期货交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1285号 华联期货锡周报 协会发声 强势震荡 20251228 作者：姜世东 0769-22110802 从业资格号：F03126164 交易咨询号：Z0020059 审核人：黄忠夏，从业资格号：F0285615,交易咨询号：Z0010771 请务必阅读正文后的免责声明。本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 1 周度观点及策略 2 产业链结构 3 期现市场 4 库存 6 供给 7 需求 8 进出口 周度观点及策略 请务必阅读正文后的免责声明。本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 周度观点 请务必阅读正文后的免责声明。本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 u 行情：上周沪锡冲高回落；2025年12月25日，Mysteel综合1#锡现货价格332750元/吨，期间期价波动较大，基差 变化较大。 u 供给：精锡产量11月份产量15490吨，环比、同比恢复正常；国内锡矿产量1-9月份累计5.65万 ...

Core Viewpoint - The news highlights the recent stability of tin prices above 300,000 yuan per ton and the positive performance of companies in the tin industry, driven by supply constraints and increasing demand from emerging sectors like semiconductors and consumer electronics [1][5][7]. Tin Price and Market Dynamics - Tin futures reached a three-and-a-half-year high, with the main contract peaking at 314,100 yuan per ton, marking a 2.72% increase [5][18]. - The average spot price of tin on December 3 was 309,700 yuan per ton, up 5,630 yuan from the previous trading day, maintaining above 300,000 yuan for five consecutive days [5][18]. - The rise in tin prices is attributed to tight supply from Myanmar and positive macroeconomic expectations, including a high probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut [7][20]. Demand Drivers - The demand for tin is primarily driven by the semiconductor industry, which is expected to see a 19.1% increase in global sales in 2024, reaching $627.6 billion [7][20]. - Tin solder demand is projected to grow at a rate of 5% to 7% in 2025, supported by the recovery of the global economy and advancements in new industries [7][20]. Company Performance and Stock Market Reaction - Seven listed companies in the A-share market are involved in the tin industry, with significant investor interest due to rising tin prices [8][21]. - The average stock price increase for tin-related companies this year is 113.08%, with notable gains from companies like Xingye Silver Tin and Shengtun Mining, which saw increases of 226.33% and 160.32%, respectively [8][21]. - In the first three quarters, these companies collectively achieved a net profit of 43.314 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47.47% [9][22]. Individual Company Highlights - Zijin Mining reported a net profit of 37.864 billion yuan in the first three quarters, up 55.45% year-on-year, with significant tin reserves [9][22][23]. - Xiyang Tin achieved a net profit of 1.745 billion yuan, reflecting a 35.99% increase year-on-year, maintaining its position as the largest tin producer globally [10][23]. - Institutional interest is high, with Zijin Mining and Xiyang Tin receiving the most ratings from analysts, indicating strong market confidence [10][23][24].