通胀和失业率上升风险

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美联储维持利率不变,预期6月降息概率增加
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-08 08:15
Group 1 - Spot gold has slightly rebounded, currently trading around $3375.58 per ounce after a nearly 2% drop on Wednesday, falling below the $3400 mark [1] - The lowest price during the session was $3360.18 per ounce, with a closing price of $3364.32 per ounce, influenced by optimistic sentiments regarding international trade negotiations [1] - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates, but Chairman Powell's remarks were more hawkish than market expectations, leading to the largest single-day increase in the dollar index in nearly two weeks, which pressured gold prices [1] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates unchanged reflects increasing risks of rising inflation and unemployment, amid uncertainties regarding the impact of Trump's tariff policies [3] - Powell indicated that the economic outlook remains unclear, with uncertainty surrounding the potential effects of Trump's policy agenda, which complicates the Fed's monetary policy response [3] - The FOMC unanimously agreed to maintain the target range for the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50% [3] Group 3 - The market's initial reaction to the Fed's statement was muted, as there are concerns about rising inflation and unemployment risks, although there is still buying support for gold [4] - Official data shows that the People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves for the sixth consecutive month in April, boosting bullish sentiment for gold [4] - Bank of America forecasts limited short-term upside for gold prices but expects them to rise again in the second half of 2025, potentially reaching $4000 [4]
金晟富:5.8黄金高位震荡反复洗盘!今日黄金交易分析参考
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-08 03:42
Group 1 - The recent fluctuations in gold prices are influenced by optimistic sentiments regarding international trade negotiations and the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates, which has led to a stronger US dollar and reduced demand for gold as a safe haven [2][3] - The Federal Reserve's Chairman Jerome Powell's hawkish remarks have contributed to market uncertainty, keeping concerns elevated and maintaining a high demand for gold as a hedge against inflation and economic downturns [3] - The market is currently experiencing a cooling of optimism regarding upcoming international trade talks, alongside rising risks of inflation and unemployment, which may support gold prices in the short term [3][4] Group 2 - Technical analysis indicates that gold has found support around the 3360 level, with potential for further upward movement if this support holds [4][6] - Current trading strategies suggest a focus on short-term fluctuations, with recommendations for both buying on dips and selling on rebounds within specified price ranges [6][7] - The ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly related to the Russia-Ukraine situation and Middle Eastern developments, are also factors that investors should monitor as they may impact gold prices [2][3]
黄金td短线维持上涨 美国经济前景不确定性增加
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-05-08 02:57
摘要今日周四(5月7日)亚盘时段,黄金T+D短线维持上涨走势,截至发稿,黄金t+d暂报803.29元/ 克,上涨0.76%,最高触及805.50元/克,最低下探796.00元/克。目前来看,黄金t+d短线偏向看涨。 今日周四(5月7日)亚盘时段,黄金t+d短线维持上涨走势,截至发稿,黄金t+d暂报803.29元/克,上涨 0.76%,最高触及805.50元/克,最低下探796.00元/克。目前来看,黄金t+d短线偏向看涨。 鲍威尔用这种微妙的方式表示,在特朗普的全面政策议程全面生效之前,美联储这个塑造经济的关键角 色实际上处于观望。 FOMC在为期两天的会议结束时表示:"经济前景的不确定性进一步增加。"在这次会议上,决策者们一 致同意将指标利率目标区间维持在4.25%-4.50%不变。 声明显示:"委员会关注其双重使命面临的风险,并认为失业率和通胀上升的风险增加。" 【要闻速递】 富瑞(Jefferies)首席美国经济学家Thomas Simons说,这一措辞低调表明自美联储3月18-19日会议以来发 生了多少混乱,以及前景变得多么难以预测。 美联储周三维持利率不变,但指出通胀和失业率上升的风险增加,在联储努 ...