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2025双节酒商困局:库存压顶下,低度化能否突围?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 16:30
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor market is facing significant challenges as traditional high-end liquor sales decline, while low-alcohol beverages are gaining popularity, indicating a shift in consumer preferences and market dynamics [1][3][5]. Group 1: Market Challenges - The liquor industry is experiencing a "triple dilemma" with increasing inventory, price inversion, and shrinking demand, leading to operational difficulties for liquor merchants [3][6]. - Over 58% of distributors reported increased inventory levels, with an average inventory turnover period exceeding 900 days and a 25% year-on-year increase in stock volume [3][6]. - More than 50% of distributors and retailers are facing price inversions, with some selling at a loss, unable to cover basic operational costs [3][5]. Group 2: Shifting Consumer Preferences - The demand for high-end liquor has weakened due to new regulations and changing consumer behavior, with many opting for lower-priced alternatives [5][6]. - The market for low-alcohol beverages is projected to grow significantly, with an expected market size of 74 billion yuan by 2025 and a compound annual growth rate of 25% [6][12]. Group 3: New Growth Opportunities - Companies are adapting to the low-alcohol trend by launching new products, such as low-alcohol white liquors targeting younger consumers and specific social settings [10][14]. - The craft beer sector has shown a compound annual growth rate of 17% from 2019 to 2023, with the market expected to exceed 130 billion yuan by 2025 [12][14]. - The success of products like Mei Jian Qing Mei wine, which saw over 20% year-on-year growth in early 2025, highlights the potential of low-alcohol beverages to drive sales and improve inventory turnover [12][14].