Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [11] Core Insights - The hazardous waste disposal and utilization industry is experiencing structural overcapacity, with average load rates below 40% across various provinces, and some categories even below 15% [27][29] - In 2023, the total industrial hazardous waste generated in China reached 105.465 million tons, with a disposal utilization volume of 105.029 million tons, indicating a significant production and disposal gap [6][17] - The government is actively guiding the industry by categorizing projects into encouraged, cautious, and discouraged investment types, focusing on addressing overcapacity and promoting technological upgrades [8][35] Summary by Sections Hazardous Waste Supply and Demand - In 2023, the top five provinces for hazardous waste generation were Shandong, Jiangsu, Inner Mongolia, Hebei, and Guangdong, accounting for 37% of the national total [6][17] - As of May 2023, the total issued hazardous waste qualifications reached 200 million tons/year, with a year-on-year growth of 9.5% [6][17] - The resource utilization capacity is 131 million tons/year, making up 65.2% of the total qualifications [6][17] Structural Overcapacity in Hazardous Waste Disposal - The average load rate for hazardous waste disposal facilities is generally below 40%, with some provinces like Jiangxi showing a load rate of only 31% [27][29] - Shandong, the largest hazardous waste-producing province, has a utilization load rate of 22.3% [27][29] - The low load rates are attributed to rapid qualification expansion, mismatched types and regions of qualifications, and the mixing of non-hazardous waste in processing [28][29] Policy Guidance - The government encourages investment in areas with capacity gaps, such as the disposal of medical waste and certain hazardous materials, while being cautious about overcapacity in incineration and landfill projects [8][35] - Specific projects are categorized for investment encouragement, caution, or discouragement based on their potential for overcapacity and technological innovation [35][36] Investment Recommendations - Focus on leading companies in metal resource recovery, as they possess strong business development capabilities and are strategically located near raw material sources [9][38] - Companies like Zhejiang Fu Holdings and High Energy Environment are highlighted for their potential growth in the hazardous waste resource recovery sector [9][38]