碳酸锂日报（2025 年 9 月 23 日） 一、研究观点 点 评 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 EVERBRIGHT FUTURES 1 碳酸锂日报 二、日度数据监测 | | | 锂电产业链产品价格 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指 标 | 单 位 | 2025-09-22 | 2025-09-19 | 涨 跌 | | | 期 货 | 主力合约收盘价 | 元/吨 | 73420 | 73960 | -540 | | | | 连续合约收盘价 | 元/吨 | 73200 | 73760 | -560 | | | | 锂辉石精矿(6%,CIF中国) | 美元/吨 | 860 | 859 | 1 | | | | 锂云母（Li2O:1.5%-2.0%） | 元/吨 | 1165 | 1150 | 15 | | | 锂 矿 | 锂云母（Li2O:2.0%-2.5%） | 元/吨 | 1900 | 1880 | 20 | | | | 磷锂铝石（Li2O:6%-7%） | 元/吨 | 6090 | 6090 | 0 | | | | ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - On August 27, 2025, the 2511 contract of lithium carbonate futures dropped 0.23% to 78,860 yuan/ton. The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 100 yuan/ton to 81,600 yuan/ton, and the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate fell by 100 yuan/ton to 79,300 yuan/ton. The price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (coarse particles) declined by 50 yuan/ton to 77,030 yuan/ton. The warehouse receipt inventory increased by 787 tons to 27,477 tons [3]. - Fundamentally, on the supply side, production slowed down slightly, mainly due to the suspension of mica production. In the future, with the previous price increase and the increase in overseas imports, lithium extraction from spodumene is expected to continue to increase. There is currently high - priced ore, which still supports the price of lithium carbonate. On the demand side, the total demand in August increased by 6% month - on - month. September is the traditional peak season, downstream production schedules may remain booming, and downstream inventory replenishment intentions are strong. The social inventory remains at 141,000 tons and has shown a slight destocking trend in the past two weeks, with an increase in downstream procurement [3]. - On August 27, affected by news in the lithium ore market, the lithium price was strong at first and then weak. The production problems of known resource projects have basically been resolved. After the rapid price increase last week, there is short - term callback pressure, waiting for new factors to drive the price. In the short term, pay attention to the lithium ore transaction price, and in the medium term, focus on the progress of other projects that need to complete report compilation and submission by September 30 [3]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Daily Data Monitoring - Futures: The closing price of the main contract was 78,860 yuan/ton, down 160 yuan from the previous day; the closing price of the continuous contract was 79,040 yuan/ton, down 220 yuan [5]. - Lithium ore: The price of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) remained unchanged at 920 US dollars/ton. The prices of some lithium mica and phospho - lithium - aluminum stone varieties increased slightly [5]. - Lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide: The prices of battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate and various types of lithium hydroxide decreased slightly, while the price of battery - grade lithium hydroxide (CIF China, Japan, and South Korea) remained unchanged [5]. - Other products: The price of hexafluorophosphate remained unchanged. Some prices of ternary precursors and materials increased slightly, while the prices of most cathode materials and batteries remained stable [5]. 3.2 Chart Analysis - Ore prices: Charts show the price trends of lithium spodumene concentrate, lithium mica, and phospho - lithium - aluminum stone from 2024 to 2025 [6][8]. - Lithium and lithium salt prices: Charts display the price trends of metallic lithium, battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide, and hexafluorophosphate from 2024 to 2025 [11][13]. - Spreads: Charts present the price spreads between battery - grade lithium hydroxide and battery - grade lithium carbonate, battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate, and other relevant spreads from 2024 to 2025 [17][19]. - Precursor and cathode materials: Charts show the price trends of ternary precursors, ternary materials, lithium iron phosphate, lithium manganate, and lithium cobaltate from 2024 to 2025 [24][26]. - Lithium battery prices: Charts display the price trends of 523 square ternary cells, square lithium iron phosphate cells, lithium cobaltate cells, and square lithium iron phosphate batteries from 2024 to 2025 [30][33]. - Inventory: Charts show the inventory trends of downstream, smelters, and other sectors from January to August 2025 [37][39]. - Production cost: The chart shows the production profit trends of lithium carbonate from different raw materials from 2024 to 2025 [41]. 3.3 Team Member Introduction - The research team includes Zhan Dapeng, Wang Heng, and Zhu Xi, who are responsible for different aspects of non - ferrous and new energy research and have rich experience and achievements [45][46]. 3.4 Contact Information - The company is located at Building 6, Lujiazui Century Financial Plaza, No. 729 Yanggao South Road, China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone. Contact information includes phone, fax, customer service hotline, and postal code [49].