近日，湖南新龙矿业有限责任公司（下称"新龙矿业"）一名员工被垮落松石砸中身亡。8月26日，南都 N视频记者从该企业母公司湖南黄金股份有限公司获悉，新龙矿业已停产整顿，事故调查工作正在进 行，公司将督促新龙矿业积极配合调查，加强安全生产管理。南都N视频记者注意到，企业官网介绍新 龙矿业曾获"市安全生产工作先进单位"称号。 南都记者注意到，该公司曾获"市安全生产工作先进单位"等荣誉称号。 南方都市报（nddaily）报道 南都N视频记者 陈丹玲 事故发生后，新龙矿业立即启动应急预案，公司领导立即赶赴现场组织处理，采取紧急应对措施进行人 员救治与善后工作，及时按相关规定与程序向有关部门进行了事故报告，并主动停产整顿。目前，新龙 矿业正在积极配合当地应急部门对事故做进一步调查处理，各项处置工作正在有序进行。 公告指出，鉴于事故调查工作正在进行，新龙矿业本部复产时间尚不能确定，预计会对公司的生产、经 营产生一定影响。 湖南黄金表示，公司对本次事故中的遇难者表示沉痛哀悼，向遇难者家属表达深深的歉意。公司将督促 新龙矿业积极配合调查并进行安全教育培训，全面排查安全隐患并及时整改，尽快恢复生产，同时将认 真吸取本次事故教训， ...

矿业板块中，铜钴板块贡献了 84%的毛利，钼钨和镍磷分别贡献 9%和 7%。 矿业板块毛利率实现 52%，同比提升接近 6 个百分点。非洲区的铜业务方面， 洛阳钼业 20250825 摘要 洛阳钼业 2025 年上半年营收 947.73 亿元，同比下降，主要因贸易业 务收入降低，但矿业板块营收同比增长 25.64%。EBITDA 达 198 亿元， 同比增长 23.8%，归母净利润 87 亿元，同比增长 60%，经营性现金流 120 亿元，同比增长 11.4%。 矿业板块中，铜钴业务贡献主要毛利，毛利率达 52%，同比提升近 6 个 百分点。非洲区铜产量 35.4 万吨，同比增长 12.7%，毛利率 53.6%； 钴产量 6.1 万吨，同比增长 13.1%，毛利率 61.8%。 厄瓜多尔金矿项目完成交割，对价 5.81 亿加元，预计 2029 年前投产。 公司正积极开展现场补充工作，优化方案，并推进证照许可等前期准备。 洛阳钼业在 ESG 管理方面表现优秀，MSCI 评级连续三年为双 A，Ecovadas 可持续发展评级保持金牌水平。积极推动社区发展，包 括在刚果金新建教育机构和提供农业扶持项目。 公司承诺在 ...

Group 1: Industry Overview - The non-ferrous metal industry is stabilizing in prices due to rising expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and a recovery in industrial demand during the peak season [1] - Precious metals and industrial metals prices have generally strengthened, with COMEX gold and silver rising by 1.05% and 2.26% respectively, while LME aluminum and copper prices have also seen slight increases [1] - Companies are enhancing their competitiveness through capacity expansion and strategic positioning, with a particular focus on Shengda Resources and Zijin Mining [1] Group 2: Shengda Resources - Shengda Resources reported a 44.24% year-on-year increase in revenue from its non-ferrous metal mining and selection business, reaching 640 million yuan [2] - The company's core mines exhibit high profitability, with a gross margin of 62.64%, showcasing both resource endowment and operational advantages [2] - Shengda has identified approximately 12,000 tons of silver and 34 tons of gold through its seven controlled mining subsidiaries, with ongoing efforts to integrate mining rights at its main mine [2] - The company is progressing with its capacity expansion plans, with new mines expected to gradually release production capacity, supported by the rising metal prices [2] Group 3: Zijin Mining - Zijin Mining has established Fujian Zijin Precious Metals Co., Ltd. with a registered capital of 5 billion yuan, extending its business into precious metal smelting and resource extraction [3] - This move aims to enhance the company's industrial chain and synergize with its existing copper and gold operations, improving comprehensive resource development capabilities [3] - Recent large transactions indicate institutional investors' recognition of Zijin Mining's long-term value, with a total of 43 large transactions amounting to 727 million yuan in the past three months [3] - The strategic actions and capital movements of Zijin Mining are positioned to capitalize on the favorable industry cycle, supported by macroeconomic policies and demand recovery [3]

锡业股份的主营业务为锡、锌、铜、铟等金属矿的勘探、开采、选矿和冶炼。公司拥有的锡资源储量和 铟资源储量成就了公司锡、铟双龙头产业地位，公司锡资源生产基地个旧地区是中国锡资源最集中的地 区之一，素有世界"锡都"美誉。 报告期内，锡业股份高效组织矿山生产，优化采场布局，强化选厂抛废流程，积极克服出矿量及出矿品 位的挑战，矿山基础进一步夯实。冶炼生产坚持"安稳长满优"，合理优化原料结构，强化生产全流程管 控，有价金属回收效能进一步释放，冶炼生产综合效益不断提升，有效对冲加工费下行的挑战。 锡业股份认为，从周期性特点来看，有色金属行业仍然属于强周期行业，同时近年来随着全球新能源汽 车、光伏发电以及人工智能行业的快速发展，相关有色金属品种的需求开始表现出成长性，并在一定程 度上穿越周期性，并持续成为国家战略转型升级的重要支柱行业。 自2005年以来，锡业股份的锡产销量，稳居全球第一，占有全球锡市场最大份额，公司根据自身产销量 和行业协会公布的相关数据测算，2024年国内市场占有率为47.98%，较2023年上升0.06个百分点，全球 市场占有率为25.03%，较2023年上升2.11个百分点。根据国际锡业协会统计，公司 ...

有人和我讲牛市行情来了要怎么样怎么样选股，比如2014年的牛市，垃圾股满天飞，后面到银行，券商，最后到大蓝筹，然后垃圾股开始跌，大 蓝筹还是上涨的，但我自己思考了一下不管是牛市，熊市我选择股票的投资逻辑还是一样的，没有什么变化。 ↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者： 金哥777 来源：雪球 最近大盘越来越强，成交量越来越大，很多垃圾股暴涨，连洋河中报暴雷后股价还可以大涨，以前会认为有一两个跌停，亏得越多的公司股价反而 会暴涨，这难道是牛市来了嘛？ 以前我认为买股票就是买公司的一小部分股权，就是合伙做生意，然后就想合伙做生意肯定想多分红，成长好也是为了以后高分红。但最近几年发 现这些常识性的东西，既然是属于另类，异类，可能整个市场占比不到百分之5，那百分之5认真研究公司基本面，了解商业模式，了解财务数据 的人可能只有那百分之5的十分之一，所以这市场能长期赚钱的人少之又少，我希望我自己努力成为那百分之1，目前我重仓的两个公司是藏格矿 业和紫金矿业。 关于藏格矿业的投资逻辑从2023年9月份开始买入到现在应该没什么变化，但 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the mining resources industry, particularly copper, cobalt, nickel, gold, and coal, with specific emphasis on companies like China Metallurgical Group Corporation (China MCC), China Railway Group, China Power Construction Corporation, and Shanghai Construction Group. Core Insights and Arguments - **China MCC's Copper Projects**: China MCC has significant copper mining projects in Afghanistan and Pakistan, expected to contribute approximately 3 billion RMB in annual profits, with a potential market value increase of around 30 billion RMB, enhancing the company's overall valuation [1][4]. - **Nickel and Cobalt Production**: China MCC's nickel and cobalt business is projected to generate 2.97 billion RMB in revenue in 2024, contributing 460 million RMB to the total profit, which is 5% of the company's total profit [1][5]. - **Copper Production Forecast**: The Sandak copper-gold mine is expected to produce 24,000 tons of copper in 2024, generating 1.74 billion RMB in revenue and contributing 203 million RMB to profits, accounting for 2.2% of the total [1][6]. - **Impact of Rising Copper Prices**: An increase in copper prices is expected to significantly benefit mining resource companies. If copper prices remain high, China MCC's profit could double to approximately 14 billion RMB, leading to a total market value of around 90 billion RMB [1][9]. - **China Railway Group's Resource Holdings**: China Railway Group holds substantial resources, including 595,800 tons of molybdenum and 6,459,400 tons of copper, with a projected net profit of no less than 3 billion RMB in 2024, corresponding to a market value of 36 billion RMB [1][12]. - **China Power Construction's Investment Returns**: The Congo-based Huagang project, in which China Power Construction has a stake, contains over 8 million tons of copper and 540,000 tons of cobalt, generating 1 billion RMB in annual investment returns [3][13]. - **Shanghai Construction Group's Gold Mining**: Shanghai Construction Group's Koka gold mine is expected to sell 61,200 ounces of gold in 2024, achieving 1.067 billion RMB in revenue, with a gross profit margin of 51% [3][15]. Other Important Insights - **Strategic Resource Acquisition**: Construction companies are acquiring mining resources as part of their business transformation, particularly under the Belt and Road Initiative, allowing them to diversify and enhance profitability [2]. - **Market Timing for Asset Valuation**: The focus on hidden assets of construction companies is timely due to the approaching traditional peak season and expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts, which may drive up prices for commodities like copper and nickel [8]. - **Future Profitability Projections**: China MCC's total mineral resource reserves, including copper, nickel, and cobalt, are expected to significantly enhance its profitability, with projections indicating that profits could account for over 20% of total earnings post-expansion [10]. - **North International's Coal Trade**: North International, primarily engaged in Mongolian coal trade, anticipates a profit increase of 25% in the second half of the year due to rising coal prices [18]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and projections regarding the mining resources industry and the performance of key companies within this sector.

Core Insights - Monthly commodity price forecast indicates oil prices in a fluctuating range, while copper and gold prices are expected to trend upwards [2] Domestic Demand - New housing and passenger vehicle sales growth rates have declined, while second-hand housing sales have rebounded; consumer electronics sales prices in August have shown a year-on-year decline [2] - In August, new housing sales saw a year-on-year decline, while second-hand housing sales increased but prices fell; the high base and hot weather contributed to a decrease in passenger vehicle sales growth, with retail sales declining and wholesale sales recovering [2] - Movie box office revenue and attendance have decreased but remain at historically high levels; tourism consumption continues to rise, with hotel occupancy rates increasing and revenue per available room up compared to last year [2] External Demand - The extension of the US-China tariff exemption for three months has been announced, while shipping volumes from China to the US continue to decline [3] - Overall exports are weakening, with a drop in CCFI shipping rates and a significant decrease in container throughput; however, the number of departing ships has increased [3] Production - The effects of capacity reduction are yet to be seen, with manufacturing employment reaching a new low [4] - Recent steel production has decreased due to maintenance and iron water transfer, while the profitability of sample steel mills has slightly declined but remains acceptable [4] - The average daily coal consumption of six major power generation groups has significantly increased, driving up coal prices [5] - The manufacturing employment index has increased month-on-month but shows a year-on-year decline, reaching a historical low [6] Prices - Tariff exemptions have suppressed gold prices; domestic rebar prices have increased, while cement and thermal coal prices continue to rise, and glass prices have decreased [6]

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Outperforming the Market" [4] Core Insights - The copper mining industry is experiencing significant supply disruptions, leading to a clear pattern of scarce incremental production for the year [14][15] - The total production guidance for the ten major copper mining companies is projected to be 9.759 million tons for 2025, which represents a decrease of 57,000 tons compared to the actual production in 2024 [14][17] - Major companies are struggling to meet their production guidance, with most achieving less than 50% of their annual targets by mid-2025 [15] Summary by Sections 1. Overview of Supply Disruptions - The report tracks ten major copper mining companies, including Freeport, Codelco, BHP, and others, highlighting frequent supply disruptions in the first half of 2025 [13][14] - The average production for these companies in Q2 2025 increased by 5% quarter-on-quarter but decreased by 2% year-on-year [14][16] 2. Company-Specific Updates Freeport - Freeport's production guidance has been adjusted downwards due to challenges at the Grasberg mine, with a new target of 1.79 million tons for the year [15][18] - The company has a rich asset portfolio with significant copper, gold, and molybdenum reserves [18] Codelco - Codelco's production recovery efforts are hindered by mining accidents, affecting its output and guidance [15] BHP - BHP reported a slight increase in copper production in Q2 2025, but its long-term production guidance indicates a decline in ore grades [15][17] Glencore - Glencore's copper production is under pressure, with expectations of continued declines in 2025 [15] Southern Copper - Southern Copper's production remains stable, with expected increases primarily in the long term [15] First Quantum - First Quantum faces challenges in production recovery, particularly at its Cobre Panama mine [15] Anglo American - Anglo American's production is under pressure due to declining ore grades, impacting overall output [15] Rio Tinto - Rio Tinto's Oyu Tolgoi underground mine is expected to contribute significantly to future production, although current output is still being ramped up [15] Antofagasta - Antofagasta is expanding its operations to mitigate the impact of declining ore grades [15] Teck Resources - Teck Resources has adjusted its production guidance downward due to limitations at its QB2 project [15]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is currently in a period of intensive mid-term earnings disclosures, leading to significant stock price fluctuations for several listed companies [1]. Group 1: Tencent Music - Tencent Music's stock surged after its mid-term earnings report, reaching a peak of 104 HKD, marking a maximum increase of over 17% [3]. - For Q2 2025, Tencent Music reported total revenue of 8.44 billion HKD, a year-on-year increase of 17.9%, and an adjusted net profit of 2.64 billion HKD, up 33.0% year-on-year [5]. - The online music service revenue grew by 26.4% to 6.85 billion HKD, driven by deepened collaborations with global record companies and innovative content creation [5]. Group 2: Reading Group - After its earnings announcement, Reading Group's stock rose significantly, with an intraday peak increase of over 19% [6]. - The company reported a revenue of 3.19 billion HKD and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 850 million HKD for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 68.5% [8]. - The growth was attributed to the resilience of its IP ecosystem, with several successful adaptations of its IP into films and series, and a notable increase in revenue from short dramas and IP derivatives [8]. Group 3: Minmetals Resources - Minmetals Resources' stock also saw a rise, with an intraday increase of nearly 14%, reaching a maximum price of 4.8 HKD [8]. - The company reported a net profit of 566 million USD for the first half of 2025, a more than 600% increase compared to 79.5 million USD in the same period of 2024 [10]. - This strong profit growth was primarily due to increased copper production from three mines and rising market prices for copper, gold, silver, and zinc [11]. Group 4: 361 Degrees - In contrast, 361 Degrees experienced a decline in stock price after its earnings report, with a drop of 9.29% [12]. - The company reported a revenue of 5.705 billion HKD for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 11%, and a profit attributable to shareholders of 858 million HKD, up 8.6% [14]. - The growth was driven by strong demand for its products across adult and children's categories, with the children's segment contributing approximately 1.261 billion HKD, representing 22.1% of total revenue [14].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company's net profit after tax reached USD 566 million, with USD 340 million attributable to equity shareholders, marking an increase of over 600% compared to the same period last year [6][7] - EBITDA reached USD 1.54 billion, up 98% year on year, while net operating cash flow increased to USD 1.185 billion, up 130% year on year [7][16] - The gearing ratio dropped from 41% at the end of the previous year to 33%, the lowest level since the acquisition of Las Bambas [7][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total copper production in the first half of the year reached approximately 260,000 tons, a significant increase of 64% year on year [8] - Total zinc production reached about 110,000 tons, achieving stable operations [8] - Copper revenue accounted for 78% of total revenue, driven by increased production and higher prices [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company benefited from rising prices of key metals such as copper, gold, silver, and zinc, which contributed to its strong performance [6][7] - The EBITDA margin increased to 55%, ranking among the top globally for similar companies [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on copper and other base metals critical to a low carbon future, with expectations of strong demand for metals like copper, zinc, and nickel [26][28] - The company aims to enhance operational value and maximize asset growth potential while exploring diversification opportunities across different regions and commodity sectors [29] - Total copper production is projected to reach up to 520,000 tons this year, with Las Bambas expected to contribute 400,000 tons [29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management emphasized the importance of maintaining a strong safety culture and proactive safety measures [4][5] - The company is aware of potential risks related to road blockades at the Las Bambas mine, especially with the upcoming presidential election in Peru [41][42] - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to maintain stable production and operational stability despite external challenges [45][46] Other Important Information - The company plans to adjust its capital expenditure estimation for 2025 to USD 1.1 billion to USD 1.25 billion, covering maintenance, development projects, and capitalized mining expenditures [23][24] - The acquisition of the Nickel Brazil asset is progressing and expected to be completed by the end of the year with an initial consideration of USD 350 million [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the reasons behind the cost increase for the Las Bambas mine in the second half of the year? - Management stated that the full year cost guidance remains unchanged to allow for risk control, and if production volumes remain high, cash costs will continue to be low [34] Question: Have all inventory issues been cleared due to road blockades at Las Bambas mine? - Management confirmed that road blockages occurred for 15 days, but the issues have been resolved, and efforts are being made to clear inventory [36] Question: What is the outlook for finance costs in the second half of the year? - The finance cost for the first half was USD 139 million, a decrease from the previous year, and management aims to lower the finance cost to USD 320 million for the whole year [39] Question: What measures are in place to guard against potential disruptions due to the upcoming presidential election in Peru? - Management highlighted the importance of community relationship rebuilding strategies to maintain stable production and operational stability [43][45] Question: What is the long-term guidance for the gearing ratio? - Management indicated that the gearing ratio has decreased significantly, and they will continue to focus on optimizing the balance sheet and managing debt levels [42][46]