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锌产业周报-20250727
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-07-27 02:31
1. Report's Investment Rating for the Industry - No information provided 2. Core Views of the Report - **Likely Positive Factors**: Demand during the off - season is not weak, and consumption resilience supports market sentiment. China's apparent consumption is growing steadily, and the output of galvanized sheets is slowly recovering [3] - **Likely Negative Factors**: Zinc ore supply has rebounded more than expected, inventories are continuously accumulating, and the supply - demand pattern is in excess. Global consumption is differentiated, with a significant decline in demand in Western countries and high - level inventories [3] - **Trading Consultation View**: There is a divergence between the fundamental situation and macro - expectations, and there is no solid support for the upward movement of futures prices [3] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Processing and Terminal Demand - **Galvanized Sheet Coil**: Information includes market sentiment index (weekly), weekly inventory (seasonal), and steel mill weekly output (seasonal) [5] - **Net Exports**: There are data on the seasonal net exports of galvanized sheets (strips), die - cast zinc alloys, color - coated sheets (strips), and zinc oxide [6][8] - **Real Estate**: Data on real estate development investment, project progress, sales area, and unsold area are presented in terms of cumulative year - on - year changes, along with data on land transaction area and commercial housing transaction volume [11][13][16] - **Infrastructure**: Information on the completed amount of infrastructure fixed - asset investment (excluding rural households) is provided [19] 3.2 Supply and Supply - Side Profits - **Zinc Concentrate**: Monthly import volume (seasonal), TC (treatment and refining charges), and raw material inventory days are included [22][24][29] - **Zinc Ingot**: Monthly output (seasonal), production + import volume (seasonal), and related inventory data such as LME, SHFE, and exchange inventories are presented, along with the production profit and processing fees of refined zinc enterprises [26][27][30] 3.3 Futures and Spot Market Review - **Zinc Price Trends**: The trends of domestic and foreign zinc prices, the relationship between LME zinc closing price and the US dollar index, and the LME zinc (spot/three - month) spread are shown [32][34][36] - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: Information on the trading volume and open interest of the Shanghai zinc futures main contract is provided [33] - **Basis**: Data on the basis trends of zinc ingots in three locations and the seasonal basis of Tianjin zinc ingots are presented [38][39]
锌产业周报-20250609
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-06-09 02:36
锌产业周报 2025/06/9 咨询业务资格:沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者:许亮 Z0002220 审核:唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制,但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观 点、结论和建议。在不同时期,本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在 不发出通知的情形下做出修改, 交易者(您)应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正,但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,交易者(您)并不 能依靠本报告以取代行使独立判断。对交易者(您)依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果,本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许 可,任何机构或个人不得以翻版、复制、发表、引用或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的,需在允许的范围内使用,并注明出处为"东 亚期货",且不得对本报告进行任何有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。本公司保留追究相关责任 ...