Investment Rating - The steel industry is rated as "Neutral" while the non-ferrous metals industry is rated as "Positive" [2] Core Views - The report highlights that the central bank's liquidity release is stabilizing market expectations, with the steel demand expected to weaken further but with limited downside [14] - For copper, tight supply and low inventory are supporting prices, but trade uncertainties and seasonal demand weakness are concerns [39] - The aluminum market is facing macro uncertainties, but low domestic inventory is providing some support for prices [46] - Gold demand is expected to weaken due to easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with future price influences from economic data and geopolitical factors [51] - The lithium market is under pressure from oversupply, with prices expected to remain weak [56] Summary by Sections Steel Industry - The report notes that steel inventory is increasing as the off-season deepens, with a marginal increase in fundamental pressure [14] - As of June 27, the total steel inventory was 13.325 million tons, a 0.02% increase from the previous week but a 23.42% decrease year-on-year [25] - The average price index for steel on June 27 was 3,344.56 CNY/ton, down 0.49% from the previous week [37] Copper Industry - The report indicates that copper prices are supported by tight supply and low inventory, with LME copper prices at 10,100 USD/ton and domestic prices at 80,300 CNY/ton as of June 27 [42] - The copper refining fees were reported at -43.57 USD/ton and -4.36 cents/pound [40] Aluminum Industry - The aluminum market is characterized by stable production and seasonal demand weakness, with LME aluminum prices at 2,600 USD/ton and domestic prices at 20,900 CNY/ton as of June 27 [47] - The report mentions that the average price of alumina was 3,121 CNY/ton, down 2.38% from the previous week [47] Precious Metals - The report states that gold prices are influenced by geopolitical tensions, with COMEX gold closing at 3,286.10 USD/ounce and SHFE gold at 768.64 CNY/gram on June 27 [51] - Silver prices showed a slight increase, with COMEX silver at 36.17 USD/ounce and SHFE silver at 8,792.00 CNY/kg [51] New Energy Metals - The lithium market is facing oversupply, with battery-grade lithium carbonate priced at 60,400 CNY/ton, a 0.33% increase from the previous week [57] - The report indicates that the supply pressure in the lithium market is expected to continue [56] Rare Earth and Minor Metals - The report notes that light rare earth prices are at 444,500 CNY/ton, with a slight increase, while heavy rare earth prices have seen a decrease [69] - Tungsten concentrate prices are stable at 172,000 CNY/ton, while APT prices have decreased slightly [73]