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中国电信(601728):经营稳健,战新业务驱动长期价值增长
Minsheng Securities· 2025-04-28 13:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for China Telecom, indicating a positive outlook for the company's growth and performance [4][6]. Core Views - The company demonstrates stable operations with a focus on developing new business areas such as AI, satellite communication, and quantum technology, which are expected to drive long-term value growth [2][4]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a slight increase in service revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 0.3% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 4.6% [2]. - The company is strategically enhancing its cloud-network integration and leveraging advanced technologies to create a competitive edge in the market [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, China Telecom reported total revenue of 134.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.01%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.9 billion yuan, up 3.1% [1]. - The service revenue for Q1 2025 reached 124.7 billion yuan, with mobile communication users increasing to 429 million, adding 4.95 million users [2]. Business Segments - The mobile communication segment showed robust growth, with 5G users reaching 270 million and a penetration rate of 62% [2]. - Emerging business areas such as IDC, smart services, satellite communication, and quantum technology have seen significant growth rates, with smart services growing by 151.6% year-on-year [2]. Cost Management and R&D - The company optimized its cost structure, with operating costs decreasing by 0.08% year-on-year, leading to a slight increase in gross margin to 29.47% [3]. - Increased R&D investment is focused on network, cloud, AI, and quantum security, reflecting the company's commitment to innovation [3]. Future Projections - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is projected at 35.9 billion, 38.9 billion, and 42.1 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 20, 18, and 17 [4][5].