是南半球车厘子上市季节。智利是我国进口车厘子第一大来源地，每年有超九成的智利车厘子进入我国市场。 据广州海关消息，1月2日凌晨1时，满载智利车厘子的"Maersk Skarstind"号货轮缓缓靠泊广州港南沙港区，船上载有980柜智利车厘子，这也是广州南沙口 岸2026年到港的首船进口车厘子。同日上午9时，"MSC Palak"号车厘子快线顺利靠泊，载有353柜智利车厘子。 临近春节，市场对车厘子节前价格走势的判断出现了分化。 10小时内，两船共1300多柜、重约2.6万吨进口车厘子接连到港，迎来广州南沙口岸生鲜水果进口"开门红"。 作为全国最大的车厘子进口口岸，广州南沙港凭借直航快线的物流优势，让智利产区的车厘子仅需约22天即可穿越重洋直达口岸。车厘子卸船通关后，最 快2小时即可送达广州江南果菜批发市场。 截至目前，2025-2026南半球车厘子新产季广州南沙口岸已累计通关车厘子3948柜，较上一产季同期增长20%，预计整个产季将还有10船车厘子在此通 关。 车厘子价格"大跳水" 广州江南果菜批发市场数据显示，智利车厘子批发参考价从去年11月上市初期的约185元/公斤 ...

以下文章来源于每日人物 ，作者每人作者 每日人物 . 轻商业，懂生活。 与2024年年底相比， 车厘子价格整体下滑了20%～30%。 文 ｜ 谢韫力 编辑 ｜ Yang 来源｜ 每日人物（ID：meirirenwu） 封面来源 ｜ Unsplash 2026年一开年，车厘子价格暴跌的话题就冲上热搜，"一天一个价"。多位水果商透露，与2024年年底相比，车厘子价格整体下滑了20%～30%。 价格快速下行的背后，是更早成熟的果子，沿着愈发密集、高效的运输网络涌入中国，但消费端的市场却较为冷清，难以消化如此庞大的到货量，不得不 降价。 不过，最新的消息传来，智利水果出口商协会更新了去年供应量预测，产量由增转减，"这意味着车厘子价格很可能即将稳定，甚至出现反转。" 但车厘子为何早熟、产量预测为何反复，很难有统一答案。一位真正去到智利的进口商认为，产量减少，自然环境不稳定，正一步步传导至经济体系，扰 乱每笔贸易，商人们也被裹挟其中。 降价最快的一年 走到精品水果货架区前，紫红色的果子堆积成小山，鲜亮诱人，看清价格后吴跃有些吃惊，JJ级五斤礼盒售价为160元 （J是车厘子大小计量单位，J越多 果子越大） ，JJJ级五斤装 ...

"车厘子价格大跳水""车厘子价格近乎腰斩"……一到12月，车厘子价格的话题就又开始霸榜热搜。 但打开线上团购平台却发现，想要买到便宜车厘子并没那么容易：普通"2J"级车厘子每斤仍要38-40元，"3J"级优质果更直奔50多元去了，和印象中"平价 水果"的定位相去甚远。 也有人质疑，这个价格也没有去年同期便宜啊。 （来自盒马APP，查询地点为北京朝阳，2025年12月17日） 一边是"腰斩"降价，一边是消费者感受不到的"实惠"，这背后到底为什么？"价格腰斩"的说法究竟从何而来？当下的车厘子价格到底是真降了，还是只是 营销噱头？对消费者而言，啥时候买才最划算呢？ 带着这些疑问，我们结合北京新发地市场及全国进口数据，拆解车厘子价格变动的真相，帮你看清这波"降价潮"的虚实。 车厘子价格"腰斩"？ 同期对比并没有下降 从新发地的水果价格行情看到，2025年12月10日，车厘子平均价47.5元/斤，确实比11月的67.5元/斤、10月高达190元/斤的价格降了不少。单看这个环比数 据，价格"腰斩"的说法确实有一定依据。 2022年12月车厘子平均价在42-58元/斤，2023年同期是60-65元/斤，2024年12月更划 ...