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茅台酒价全线下跌,资金逆势布局,食品饮料ETF天弘(159736)连续12日吸金超1亿元,机构:看好酒行业底部配置机会
Core Viewpoint - The food and beverage sector shows mixed performance with the CSI Food and Beverage Index rising by 0.68%, while the industry is experiencing a bottoming out phase with pressures on quarterly reports expected to accelerate industry clearing [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The CSI Food and Beverage Index increased by 0.68%, with notable gains in stocks such as Youfood, which hit the daily limit, and Guangzhou Restaurant, which rose nearly 5% [1]. - The Tianhong Food and Beverage ETF (159736) saw a net inflow of 9.93 million yuan as of October 30, marking 12 consecutive days of net inflows, totaling 148 million yuan [1]. - The latest circulation size of the Tianhong ETF is 5.585 billion yuan, with a total circulation of 7.904 billion shares [1]. Group 2: Price Trends - The wholesale reference prices for Moutai have decreased, with the 25-year Moutai original box dropping by 10 yuan to 1690 yuan per bottle, and the 24-year Moutai original box down by 30 yuan to 1750 yuan per bottle [1]. Group 3: Company Reports - Qingdao Beer reported a revenue of 29.367 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 1.41%, and a net profit of 5.274 billion yuan, up 5.70% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 alone, Qingdao Beer achieved a revenue of 8.876 billion yuan, a slight decline of 0.17%, while net profit increased by 1.62% to 1.37 billion yuan [1]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - Pacific Securities indicates that the industry is in a bottom adjustment phase, with pressures expected in the third-quarter reports, leading to accelerated industry clearing [2]. - CITIC Securities anticipates that the basic industry fundamentals may bottom out by Q3 2025, with the second half of the year expected to show a gradual recovery trend [2]. - The beer sector is facing competitive intensity and regulatory impacts, which may pressure Q3 reports despite stable pre-holiday stocking rhythms [2].