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碳酸锂数据日报-20251217
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-12-17 05:53
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Report's Core View - The demand from the terminal (energy storage + new energy vehicles) remains strong during the peak season, with the material production schedule basically flat and the flow of social inventory from upstream to downstream to the terminal being smooth. On the supply side, the production schedule in December has a slight increase, but the tight spot supply of spodumene restricts a significant resumption of production on the supply side. Overall, demand provides medium - term support for the lithium carbonate price, but there is significant pressure around the key level of 100,000 yuan [3] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Lithium Compounds - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 95,850 yuan with a daily increase of 2,500 yuan; SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 93,350 yuan with a daily increase of 2,000 yuan [1] Lithium Futures Contracts - The closing prices and price increases of lithium carbonate futures contracts 2601 - 2605 range from 98,740 yuan to 100,600 yuan, with price increases between 0.78% and 1.35% [1] Lithium Ore - The average price of spodumene concentrate (CIF China) is 1,248 yuan with a daily increase of 25 yuan; lithium mica prices vary according to different Li₂O contents, and the prices of phospho - lithium - aluminum stone also vary by Li₂O content [1][2] Cathode Materials - The average prices of cathode materials such as lithium iron phosphate (power type), ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type), ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type), and ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) are 39,845 yuan, 162,800 yuan, 146,000 yuan, and 145,700 yuan respectively, with corresponding price increases [2] Price Spreads - The price spread between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 2,500 yuan; the price spread between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is - 4,750 yuan with a change of 1,160 yuan; and there are also price spreads between near - month and consecutive contracts [2] Inventory - The total weekly inventory is 111,469 tons with a decrease of 2,133 tons, including 19,161 tons in smelters (a decrease of 1,606 tons), 42,738 tons in downstream (a decrease of 957 tons), and 49,570 tons in other (an increase of 430 tons); the daily registered warehouse receipts are 15,286 tons with a change of 26 tons [2] Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing spodumene concentrate externally is 99,567 yuan with a profit of - 5,047 yuan; the cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate externally is 96,908 yuan with a profit of - 4,739 yuan [3] Industry News - The national new - energy storage installed capacity exceeds 100 million kilowatts, 30 times that at the end of the "13th Five - Year Plan" and accounting for over 40% of the global total installed capacity. During the peak summer period this year, the peak call of new - energy storage exceeded 30 million kilowatts [3]
碳酸锂数据日报-20251215
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-12-15 03:25
| | 锂云母 | 1680 | 15 | 电碳-工硕价差 元/吨 | 一 电池级碳酸锂-平均价 - 工业级碳酸锂-平均价 TIL / Hutt T. / Hrh | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (Li20:1.5%-2.0%) | | | | | | | 锂云母 (Li20:2.0%-2.5%) | 2605 | 15 | | 碳酸锂注册仓单(吨) | | | 磷锂铝石 (Li20:6%-7%) | 9175 | 11/5 | | | | | 磷锂铝石 (Li20:7%-8%) | 10450 | 175 | | | | | 正极材料 | 平均价 | | | | | | 磷酸铁锂(动力型) | 39520 | 240 | | | | | 三元材料811(多晶/动力型) | 162350 | 250 | | | | | 三元材料523(单晶/动力型) | 145550 | 400 | | | | | 三元材料613(单晶/动力型) | 145250 | 300 | | | | | 名称 | 现值 | 变化值 | | | | | 电碳-工碳 | 2500 ...
碳酸锂数据日报-20251210
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-12-10 03:20
ITG国贸期货 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 炭酸锂数据日报 白素娜 投资咨询号:Z0013700 从业资格号: F3023916 国贸期货研究院 2025/12/10 研究助理 陈宇森 从业资格号:F03123927 贵金属与新能源研究中心 据来源: SMM. 公井新闻整 锂化合物 100000 平均价 SMM电池级碳酸锂 92750 2500 SMM工业级碳酸锂 90350 0 2000 收盘价 涨跌幅 期货合约 60000 碳酸锂2512 -0. 24% 92580 碳酸锂2601 91000 -1.02% 40000 碳酸锂2602 -1.23% 91340 碳酸锂2603 91240 -1.23% 500 碳酸锂2604 92560 -1. 3% 平均价 锂矿 锂辉石精矿(CIF中国) 1165 0 = (120.5 5%-6%) 种类 利润估算 外购锂辉石精矿现金成本 94487 H # 利 -3021 外购锂辉石精矿利润 >EE 外购锂云母精矿现金成本 93100 F 外购锂云母精矿利润 -3898 本周碳酸锂产量+74吨, 库存-2363吨 行 小 国家发展改革委:全国新型储能 ...
碳酸锂数据日报-20251204
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-12-04 03:25
种类 利润估算 外购锂辉石精矿现金成本 95330 H # 利 -2287 外购锂辉石精矿利润 >EE 外购锂云母精矿现金成本 93827 外购锂云母精矿利润 -3093 本周碳酸锂减产265吨,去库2452吨 行 小 国家发展改革委:全国新型储能装机超过1亿千瓦,是"十三五"末的30倍以上。11月27日,国家发展改革委召开月度新闻发布会。国家发 展改革委政策研究室副主任李超表示,随着我国风电、光伏等新能源装机规模和比例的不断提高、电力系统调节能力已经成为建设新型电力 统的重要方面。目前,全国新型储能装机超过1亿千瓦,是"十三五"末的30倍以上,占全球总装机比例超过40%。储能设施建设周期短、布局 活、响应速度快,快速承担起电力系统调节功能。今年迎峰度夏期间,全国晚高峰调用新型储能峰值超过3000万千瓦,是三峡水电站满负荷 电功率的1.3倍,相当于重庆电网今夏的负荷峰值,"超级充电宝"为电力顶峰保供提供重要支撑。 十 消息面上,自然资源部回应,宁德时代视下窝矿办证材料完整且已收件,市场预计,正常1月中旬下证,快的话12月下证,后续该矿 价格影响边际递减。目前市场核心关注需求的变化,周度需求基本维稳,价格具有支 ...
碳酸锂数据日报-20251203
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-12-03 04:32
ITG国贸期货 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 炭酸锂数据日报 白素娜 投资咨询号:Z0013700 从业资格号: F3023916 国贸期货研究院 2025/12/03 研究助理 陈宇森 从业资格号: F03123927 贵金属与新能源研究中心 SMM. 公升新闻整 据来源: 锂化合物 平均价 100000 涨跌 SMM电池级碳酸锂 94400 50 2500 SMM工业级碳酸锂 91950 50 2000 收盘价 涨跌幅 期货合约 60000 碳酸锂2607 96180 -0.72% 碳酸锂2608 96500 -0. 88% 40000 碳酸锂2609 -0. 94% 96440 碳酸锂2610 96440 -0. 64% 500 碳酸锂2611 96240 -0. 82% 平均价 锂矿 锂辉石精矿(CIF中国) 1184 -6 = (120.5 5%-6%) 种类 利润估算 外购锂辉石精矿现金成本 95626 H # 利 外购锂辉石精矿利润 -2534 >EE 94173 F 外购锂云母精矿现金成本 外购锂云母精矿利润 -3390 本周碳酸锂减产265吨,去库2452吨 行 小 国家发展 ...
碳酸锂数据日报-20251202
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-12-02 03:40
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Report's Core View - The market's core focus is on demand changes, with weekly demand essentially stable, providing price support. In the medium - term, due to the ongoing release of energy storage demand, prices are bullish, but there is a callback pressure on prices in the short - term [3] Group 3: Summary According to Related Content Lithium Compound Prices - The average price of SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate is 94,350 yuan/ton, and the average price of SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 91,900 yuan/ton [1] Lithium Ore Prices - The price of lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) is 1,190 yuan/ton, up 40 yuan/ton [1] Lithium Mica and Phosphorus Lithium Alum Stone Prices - Lithium mica (Li20: 1.5% - 2.0%) is 1,665 yuan, lithium mica (Li20: 2.0% - 2.5%) is 2,600 yuan, phosphorus lithium alum stone (Li20: 6% - 7%) is 9,125 yuan, and phosphorus lithium alum stone (Li20: 7% - 8%) is 10,525 yuan [2] Cathode Material Prices - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 39,485 yuan, up 145 yuan; the average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 161,800 yuan, up 100 yuan; the average price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 144,600 yuan, up 200 yuan; the average price of ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 144,750 yuan, up 100 yuan [2] Price Spreads - The difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 2,450 yuan/ton, with a change of - 0.1 yuan; the difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is - 2,590 yuan, up 80 yuan; the difference between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is - 140 yuan, down 60 yuan; the difference between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is - 440 yuan, down 300 yuan [2] Inventory - The total inventory (weekly, tons) is 115,968 tons, with a decrease of 2,452 tons; the downstream inventory (weekly, tons) is 41,984 tons, with a decrease of 2,452 tons; the other inventory (weekly, tons) is 49,660 tons, with an increase of 1,780 tons; the registered warehouse receipts (daily, tons) is 8,222 tons, with an increase of 2,781 tons [2] Profit Estimation - The cash cost of externally purchased lithium spodumene concentrate is 95,970 yuan, and the profit is - 2,927 yuan; the cash cost of externally purchased lithium mica concentrate is 94,750 yuan, and the profit is - 4,016 yuan [3] Industry News - This week, lithium carbonate production decreased by 265 tons and inventory decreased by 2,452 tons [3] - The installed capacity of new energy storage in China exceeds 100 million kilowatts, 30 times that at the end of the 13th Five - Year Plan, accounting for over 40% of the global total installed capacity [3] - During this year's peak summer period, the peak call of new energy storage in China exceeded 30 million kilowatts, 1.3 times the full - load power of the Three Gorges Hydropower Station [3] - The market expects that the mining license for Ningde Times' Xiakeng Mine will be issued in mid - January at the latest and possibly in December at the earliest, and its impact on prices will gradually decrease [3]
碳酸锂数据日报-20251126
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-11-26 03:07
利润估算 种类 88224 外购锂辉石精矿现金成本 N # 利 外购锂辉石精矿利润 2549 >EE 外购锂云母精矿现金成本 90365 外购锂云母精矿利润 -1850 、行业协会将建议设成本红线规范报价磷酸铁锂行业推进反内卷。由于我回磷酸铁锂行业陷入连续多年整体性亏损的窘境,产业无序竞争 账价内卷现象威肋全行业生存根基与持续发展大局,中国化学与物理电源行业协会将发布《关于参考磷酸铁锂成本指数及规范行业发展的通 知》。该《通知》建议,企业应将协会11月18日披露的行业平均成本区间作为报价的重要参考,不要突破成本红线开展低价倾销。记者? 中国化学与物理电源行业协会将自本月起,每月定期披露行业平均成本区间,为企业报价提供权威监管依据。同时,协会建议企业雇 息报送义务,企业每月定期向协会如实、完整提交产能、产量、库存等经营数据,作为行业资源配等重要参考依据。 SMM,本周碳酸锂增产585吨,去库2052吨 H a 价格运行到10万元后,市场核心关注需求旺季的延续性和江西矿端的复产节奏。上周受到去库幅度收窄和矿端复产消息,部分获利盘了结离 引发市场回调。目前,终端需求仍维持旺盛,由于前期加速上涨,市场积累了大量获利盘 ...
碳酸锂数据日报-20251121
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-11-21 06:08
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core View - The China Chemical and Physical Power Sources Industry Association will issue a notice on referring to the lithium iron phosphate cost index and standardizing industry development, suggesting that companies use the industry average cost range disclosed on November 18th as an important reference for pricing and not engage in low - price sales below cost. The association will disclose the industry average cost range monthly and requires companies to submit operating data regularly. This week, lithium carbonate production increased by 585 tons and inventory decreased by 2052 tons, with a narrowing de - stocking amplitude, and lithium carbonate may turn around in the short term [3] 3. Summary by Relevant Categories Lithium Compounds - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 91,300 yuan with an increase of 2,400 yuan; SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 88,900 yuan with an increase of 2,400 yuan [1] Lithium Carbonate Futures Contracts - Carbonate lithium 2512 closed at 98,880 yuan with a 1.71% increase; carbonate lithium 2601 closed at 98,980 yuan with a 0.84% increase; carbonate lithium 2602 closed at 99,060 yuan with a 0.98% increase; carbonate lithium 2603 closed at 99,160 yuan with a 1.25% increase; carbonate lithium 2604 closed at 100,060 yuan with a 1.91% increase [1] Lithium Ore - Lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) has an average price of 1,117 yuan with an increase of 31 yuan; lithium mica (Li20: 1.5% - 2.0%) has an average price of 1,710 yuan with an increase of 85 yuan; lithium mica (Li20: 2.0% - 2.5%) has an average price of 2,700 yuan with an increase of 125 yuan; lithium aluminum phosphate (Li20: 6% - 7%) has an average price of 9,575 yuan with an increase of 675 yuan; lithium aluminum phosphate (Li20: 7% - 8%) has an average price of 11,075 yuan with an increase of 675 yuan [1][2] Cathode Materials - Lithium iron phosphate (power type) has an average price of 38,745 yuan with an increase of 580 yuan; ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) has an average price of 161,550 yuan with an increase of 400 yuan; ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) has an average price of 143,750 yuan with an increase of 700 yuan; ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) has an average price of 144,050 yuan with an increase of 700 yuan [2] Price Spreads - The difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 2,400 yuan; the difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is - 7,680 yuan with a change of 2,720 yuan; the difference between the near - month and the first continuous contract is - 100 yuan with a change of 140 yuan; the difference between the near - month and the second continuous contract is - 180 yuan with a change of 140 yuan [2] Inventory - The total weekly inventory is 118,420 tons with a decrease of 2,052 tons; the smelter weekly inventory is 26,104 tons with a decrease of 2,166 tons; the downstream weekly inventory is 44,436 tons with a decrease of 4,336 tons; the other weekly inventory is 47,880 tons with an increase of 4,450 tons; the daily registered warehouse receipts are 26,916 tons with an increase of 150 tons [2] Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate externally is 91,481 yuan, and the profit is - 1,451 yuan; the cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate externally is 97,058 yuan, and the profit is - 9,277 yuan [3]
碳酸锂数据日报-20251114
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-11-14 08:37
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - Due to the mismatch between supply and demand, with the terminal (energy storage + new energy vehicles) peak season continuing and the supply fluctuating at a high level without a significant increase, the price of lithium carbonate has obvious support at the bottom. Considering the hedging pressure and the resumption of production in Jiangxi mines, it is expected that the price of lithium carbonate may fluctuate widely in the short term [3] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Lithium Compounds - The average price of SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate is 84,350 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 3,000 yuan/ton; the average price of SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 82,000 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 900 yuan/ton [1] Futures Contracts - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2511 is 86,400 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 1.58%; the closing price of lithium carbonate 2512 is 87,660 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 1.34%; the closing price of lithium carbonate 2601 is 87,840 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 1.39%; the closing price of lithium carbonate 2602 is 87,620 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 1.51%; the closing price of lithium carbonate 2603 is 87,360 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 1.28% [1] Lithium Ore - The average price of lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) (Li2O 5% - 6%) is 1,001 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 17 yuan/ton; the average price of lithium mica (Li2O: 1.5% - 2.0%) is 1,450 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 30 yuan/ton; the average price of lithium mica (Li2O: 2.0% - 2.5%) is 2,280 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 35 yuan/ton; the average price of amblygonite (Li2O: 6% - 7%) is 8,085 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 205 yuan/ton; the average price of amblygonite (Li2O: 7% - 8%) is 9,510 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 215 yuan/ton [1][2] Cathode Materials - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 36,960 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 355 yuan/ton; the average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 160,350 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 100 yuan/ton; the average price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 141,650 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 500 yuan/ton; the average price of ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 142,150 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 500 yuan/ton [2] Price Spreads - The difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 2,350 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 150 yuan/ton; the difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is - 3,490 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 210 yuan/ton; the difference between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is - 180 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 100 yuan/ton; the difference between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is 40 yuan/ton, with a daily decrease of 180 yuan/ton [2] Inventory - The total weekly inventory is 120,472 tons, with a weekly decrease of 3,481 tons; the weekly inventory of smelters is 28,270 tons, with a weekly decrease of 2,445 tons; the weekly inventory of downstream is 48,772 tons, with a weekly decrease of 3,236 tons; the weekly inventory of others is 43,430 tons, with a weekly increase of 2,200 tons; the daily registered warehouse receipts are 27,508 tons, with a daily decrease of 770 tons [2] Profit Estimation - The cash cost of externally purchased lithium spodumene concentrate is 84,065 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 907 yuan/ton; the cash cost of externally purchased lithium mica concentrate is 87,365 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 6,361 yuan/ton [3]
碳酸锂数据日报-20251113
Guo Mao Qi Huo· 2025-11-13 06:59
Report Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Core View - Due to the mismatch between supply and demand, with the peak season of the terminal (energy storage + new energy vehicles) continuing and the supply fluctuating at a high level without a significant increase, the price of lithium carbonate has obvious support at the bottom. Considering the hedging pressure and the resumption of production in Jiangxi's mining sector, it is expected that the price of lithium carbonate may fluctuate widely in the short term [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Lithium Compounds - The average price of SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate is 83,300 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 1,000 yuan/ton; the average price of SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 81,100 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 1,000 yuan/ton [1]. - The closing prices of lithium carbonate futures contracts 2511, 2512, 2601, 2602, and 2603 are 84,920 yuan/ton (-0.35%), 86,500 yuan/ton (-0.21%), 86,580 yuan/ton (-0.21%), 86,280 yuan/ton (-0.32%), and 86,140 yuan/ton (-0.44%) respectively [1]. Lithium Ore - The price of lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) is 984 dollars, and the prices of lithium mica (Li20: 1.5% - 2.0%), lithium mica (Li20: 2.0% - 2.5%), phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 6% - 7%), and phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 7% - 8%) are 1,420 yuan, 2,245 yuan, 7,880 yuan, and 9,295 yuan respectively, with daily increases of 20 yuan, 25 yuan, 20 yuan, and 20 yuan [1][2]. Cathode Materials - The average prices of lithium iron phosphate (power type), ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type), ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type), and ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) are 36,605 yuan, 160,250 yuan, 141,150 yuan, and 141,650 yuan respectively, with daily increases of 245 yuan, 1,000 yuan, 400 yuan, and 1,500 yuan [2]. Price Spreads - The price spread between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 2,200 yuan/ton; the price spread between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is - 3,280 yuan/ton, with a change of 960 yuan; the price spreads between the near - month and the first - continuous, and the near - month and the second - continuous contracts are - 80 yuan/ton and 220 yuan/ton respectively, with changes of 120 yuan and 140 yuan [2]. Inventory - The total inventory (weekly, tons) is 123,953 tons, with a decrease of 3,405 tons. The inventories of smelters, downstream, and other sectors (weekly, tons) are 30,715 tons (-1,336 tons), 52,008 tons (-1,280 tons), and 41,230 tons (-790 tons) respectively. The registered warehouse receipts (daily, tons) are 28,287 tons, with an increase of 188 tons [2]. Profit Estimation - The cash cost of externally purchased lithium spodumene concentrate is 82,955 yuan, and the profit is - 815 yuan; the cash cost of externally purchased lithium mica concentrate is 86,558 yuan, and the profit is - 6,476 yuan [3].