消息面上，长江证券指出，当前钢铁板块是一个弹性大且可能超预期的板块。从高频数据上看，产业的 预期无疑是比较低的。今年冬储累库的力度为近年来最弱，五大钢材总库存的高度也处于近年低位，映 射经过四年多的下行期后，产业在心态上比较谨慎和悲观。但另一维度，低库存有助于缓解节后去库的 压力；价格底部或意味着价格的调整较为充分，成材从供需维度逐步达到弱平衡。 该行表示，由此，在基本面和价格均充分筑底的状态下，若需求或供给侧受到催化，成材涨价的弹性或 较为显著。当前时点，成材价格上涨的概率或大于下跌的概率；且一旦涨价，涨价弹性值得期待。 智通财经APP获悉，钢铁股强势拉升，截至发稿，重庆钢铁股份(01053)涨26.09%，报1.45港元；鞍钢股 份(00347)涨9.64%，报2.16港元；马鞍山钢铁股份(00323)涨5.53%，报2.67港元。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry [5]. Core Viewpoints - Iron ore prices have shown significant loosening, suggesting a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the steel sector. The report indicates that after three years of adjustment, the current position of the steel sector offers high cost-effectiveness, with leading enterprises showing improved profitability and stability [8][13]. Summary by Sections Macro Overview - Iron ore prices are expected to decline as steel production peaks post-May Day, leading to potential profit squeezes for iron ore suppliers. The domestic demand-driven pricing in the steel sector is highlighted as a key factor [8][13]. Steel Sector - The weekly consumption of rebar decreased to 2.6 million tons, a significant drop of 5.07% week-on-week. The average price of rebar increased slightly by 1.34% to 3,323 CNY/ton, while cold-rolled prices fell by 1.54% to 3,812 CNY/ton [14][36]. - Total steel inventory decreased significantly, with a total of 1,083 million tons, down 3.68% week-on-week and 24.11% year-on-year [23]. - The profitability of rebar production has improved, with long-process rebar margins increasing by 25 CNY/ton and short-process margins rising by 350 CNY/ton [34][36]. Industrial Metals - The report notes a deepening negative value for copper TC/RC, with the average LME aluminum price rising by 3.63% to 2,412 USD/ton. The cost of electrolytic aluminum in Xinjiang decreased significantly by 16.22%, leading to a substantial profit increase [16][28]. Precious Metals - The report suggests that tariffs may boost demand for safe-haven assets and inflation expectations, with gold prices expected to continue rising. As of April 25, 2025, COMEX gold prices were reported at 3,330.2 USD/ounce, a slight decrease of 0.33% week-on-week [16][48]. New Energy Metals - Lithium production in China saw a significant year-on-year increase of 57.44% in February 2025, with prices for battery-grade lithium carbonate at 69,600 CNY/ton. Nickel and cobalt prices showed mixed trends, with nickel prices declining [15][39][48].