今天市场跌的比较多，先聊点别的。 知识星球里，有不少大学生球友，他们的问题主要是和找工作、选offer相关，从这轮的秋招来看，能明显感觉到，今年金融专业的同学找工作， 难度相当大。 其一，帮大家分析一下金融行业的趋势，让大家意识到，很多问题其实是行业的共性问题，和个人关系不大； 其二，如果能通过这些趋势，帮大家辨明一下方向，那就更好了。 我梳理了一下，可能有几方面原因。 第一，金融行业供给侧改革加速，行业龙头集中化。 这块，我们在《 中小金融机构更危险了？ 》里深度聊过，供给侧改革的本质，是同质化产能的出清，同质化产能的背后是以往 的 地方金融自由 化，而地方金融自由化的背景是地方政府第二财政的派生需求，或者说是过往地方经济发展模式的结果之一。 在出清的过程中，意味着岗位数量的下滑—— 以农商行合并为例 ，各个县域农商行，本来都有自己的一整套班子，比如运营、科技、审计等 等，现在几十家农商行合并成一个了，原有的总行职能管理岗，以及各种中后台岗位，自然就编制过剩了。 这块可能是影响最大，也是最直接的。 第二，客户线上化，叠加代际变化，线下网点需求大幅缩减。 去年，全国银行业关闭的网点数量是2500多家，而截至1 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 24.11 [2][10]. Core Insights - The company's net profit increased by 94% year-on-year, with significant improvements across various business segments [2][7]. - Return on Equity (ROE) rose to 3.6%, up by 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, indicating enhanced profitability [2]. - The company reported a total revenue of HKD 128 billion, a year-on-year increase of 44.1% [7]. Financial Performance Summary - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: 3.6%, up 1.5 percentage points year-on-year; quarterly ROE at 1.9%, up 1 percentage point year-on-year [2]. - **Net Profit Margin**: 33.8%, up 8.7 percentage points year-on-year; quarterly net profit margin at 32.3%, up 12.6 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - **Total Assets**: HKD 544.3 billion, an increase of HKD 608.9 billion year-on-year [8]. - **Net Assets**: HKD 118.8 billion, up HKD 131.5 billion year-on-year [8]. - **Leverage Ratio**: 4.58 times, stable compared to previous periods [2][8]. Business Segment Performance - **Proprietary Business Revenue**: HKD 72.5 billion, with a quarterly revenue of HKD 38.6 billion, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase [3]. - **Credit Business**: Interest income of HKD 39.9 billion, with a quarterly income of HKD 20 billion [3]. - **Brokerage Business Revenue**: HKD 26.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 44.2% [9]. - **Investment Banking Revenue**: HKD 16.7 billion, with a significant increase in underwriting amounts for IPOs and refinancing [9]. Earnings Forecast - Expected Earnings Per Share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at RMB 1.55, RMB 1.63, and RMB 1.77 respectively, with corresponding Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratios of 12.3, 11.6, and 10.7 [10][11].