Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for the tungsten industry, highlighting its strategic importance and potential for price stability due to supply-demand dynamics [7]. Core Insights - Tungsten is recognized as a strategic critical metal with extensive applications in key sectors such as aerospace, automotive, and defense, leading to increased global focus on its supply and demand [2][5]. - The global tungsten supply is tightening, primarily due to China's control over production and export policies, which are expected to maintain high tungsten prices [5][23]. - Demand for tungsten is projected to grow, driven by sectors like renewable energy and advanced manufacturing, with significant increases in consumption expected in the coming years [4][24]. Supply Side Summary - Global tungsten reserves are increasing, from 3.4 million tons in 2020 to 4.6 million tons in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 7.85% [3]. - China holds the largest tungsten reserves, accounting for about 52.2% of the global total, while implementing strict mining controls that are expected to further tighten supply [3][23]. - The first batch of tungsten concentrate mining indicators for 2025 is set at 58,000 tons, a decrease of 6.5% year-on-year, indicating a continued tightening of supply [3][46]. Demand Side Summary - Hard alloys and tungsten wire are the primary drivers of tungsten demand, with hard alloys accounting for 65% of global consumption [4]. - In the first half of 2025, China's tungsten consumption reached 35,900 tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.1%, with significant growth in the hard alloy sector due to manufacturing upgrades [4][24]. - The commercialization of controlled nuclear fusion is expected to create new demand for high-performance tungsten alloys, with projections exceeding 10,000 tons [4][24]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading tungsten mining companies in China, such as Xiamen Tungsten and China Tungsten High-Tech, as they are well-positioned to benefit from the tightening supply and increasing demand [5].

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