Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - In Q3 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 6.47 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.01%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.17 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 6.2% [2][6] - The company has effectively managed costs, with unit non-fuel costs remaining stable despite an increase in maintenance costs. The unit fuel cost decreased by 11.8% year-on-year due to a drop in domestic fuel prices [12] - The company is expected to benefit from short-term demand trends, mid-term cost efficiency, and long-term growth potential in underdeveloped markets [12] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 6.47 billion yuan, up 6.01% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.17 billion yuan, down 6.2% year-on-year [2][6] - The ASK (Available Seat Kilometers) increased by 14.1% year-on-year, while RPK (Revenue Passenger Kilometers) also rose by 14.0% [12] Cost Management - The company maintained effective cost control, with unit non-fuel costs remaining stable and unit fuel costs decreasing by 11.8% year-on-year, resulting in a total fuel cost of 1.68 billion yuan [12] - The unit operating cost was 0.29 yuan/ASK, a decrease of 4.7% year-on-year, contributing to profit support [12] Investment Outlook - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 798 million yuan for 2024, reflecting a payout ratio of 35.09%, which is an increase from 2023 [12] - Forecasted net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.23 billion yuan, 3.25 billion yuan, and 4.01 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 23.5, 16.2, and 13.1 times [12]

Core Insights - Company reported a revenue of 1.18 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 30% to 190 million yuan [1] - In Q3 2025, revenue was 400 million yuan, a 1% year-on-year growth, but net profit fell by 40% to 60 million yuan [1] Operational Analysis - The decline in freight rates led to a significant drop in profits year-on-year in Q3 2025, attributed to insufficient operating rates at downstream refineries in domestic business and a high base from the previous year in international business [2] - The gross profit margin decreased by 11.5 percentage points year-on-year to 26%, primarily due to falling freight rates, while the overall expense ratio improved slightly to 7.7% [2] - The net profit margin fell by 10.3 percentage points to 14.7% in Q3 2025 [2] Capacity Growth - The company achieved a score of 95.2 in the capacity review by the Ministry of Transport in September 2025, securing 7,000 cubic meters of LPG shipping capacity, marking its eighth consecutive first-place achievement in capacity approvals since 2019 [3] - As of H1 2025, the company has 12 chemical tankers under construction, with a total capacity of 235,000 deadweight tons, and expects four of these vessels to be operational in H2 2025 [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to the decline in freight rates, the company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 260 million yuan, 330 million yuan, and 410 million yuan, down from previous estimates [4] - The company maintains a "buy" rating despite the adjustments in profit forecasts [4]