720亿市值徽酒老大，临近年关接连出手。 12月28日，古井贡酒·年份原浆古20官宣，延续与央视春晚的10年合作；其独家冠名的《中国诗词大会 （第十季）》，在当晚开播。 两天前，其刚在总部安徽亳州，召开全球经销商大会。 董事长梁金辉定调，2026年是古井的"奋进穿越年"，将从战略、品质、市场和管理四大维度，实现系统 性突破。 推新求变 酒业遭遇寒冬，徽酒老大也承压。 1-9月，古井贡酒营收164.25亿元，净利39.6亿元，均现双位数下滑。 "一年来，大家始终冷静分析、科学应对，保持足够的信心和勇气，没有迷茫。"梁金辉在经销商大会上 表示。 梁金辉团队对产品矩阵的动态优化，成为其穿越周期的关键抓手。 年份原浆系列作为核心支柱，持续坚挺，同步新推轻度古20、新版老瓷贡、第八代古井贡等系列新品， 开辟了新的增长空间。 以"年份原浆轻度古20"为例，降度至26度，主打轻社交和轻氛围，匹配年轻人"健康饮酒、轻松社交"的 需求。 管理层还创建"古井轻养社"，且将保健品纳入战略范畴，计划推出"古井神力酒"，让保健品和大健康产 业成为品牌矩阵中增长最强的一极。 据称，古井内部已制定目标，在今年实际完成基础上，计划来年回款端 ...

编者按 2025年，中国酒水行业在挑战与机遇中持续变革。渠道库存高企、终端动销乏力等长期问题尚未缓解， 政策、消费与场景的多重变化推动行业步入深度调整。 与此同时，新机遇不断显现：年轻化趋势助推产品创新，低度酒、果露酒、气泡黄酒等成为连接Z世代 的重要载体；渠道去库存催生变革，即时零售、打酒铺等新模式助力动销提升；国内增长放缓，促使酒 企加快出海步伐，白酒正从商品出口迈向文化输出，积极拓展全球布局。 在此背景下，今年酒行业涌现出哪些重要趋势、变化与现象？南都湾财社-酒水新消费指数课题组对此 进行总结与盘点。 当29度的五粮液在两个月内销售额突破1亿元，当泸州老窖宣布28度的国窖1573研发成功，当古井贡酒 推出"轻度古20"切入微醺场景——2025年的中国白酒行业，正以前所未有的集体姿态，涌向"低度化"这 条赛道。这一年里，低度白酒正从边缘尝试走向主流竞争赛道。 层出不穷的低度白酒新品，以及各大酒企的低度化转型，既是消费代际更迭下的必然选择，也是行业在 库存高企、增长放缓背景中的主动突围。然而，降低酒精度真的能叩开年轻消费者的心门吗？在这场关 乎行业未来的"降度"实验中，白酒企业面临的远不止口感调整这般简单。 ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the rapid growth of the health wine market, particularly among younger consumers, with a projected market size increase from 58 billion yuan in 2024 to 300 billion yuan by 2030, driven by a shift in consumer preferences towards self-care and wellness [2][7][31]. Group 1: Market Performance - A specific product, the 125ml red label health wine, achieved sales exceeding 5 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of over 50% [2][7]. - The health wine market saw a significant sales increase of 75.8% year-on-year and a volume growth of 33.2% from January to August 2025 [7]. Group 2: Consumer Demographics - The traditional health wine market, previously dominated by older male consumers, is experiencing a structural shift as younger demographics, particularly those aged 18-35, increasingly prefer health wines over traditional spirits [8][10]. - Approximately 35% of young consumers prefer health wines in social settings, reflecting a broader change in consumption attitudes driven by health concerns and lifestyle pressures [10]. Group 3: Cultural and Psychological Factors - The concept of "light wellness" is emerging among younger consumers, providing a low-cost, immediate feedback mechanism for health management amidst high societal pressures [10][14]. - The "food and medicine are of the same origin" philosophy is gaining traction among young consumers, facilitating the acceptance of health wines as a modern, enjoyable choice rather than a medicinal product [13][14]. Group 4: Female Consumer Influence - Female consumers are becoming a significant growth driver in the health wine market, with a notable increase in products targeting beauty and health benefits [16]. - A specific brand reported adding approximately 9 million young users in the past two years, with 4 million being female, indicating a strong emotional connection and value recognition among women [16]. Group 5: Product Innovations - The health wine market is undergoing five key transformations, including a shift from traditional gifting to personal consumption, a change in consumer mindset from social currency to self-satisfaction, and a move towards smaller, more portable product formats [18][19]. - Innovations include lower alcohol content to reduce psychological barriers for young consumers, with examples like the 26-degree "Gu 20" health wine attracting a younger audience [21][22]. Group 6: Marketing Strategies - Brands are adopting emotional marketing strategies, utilizing collaborations with popular culture (e.g., music festivals) to create a relaxed and enjoyable image for health wines [28][29]. - The focus is on creating a cultural identity around health wines, positioning them as lifestyle products rather than merely functional beverages [28][29]. Group 7: Future Trends - The health wine industry is expected to evolve towards a more scientific approach, emphasizing verifiable health benefits and ingredient transparency [31][32]. - There is potential for further segmentation of the consumer base, leading to customized products tailored to specific lifestyle needs and preferences [33].

Core Insights - The Chinese liquor industry is undergoing a profound transformation driven by generational shifts in consumption, with a focus on engaging younger consumers through "youth-oriented" strategies [1][2][3] Group 1: Industry Trends - The rise of the younger consumer demographic, particularly those born between 1985 and 1994, is reshaping the consumption structure of the liquor market, prompting companies to explore niche markets [2][3] - The China Alcoholic Drinks Association predicts that the low-alcohol market will exceed 740 billion yuan by 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 25% [3][4] Group 2: Product Innovation - Many liquor companies are adopting "low-alcohol" products as a key strategy to attract younger consumers, with 62% of consumers under 35 perceiving traditional liquor as "spicy and stimulating" [4][5] - Major brands like Wuliangye and Moutai are launching low-alcohol products, such as Wuliangye's 29-degree liquor, which achieved over 100 million yuan in sales within two months of launch [4][5][6] Group 3: Marketing Strategies - Digital marketing is becoming a crucial avenue for liquor brands to connect with younger consumers, with social media being the primary channel for 49.57% of consumers to learn about liquor [7][8] - Innovative marketing campaigns, such as short dramas and interactive social media challenges, are being employed to engage younger audiences and redefine drinking culture [8][9] Group 4: Cultural Engagement - Companies are recognizing the importance of emotional connections and cultural resonance with younger consumers, moving beyond just product innovation to include storytelling and brand heritage in their marketing [7][10] - The shift towards a more interactive and consumer-driven marketing approach is evident, as brands encourage user-generated content and new drinking methods [8][9]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor industry, particularly Baijiu, has undergone a cyclical evolution characterized by periods of adjustment, iteration, and upgrading, reflecting a complex interplay of consumer demand and market dynamics [1][4]. Historical Development Foundation Period (1949-2000) - The domestic market focused on basic needs, with low industry concentration and local distilleries dominating production. The establishment of benchmark brands through "Chinese Famous Liquor Selection" laid the groundwork for future development [1]. - Gujinggong Liquor emerged as a leading brand, winning gold awards four times and becoming one of the "Old Eight Famous Liquors" [3]. Adjustment Period (2001-2015) - Following China's WTO accession in 2001, per capita disposable income increased, shifting Baijiu consumption from basic needs to high-end markets. However, the 2012 "ban on official banquets" led to a decline in overall sales [4]. - Gujinggong adapted to market changes by launching the "Year-Old Original Liquor" series in 2008, targeting the mid-to-high-end market [4]. Growth Period (2016-2024) - Baijiu production peaked at 13.584 million kiloliters in 2016 but has since declined, while revenue and profit for large-scale liquor enterprises have increased [4]. - The industry has entered a "value-driven" growth phase, with a shift in consumer demand towards quality over quantity, benefiting leading brands like Gujinggong [4]. Current Positioning - The Baijiu industry is at a cyclical turning point, transitioning from "scale dividends" to "value dividends," driven by trends in health consumption, digital transformation, and brand internationalization [4][5]. - Gujinggong has introduced a "light" concept with its 26% vol Year-Old Original Light Gu20, appealing to younger consumers and aligning with health trends [5]. Industry Trends Health Consumption - The focus of drinking has shifted from social obligation to personal enjoyment and self-expression, prompting brands to innovate [5]. Digital Transformation - The adoption of smart manufacturing and IoT technologies is enhancing production efficiency and product quality, with Gujinggong leading initiatives in digitalization [7][9]. Brand Internationalization - Chinese Baijiu brands are increasingly recognizing the importance of global brand building, with Gujinggong actively promoting Chinese liquor culture internationally [9][11]. Industry Insights Resilience Through Cycles - Successful companies in the Baijiu industry exhibit traits of maintaining foundational quality and embracing change, which are crucial for navigating cyclical challenges [14]. - Gujinggong's commitment to quality and cultural heritage has fortified its competitive edge, serving as a model for other enterprises [14]. Embracing Change - The cyclical nature of the industry necessitates a dynamic balance between supply and demand, with companies needing to adapt to evolving consumer preferences to avoid obsolescence [14]. Future Outlook - The Chinese Baijiu industry is expected to emerge from its transformation with renewed confidence and stability, poised to achieve new milestones on the global stage [14].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor industry, particularly Baijiu, is undergoing a cyclical evolution characterized by "adjustment-iteration-upgrade," with opportunities for high-quality growth and structural improvement, exemplified by the case of Gujing Gongjiu [1][6][14]. Group 1: Industry Cycle Evolution - The development of the Chinese Baijiu industry over the past 70 years can be divided into three typical cycles: the foundational period (1949-2000), the adjustment period (2001-2015), and the growth period (2016-2024) [1][4][5]. - During the foundational period, the industry was characterized by low concentration and local production, with Gujing Gongjiu establishing itself as a leading brand by winning multiple awards and leveraging its historical significance [3][4]. - The adjustment period saw a shift in consumer demand towards high-end products, influenced by socio-economic changes, but also faced challenges due to regulatory measures like the "ban on official banquets," leading to a consolidation of the industry [4][6]. - The growth period has been marked by a decline in production volume but an increase in revenue and profit for major enterprises, indicating a shift towards value-driven growth [5][6]. Group 2: Current Opportunities and Trends - The current phase is viewed as a "value dividend replacing scale dividend," with trends in health consumption, digital transformation, and brand internationalization opening new strategic avenues for the industry [7][11][14]. - Gujing Gongjiu is pioneering in health-oriented products, introducing lighter alcohol options and functional health drinks to cater to evolving consumer preferences [7][9]. - The company is also embracing digital transformation through smart manufacturing and IoT technologies to enhance production efficiency and product quality [9][11]. - Internationalization efforts include cultural exchanges and establishing a presence in global markets, with initiatives to promote Chinese Baijiu culture abroad [11][13]. Group 3: Industry Insights - Successful companies in the Baijiu industry demonstrate resilience through a strong foundation in quality and cultural heritage, which serve as protective barriers against cyclical risks [14][16]. - Embracing change and adapting to shifting consumer demands is crucial for survival and growth, as evidenced by Gujing Gongjiu's proactive strategies during industry fluctuations [16]. - The cyclical nature of the industry is seen as a normal aspect of its evolution, with each downturn providing opportunities for stronger recovery and innovation [16].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor industry is undergoing a significant "value return," shifting focus from "speed and scale" to "quality and health" due to changes in the macro environment and consumer structure [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Gujinggong Liquor reported a revenue of 16.425 billion yuan and a net profit of approximately 3.96 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, demonstrating resilient growth despite market challenges [1] - The company is recognized as one of the most stable brands in the industry, actively adjusting its strategy to focus on "driving sales, reducing inventory, expanding channels, and stabilizing prices" [3] Group 2: Market Environment - The liquor industry is still in a deep adjustment phase, with domestic liquor sales declining by 15% to 20% during the recent holiday season, indicating a slow recovery in the consumption market [3] - The current adjustment is primarily driven by demand-side factors, necessitating a slowdown to adapt to the new market environment influenced by uncertainties and changing consumer preferences [5] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - Gujinggong Liquor has implemented the "Three Connections Project" (road connection, store connection, and person connection) to enhance market control and respond to real market demands, effectively addressing competition in a saturated market [5] - The company is leveraging digital empowerment to gain precise insights into market dynamics, allowing for "demand-based production and precise delivery," which helps control inventory and pricing risks [5] Group 4: Brand and Marketing Strategies - Gujinggong Liquor is embracing new retail and e-commerce channels, achieving a 160% year-on-year growth in GMV during a promotional event on JD.com, indicating successful brand penetration into new consumer segments [7] - The company is focusing on enhancing product competitiveness and channel efficiency through refined terminal collaboration, while also engaging in "hard marketing" to boost channel confidence during challenging times [8] Group 5: Product Innovation - The company has introduced a "light" concept in response to the trend towards lower alcohol content, successfully integrating modern lifestyle elements into traditional liquor offerings [10] - Gujinggong Liquor is reviving classic products to evoke nostalgia, strengthening emotional connections with both existing and younger consumers, thereby achieving intergenerational resonance [10] Group 6: Industry Outlook - The deep adjustment in the liquor industry presents opportunities for reshaping the market landscape, with Gujinggong Liquor demonstrating strategic resilience and a commitment to steady growth [10]

Core Viewpoint - Gujinggongjiu demonstrates strong operational resilience during the industry's deep adjustment period, achieving revenue of 16.425 billion yuan and a net profit of 3.96 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, while transitioning from "scale expansion" to "quality-driven" strategy [1] Group 1: Industry Context - The white liquor industry has entered a structural adjustment phase in 2025, characterized by "volume shrinkage, price decline, and high inventory pressure" [3] - National statistics show that the production of white liquor from large-scale enterprises decreased by 5.8% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, totaling 1.916 million kiloliters [3] Group 2: Channel Optimization - Gujinggongjiu focuses on a "nationalization and mid-to-high-end" strategy, optimizing product structure and channel systems, with significant results evident in various dimensions [3] - The online channel has shown remarkable growth, with a 160% year-on-year increase in GMV during a promotional event on JD and Tmall, successfully reaching a large number of young consumers [3][4] Group 3: Financial Health - The company reported total assets of 38.224 billion yuan and equity attributable to shareholders of 25.462 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.26% increase since the beginning of the year, indicating steady internal value growth [5] - The net cash flow from operating activities reached 2.627 billion yuan, showcasing strong self-sustaining capabilities for future investments in R&D and market expansion [5] Group 4: Innovation and Product Development - Gujinggongjiu has introduced a "light" concept with the launch of a 26-degree "vintage light ancient 20," targeting new consumption scenarios and responding to consumer demand for lighter, healthier drinking options [6] - The return of classic products like "Old Porcelain Tribute" and "Old Glass Tribute" has successfully revived consumer nostalgia, creating a product matrix that balances innovation and tradition [6] Group 5: Brand Building - As an official partner of the China Pavilion at the 2025 Osaka Expo, Gujinggongjiu has enhanced its global brand influence through events showcasing traditional brewing techniques and cultural heritage [8] - The company is deepening its "brand, quality, and character" development strategy, utilizing diverse media channels to enrich brand narratives and strengthen consumer engagement [8] - Gujinggongjiu's strategic patience is evident as it focuses on internal improvements and digital channel efficiency, preparing for future industry cycles while understanding the long-term development trends of the white liquor industry [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the strategic initiatives of Gujinggongjiu to adapt to the challenges in the liquor industry, focusing on product innovation, health integration, and international expansion as key areas for growth and resilience in a competitive market [3][6][9]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Gujinggongjiu reported a revenue of 16.425 billion yuan and a net profit of 3.96 billion yuan for the first three quarters [3]. - The liquor industry is expected to face a significant adjustment by 2025, characterized by reduced volume, declining prices, and high inventory pressure [3]. Group 2: Product Innovation - The company is launching the "Yearly Original Light Gu 20" to target younger consumers, emphasizing a "light" drinking experience that aligns with current market trends [3][4]. - Gujinggongjiu is reviving classic products like the Old Porcelain Tribute and Old Glass Tribute to evoke nostalgia and cater to price-sensitive consumers [5]. - The introduction of health-oriented products, such as the "Vitality," "Power," "Transparency," and "Worry-Free" functional health wines, reflects the company's proactive approach to health trends [5]. Group 3: Business Model Evolution - The "White Liquor + Health" strategy represents a significant shift, with the establishment of "Gujing Light Health Society" to create a comprehensive consumer ecosystem [6][7]. - This new model integrates health drinks, light meals, and cultural experiences, transforming the brand from a mere product seller to a health lifestyle partner [7]. Group 4: International Expansion - Gujinggongjiu has been actively participating in international events, such as the Osaka World Expo, to enhance its global brand presence [8][9]. - The company has formed strategic alliances with Japanese firms to expand its market reach and improve sales channels abroad [9]. - The cultural connection between Chinese liquor and historical civilizations is leveraged to facilitate understanding among overseas consumers [9].

Core Viewpoint - The emergence of low-alcohol liquor is a long-term trend in the industry, but it is not expected to rapidly become a mainstream market segment [2][4][22]. Demand Matching - Low-alcohol liquor faces challenges in matching consumer preferences, particularly in the low-end market where consumers prefer higher alcohol content, typically above 40 degrees [3][5]. - The mid-range market, targeting middle-class consumers, struggles to meet quality-price ratios, as low-alcohol options often fail to match established quality benchmarks [7]. Market Constraints - The high-end market has shrunk due to anti-corruption measures, limiting the consumption scenarios for low-alcohol liquor, which requires strong brand leadership to penetrate this segment [8][12]. - Technical barriers exist in producing low-alcohol liquor that maintains desirable flavor profiles and stability, which hinders rapid market growth [9][10]. Market Maturity Timeline - The transition to low-alcohol liquor as a mainstream choice will take 3-5 years, requiring significant industry investment in consumer education and brand development [12][22]. - Competition from other low-alcohol beverages poses a challenge, necessitating differentiation in flavor and style [12]. Lack of Market Leadership - The absence of strong benchmark brands in the low-alcohol segment limits its growth potential, as seen in previous successful market trends [13][15]. Consumer Perception Issues - Misconceptions equating low alcohol content with low value hinder the market's growth, necessitating a shift in consumer perception [15][22]. - The marketing of low-alcohol liquor is challenged by the decline of traditional retail channels, requiring direct engagement with consumers [15][22]. Industry Resistance - Internal resistance within companies to shift focus from high-alcohol to low-alcohol products complicates market entry and expansion [19][22]. - Regulatory standards regarding alcohol content restrict the development of low-alcohol products, impacting market dynamics [19]. Strategic Recommendations - Companies should focus on steady development rather than chasing fleeting trends, ensuring alignment with consumer maturity and market conditions [22][24]. - Targeting the mid-range market (100-300 yuan) is crucial for breaking into the low-alcohol segment, with strategies to gradually expand into higher and lower markets [23]. - Collaboration with light bottle liquor can enhance market competitiveness and broaden consumer appeal across different segments [25].