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碳酸锂数据日报-20250625
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-06-25 05:49
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - The lithium carbonate futures price is expected to decline in the short term, and there is a possibility of a negative feedback loop between the lithium carbonate price and the ore price in the later stage [3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Lithium Compound Prices - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price is 59,900 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton [1] - SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price is 58,300 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton [1] Lithium Futures Prices - Lithium carbonate 2507 closed at 61,020 yuan/ton, up 2.01% [1] - Lithium carbonate 2508 closed at 60,900 yuan/ton, up 2.66% [1] - Lithium carbonate 2509 closed at 60,700 yuan/ton, up 3.06% [1] - Lithium carbonate 2510 closed at 60,580 yuan/ton, up 3.17% [1] - Lithium carbonate 2511 closed at 60,500 yuan/ton, up 3.28% [1] Lithium Ore Prices - Lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) price is 617 yuan/ton, unchanged [1] - Lithium mica (Li20: 1.5% - 2.0%) price is 665 yuan/ton [2] - Lithium mica (Li20: 2.0% - 2.5%) price is 1190 yuan/ton [2] - Phosphorus lithium aluminum stone (Li20: 6% - 7%) price is 5225 yuan/ton, down 335 yuan/ton [2] - Phosphorus lithium aluminum stone (Li20: 7% - 8%) price is 6075 yuan/ton, down 390 yuan/ton [2] Cathode Material Prices - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 30,160 yuan/ton, down 15 yuan/ton [2] - The average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 142,760 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton [2] - The average price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 114,175 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan/ton [2] - The average price of ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 120,375 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] Price Spreads - The price spread between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 1600 yuan/ton [2] - The price spread between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is - 800 yuan/ton, down 1630 yuan/ton [2] - The price spread between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is 120 yuan/ton, down 240 yuan/ton [2] - The price spread between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is 320 yuan/ton, down 280 yuan/ton [2] Inventory - The total inventory (weekly, tons) is 134,901 tons, up 1352 tons [2] - The smelter inventory (weekly, tons) is 58,625 tons, up 972 tons [2] - The downstream inventory (weekly, tons) is 40,366 tons, down 320 tons [2] - The other inventory (weekly, tons) is 35,910 tons, up 700 tons [2] - The registered warehouse receipts (daily, tons) is 22,375 tons, down 4404 tons [2] Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate is 60,012 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 948 yuan/ton [3] - The cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate is 64,430 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 6856 yuan/ton [3] Industry News - Zimbabwe will ban the export of lithium concentrate from 2027 to promote local processing [3]
碳酸锂数据日报-20250613
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-06-13 07:44
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Report's Core View - Downstream minor restocking led to a rebound in lithium carbonate prices but the contradiction of continuous decline in ore prices remains unchanged; after the price rebound, the supply of lithium carbonate increased rapidly while demand tended to be stable [3] - Zimbabwe will ban the export of lithium concentrate from 2027 to promote local processing [3] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Lithium Compounds - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price is 60,650 with a rise of 150; SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price is 59,050 with a rise of 150 [1] - The price difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 1,600 [2] Lithium Ore - Lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) average price is 631 with a rise of 46 [1] - Lithium mica (Li20:1.5% - 2.0%) price is 10; lithium mica (Li20:2.0% - 2.5%) price is 1,225 with a rise of 15; phosphorus lithium aluminum stone (Li20:6% - 7%) price is 5,660; phosphorus lithium aluminum stone (Li20:7% - 8%) price is 6,595 with a rise of 55 [2] Futures Contracts - Lithium carbonate 2506 closing price is 60,420 with a decline of 1.44%; lithium carbonate 2507 closing price is 60,440 with a decline of 1.56%; lithium carbonate 2508 closing price is 60,520 with a decline of 1.66%; lithium carbonate 2509 closing price is 60,480 with a decline of 1.69%; lithium carbonate 2510 closing price is 60,540 with a decline of 1.72% [1] Positive Electrode Materials - Lithium iron phosphate (power type) average price is 30,475 with a rise of 30; ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) average price is 143,760 with a decline of 200; ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) average price is 114,695 with a rise of 30; ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) average price is 121,285 with a decline of 150 [2] Inventory - Total inventory (weekly, tons) is 133,549 with an increase of 1,117; smelter inventory (weekly, tons) is 57,653 with an increase of 537; downstream inventory (weekly, tons) is 40,686 with a decrease of 390; other inventory (weekly, tons) is 35,210 with an increase of 970; registered warehouse receipts (daily, tons) is 32,837 with no change [2] Profit Estimation - Cash cost of外购 lithium spodumene concentrate is 60,995 and the profit is - 1,189; cash cost of外购 lithium mica concentrate is 65,237 and the profit is - 6,929 [3]