2026年2月28日 | 分析师 | 沈皓俊 | 研究助理 | 张轩 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 邮箱 | shenhaojun@stocke.com.cn | 邮箱 | zhangxuan01@stocke.com.cn | | 证书编号 | S1230523080011 | | | 01 锂业弹性表 证券研究报告 锂行业弹性表 （2026年2月版） 行业评级：看好 预计2026年自有矿权益产量最多的公司为：赣锋锂业、天齐锂业、盐湖股份、华友钴业、紫金矿业、中矿资源； 预计2025至2027年产量增速较快的为：大中矿业、紫金矿业、盐湖股份、永兴材料、国城矿业； 增量分析： 2 添加标题 1）赣锋锂业：未来几年主要增量为Goulamina项目、Cauchari-Olaroz 盐湖、Mariana盐湖项目放量。 2）天齐锂业：未来几年主要增量为格林布什矿山三期扩建，措拉矿投产，以及SQM产能的扩张。 3）大中矿业：未来几年主要增量为鸡脚山和加达锂矿项目逐步投产增产。 4）盐湖股份：未来几年主要增量为新建4万吨项目投产放量、最新整合五矿盐湖旗下一里坪盐湖。 5）紫金矿业：未来几年增 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the strong performance of the non-ferrous metal ETF (512400), which has seen a 2.51% increase, marking five consecutive days of gains, with a trading volume of 6.65 billion yuan [1] - The non-ferrous metal ETF has experienced continuous net inflows over the past eight days, indicating strong investor interest [2] - The recent surge in prices for precious metals, including silver and gold, as well as base metals like tin and copper, reflects a bullish market sentiment, with silver breaking through $91/ounce and gold approaching $4640/ounce [2] Group 2 - The lithium industry is expected to see a supply growth slowdown, with 2026 potentially marking a turning point, while energy storage demand is anticipated to become a second growth driver [3] - The Congolese government's implementation of cobalt export quotas and stricter approvals for Indonesian nickel mines are expected to tighten supply, supporting higher cobalt prices and stabilizing nickel prices [3] - The non-ferrous metal index closely tracks the performance of 50 listed companies in the non-ferrous metal and non-metal materials sectors, with the top ten weighted stocks including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Ganfeng Lithium [3]