锂资源供需格局

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供应担忧缓解,碳酸锂期货大幅下挫,后续价格走势如何?
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-08-20 02:08
据交子期货,目前江西其他七座矿山暂无减产动作,短期需要关注的是江西冶炼厂减停产规模;锂辉石 报价上移,上周锂精矿拍卖成交价CIF1005美金/吨,折算碳酸锂成本8万元/吨左右,这对期货盘面有明 确支撑;碳酸锂库存下降、货权从锂盐厂转移至材料厂,对盘面有提振。LC2511日内偏多交易,关注9 万一线突破有效性。 据西南期货,近期交易逻辑仍旧博弈宜春矿山矿权审批以及矿种变更事件,目前该事件并无定性,不过 采矿合规成本预计上涨,对于价格底部支撑有所抬升,从目前总体锂资源停产规模来看,并未扭转碳酸 锂供需过剩格局,并且炼厂仍具备1—2月原料库存,短期内供应端影响有限,另外全球范围内锂资源较 为丰富,若价格长期保持高位震荡供应端或弹性大。 机构如何看待碳酸锂后市价格走势? 中财期货:锂电池需求支撑表现相对较好,枧下窝锂矿突发停产,智利雅宝停产,获利盘抛压较大,建 议逢高止盈 利多消息逐步落地,基本面转好,近期偏强。供应方面,锂盐厂产量回升,冶炼端和盐湖端产量提升明 显。国内外锂矿价格受矿山停产挺价。锂盐厂去库幅度较大。需求方面,8月正极材料排产环比改善, 终端新能源汽车销售淡季改善不大,储能出海订单支撑较好,锂电池需求 ...
碳酸锂供需态势是否逆转?实探宁德时代宜春锂矿:矿区只剩值守人员,何时复工不清楚
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-17 13:08
Core Viewpoint - The recent suspension of operations at the Jiangxi-based lithium mica mine, Jiangxiawo, owned by CATL, has sparked significant industry discussion regarding the duration of the shutdown and its implications for the lithium market [1][4]. Company Summary - CATL's Jiangxiawo mine, a major source of lithium mica, officially ceased operations on August 10, 2023, following the expiration of its mining license on August 9 [2][4]. - The company is currently in the process of applying for a renewal of its mining license and has stated that the suspension will not significantly impact its overall operations [1][4]. - The mine is crucial for CATL as it is the largest lithium mica mine in the region, and its activities have a substantial influence on both the lithium mica and carbonate lithium markets [2][4]. Industry Summary - The Jiangxiawo mine is located in Yichun, Jiangxi Province, and is one of the largest lithium mica mines in the area, contributing to a significant portion of China's lithium supply [2][4]. - The lithium carbonate market is projected to produce 1.33 million tons in 2024, with 222,000 tons (16.4%) coming from lithium mica sources [4]. - The suspension of operations has led to speculation about the reasons behind it, including high production costs and potential misalignment between the licensed and actual mining products [7][8]. - Other companies, such as Guoxuan High-Tech, continue to operate their lithium mica mines in the region without interruption, highlighting a contrast in operational status among competitors [8].