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机构研究周报:全球流动性宽松,人民币资产吸引力上升
Wind万得· 2026-01-25 22:43
Core Insights - The article discusses the potential impact of the US and Japan bond turmoil on global liquidity and the attractiveness of Chinese assets, suggesting that the US Federal Reserve may initiate Yield Curve Control (YCC) [5][6] - It highlights the expectation of a reversal from deflation in 2026, with a positive Producer Price Index (PPI) leading to a recovery in asset prices and cyclical sectors [6] Group 1: Fund Holdings and Market Trends - Zhongji Xuchuang has become the largest holding for public funds, surpassing Ningde Times, with significant investments in core sectors like electronic components and power equipment [3] - By the end of 2025, the total market size of public funds is expected to approach 37 trillion yuan, setting a new historical high [3] - Public funds have increased their allocation to A-shares, which now account for 72.18% of their asset allocation, reflecting a continued upward trend [3] Group 2: Equity Market Insights - The attractiveness of RMB assets is rising due to expectations of a weaker dollar, which may enhance the appeal of Chinese markets, particularly A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [5] - The anticipated end of deflation in 2026 is expected to boost asset prices, with a focus on cyclical sectors such as non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and insurance [6] - A shift in market style is suggested, with high-valuation tech stocks potentially facing pressure as the narrative around deflation concludes [6] Group 3: Industry Research - The technology sector is experiencing rapid development, with a focus on collaborative growth across various segments, including computing power and applications [10] - Investment opportunities in the new energy sector, particularly in storage and lithium battery industries, are highlighted, with a significant increase in demand expected [12] - The article emphasizes the importance of selecting individual stocks in a favorable market environment, particularly in the context of the "anti-involution" policy promoting healthy economic development [9]